Matches / Upcoming / Imperial vs Turma do Pagode

Imperial vs Turma do Pagode: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Circuit X Curitiba Season 4

Imperial
World #53 · 64-33
VS
2026-10-22 14:00 UTC
Circuit X Curitiba Season 4 · Best of 3
Turma do Pagode
World #102 · 25-14
Circuit X Curitiba Season 4 · Best of 3
69%
Win probability
31%
81%
1.144.96Market · 1 booksBookmakerIMPTURGGBet1.144.96
19%
The call

Imperial are favoured: our model gives them 69% against Turma do Pagode. Bookmakers lean Imperial at 81%. Strength clearly favours Imperial.

Likely mapsNuke · Cache · Dust2

Firepower

roster ratings

Imperial · avg 1.16 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
saadzin★1.4274.478.3%33%1.22
decenty1.1680.475.1%57%1.17
noway1.17675.9%54%1.17
chelo174.974.2%62%1.13
VINI0.9972.474.1%47%1.11

Turma do Pagode · avg 1.03 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
naitte★1.0581.172.8%60%1.14
Tuurtle1.157373.4%56%1.13
WOOD71.0567.573.5%33%1.01
pesadelo0.9672.371.8%50%1
Ceruttera0.9166.866%52%0.89

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
paiN#325-10-4
DENDELE#410-50-2
ShindeN#528-102-4
Galorys#6914-76-4
Bounty Hunters#8216-1110-3
LP#1036-22-2
Procyon#1122-02-2
ALKA#1526-18-3

Map lab

Imperial70%to win the Bo3 · most likely Imperial 2-0
If the veto goes
Imperial 70%how the series ends30% Turma do Pagode
38%2-010%
32%2-121%
Map 1NukeImperial pick
Imperial82%29-14vsTurma do Pagode18%2-6
67%Win25%
62%CT50%
50%T39%
63%Pistol38%
80%Conv83%
Map 2CacheTurma do Pago… pick
Imperial46%10-5vsTurma do Pagode54%2-0
67%Win100%
59%CT67%
53%T50%
53%Pistol25%
75%Conv100%
Map 3Dust2decider
Imperial60%25-16vsTurma do Pagode40%12-12
61%Win50%
59%CT49%
50%T49%
51%Pistol46%
78%Conv68%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

ImperialNukeTurma do Pagode
62%CT side50%
50%T side39%
63%Pistol38%
80%After win83%
22%After loss20%
ImperialCacheTurma do Pagode
59%CT side67%
53%T side50%
53%Pistol25%
75%After win100%
14%After loss0%
ImperialDust2Turma do Pagode
59%CT side49%
50%T side49%
51%Pistol46%
78%After win68%
28%After loss23%
Pistol rounds57% · 43% · Imperial win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol78% · 72% · Imperial keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol23% · 21% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Imperial vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Turma do Pagode habitually bans Mirage, Imperial's strongest maps (Nuke, Mirage, Anubis, Dust2, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Mirage 27/39), not an opponent read, so expect Imperial to fight the veto for Mirage.
MapIMPTUR
AncientIMP bann/a0g74%23-8
MirageTUR ban63%33-1975%3-1
NukeIMP pick67%29-1425%2-6
CacheTUR pick67%10-5100%2-0
AnubisIMP ban72%13-550%6-6
InfernoTUR ban56%25-2050%3-3
Dust2decider61%25-1650%12-12
Each team's usual first ban: Imperial Ancient · Turma do Pagode Mirage.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Imperial

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i36/143 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 143 maps they won, 36 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs ShindeNInfernofrom 10 downvs paiNAnubisfrom 10 downvs ODDIKAnubisfrom 8 downvs Fake do BiruMiragefrom 7 downvs ShindeNCachefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i29/86 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 86 maps they lost, 29 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NRGInfernoled 10 · lost 4-13vs ShindeNMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs DENDELENukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs ODDIKDust2led 5 · lost 10-13vs METANOIAInfernoled 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ShindeNInfernofrom 10 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NRGInfernoled 10 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 33Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 33 went to overtime.vs ShindeNNuke13-16vs ShindeNOverpass17-19vs SharksInferno17-19vs ODDIKAnubis16-14vs Bounty HuntersNuke17-19

Turma do Pagode

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/53 (40%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 53 maps they won, 21 (40%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 40% of their wins were comebacks, not 40% of all games.vs MIBR feAnubisfrom 10 downvs YawaraAncientfrom 9 downvs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 8 downvs MEIA NOITEDust2from 8 downvs YawaraAnubisfrom 8 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/37 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 37 maps they lost, 14 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs GalorysAnubisled 10 · lost 4-13vs Keyd StarsAncientled 7 · lost 11-13vs ALKADust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs BORRACHEIROSAnubisled 6 · lost 8-13vs DENDELEAncientled 5 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MIBR feAnubisfrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs GalorysAnubisled 10 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs METANOIA WolvesDust216-19vs YawaraAncient14-16vs IsurusInferno16-14vs DENDELEAncient12-16vs ShindeNDust216-13

Imperial vs Turma do Pagode FAQ

Who is favored to win Imperial vs Turma do Pagode?

Imperial are favored with a 69% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Imperial vs Turma do Pagode?

Bookmakers price Imperial at 1.14 and Turma do Pagode at 4.96 (implied 81% vs 19%).

When do Imperial and Turma do Pagode play?

Imperial vs Turma do Pagode is scheduled for 2026-10-22 14:00 UTC at Circuit X Curitiba Season 4.