Matches / Upcoming / Nuclear TigeRES vs Illyrians

Nuclear TigeRES vs Illyrians: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 11

Nuclear TigeRES
World #50 · 85-49
VS
2026-10-23 11:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · Best of 3
Illyrians
World #124 · 18-11
CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · Best of 3
76%
Win probability
24%
The call · high confidence

Nuclear TigeRES are favoured: our model gives them 76% against Illyrians. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours Nuclear TigeRES, firepower clearly favours Nuclear TigeRES.

Likely mapsAncient · Dust2 · Anubis

Firepower

roster ratings

Nuclear TigeRES · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
tronic★1.2670.174.7%37%1.21
flouzer1.0680.773.4%52%1.18
ayuki1.0573.774.7%55%1.14
Djon81.0472.574%60%1.13
senka0.8469.670.2%49%1.02

Illyrians · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.12iStar gap: the best player rates 0.12 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
BledarD★1.282.271%38%1.21
Lewis0.9978.873.7%59%1.12
ammar0.9771.768.3%67%1.1
cerber179.970.3%60%1.1
rosoneriii0.8366.367.6%46%0.94

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
ex-Zero Tenacity#674-11-2
ex-RUSTEC#703-20-2
UPGRADE#741-22-0
Nuclear TigeRES vs UPGRADE
Sep 13LDust213-5Cache8-13Anubis11-13
Illyrians vs UPGRADE
Sep 21WMirage13-6Anubis13-8
UNiTY#864-02-1
ENCE#1182-12-0
WW#1370-22-1

Map lab

Nuclear TigeRES57%to win the Bo3 · most likely Nuclear TigeRES 2-0
If the veto goes
Nuclear TigeRES 57%how the series ends43% Illyrians
37%2-015%
21%2-128%
Map 1AncientNuclear TigeR… pick
Nuclear TigeRES67%53-22vsIllyrians33%6-5
71%Win55%
56%CT51%
54%T48%
49%Pistol55%
81%Conv75%
Map 2Dust2Illyrians pick
Nuclear TigeRES55%32-32vsIllyrians45%8-10
50%Win44%
48%CT49%
51%T45%
55%Pistol42%
89%Conv93%
Map 3Anubisdecider
Nuclear TigeRES43%39-17vsIllyrians57%5-1
70%Win83%
53%CT53%
61%T60%
48%Pistol50%
89%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Nuclear TigeRESAncientIllyrians
56%CT side51%
54%T side48%
49%Pistol55%
81%After win75%
26%After loss40%
Nuclear TigeRESDust2Illyrians
48%CT side49%
51%T side45%
55%Pistol42%
89%After win93%
12%After loss19%
Nuclear TigeRESAnubisIllyrians
53%CT side53%
61%T side60%
48%Pistol50%
89%After win100%
12%After loss17%
Pistol rounds51% · 47% · Nuclear TigeRES win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol86% · 88% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol18% · 24% · Illyrians fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Nuclear TigeRES vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapNUCILL
MirageNUC ban41%12-1755%11-9
NukeILL ban46%22-260%0-1
AncientNUC pick71%53-2255%6-5
Dust2ILL pick50%32-3244%8-10
CacheNUC ban67%4-275%9-3
InfernoILL ban68%23-1150%1-1
Anubisdecider70%39-1783%5-1
Each team's usual first ban: Nuclear TigeRES Overpass · Illyrians Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Nuclear TigeRES

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i58/185 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 185 maps they won, 58 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs MagnumDust2from 12 downvs PhantomAnubisfrom 12 downvs NemesisNukefrom 11 downvs 1winAnubisfrom 6 downvs SashiNukefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i58/127 (46%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 127 maps they lost, 58 (46%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-RUBYMirageled 10 · lost 16-19vs NemesisNukeled 9 · lost 4-13vs illwillInfernoled 8 · lost 11-13vs MOUZ NXTNukeled 8 · lost 15-19vs ex-Zero TenacityInfernoled 8 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MagnumDust2from 12 down · won 13-1
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-RUBYMirageled 10 · lost 16-19
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 41Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 41 went to overtime.vs Gentle MatesInferno15-19vs KOLESIEAncient16-13vs OramondMirage16-14vs WHITEBIRDInferno19-17vs MOUZ NXTAncient16-13

Illyrians

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i18/40 (45%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 40 maps they won, 18 (45%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 45% of their wins were comebacks, not 45% of all games.vs Banda ChuyaCachefrom 11 downvs WWDust2from 10 downvs VexarAncientfrom 6 downvs UNiTYDust2from 6 downvs Saint SinnersMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i10/30 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 30 maps they lost, 10 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-RUSTECAnubisled 10 · lost 6-13vs Noir VerseNukeled 8 · lost 5-13vs STATECacheled 5 · lost 11-13vs MAYBEMirageled 4 · lost 12-16vs G2 AresAncientled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Banda ChuyaCachefrom 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-RUSTECAnubisled 10 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs STATEAncient16-12vs MAYBEMirage12-16vs SAW YoungstersDust219-17vs Bushido WildcatsAnubis16-14vs Black PhoenixMirage13-16

Nuclear TigeRES vs Illyrians FAQ

Who is favored to win Nuclear TigeRES vs Illyrians?

Nuclear TigeRES are favored with a 76% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Nuclear TigeRES vs Illyrians?

Match odds for Nuclear TigeRES vs Illyrians aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Nuclear TigeRES and Illyrians play?

Nuclear TigeRES vs Illyrians is scheduled for 2026-10-23 11:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 11.