Matches / Upcoming / UPGRADE vs Virtus.pro
UPGRADE vs Virtus.pro: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 9
UPGRADE
World #74 · 16-14
VS
2026-10-22 20:30 UTC
WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 9 · Best of 3
Virtus.pro
World #56 · 31-17
WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 9 · Best of 3
36%64%
40%
2.31.55Market · 5 books
60%The call
Virtus.pro are favoured: our model gives them 64% against UPGRADE. Bookmakers lean Virtus.pro at 60%. Strength clearly favours Virtus.pro, record slightly favours Virtus.pro, firepower slightly favours Virtus.pro.
Likely mapsAnubis · Dust2 · Ancient
Firepower
roster ratingsUPGRADE · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.12iStar gap: the best player rates 0.12 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pleynnn★ | 1.14 | 83.3 | 75.5% | 60% | 1.26 |
| SquEzxc | 1.19 | 79.1 | 73% | 34% | 1.2 |
| synyx | 0.97 | 70.9 | 74.2% | 58% | 1.14 |
| DAN9ARMATURA | 0.97 | 68.2 | 74.1% | 57% | 1.06 |
| tw1sterzaza | 0.99 | 74 | 69.8% | 54% | 1.06 |
Virtus.pro · avg 1.24 · star gap +0.41iStar gap: the best player rates 0.41 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
UPGRADE
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
HOTU#381-23-0
UPGRADE vs HOTU
Aug 31LAnubis8-13Nuke19-15Dust22-13Virtus.pro vs HOTU
Sep 13WDust216-14Anubis13-6Ancient16-13
K27#461-27-4
UPGRADE vs K27
Oct 2LDust213-10Cache16-19Anubis6-13Virtus.pro vs K27
Sep 11WCache13-10Dust213-8Sep 9LAnubis5-13Cache16-14Mirage3-13Jun 19WNuke19-17Overpass10-13Mirage13-9+1 earlier meeting
BBL#480-10-2
UPGRADE vs BBL
Sep 6LMirage11-13Virtus.pro vs BBL
Sep 22LNuke0-13Mirage5-13
Nuclear TigeRES#502-10-1
UPGRADE vs Nuclear TigeRES
Sep 13WDust25-13Cache13-8Anubis13-11Virtus.pro vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jan 17LInferno10-13
Black Phoenix#553-22-0
Virtus.pro vs Black Phoenix
Oct 21WNuke13-1Mirage13-3
BET-M#791-22-0
UPGRADE vs BET-M
Aug 26LNuke11-13Anubis13-10Dust210-13Virtus.pro vs BET-M
May 27WNuke16-12Ancient13-6
CYBERSHOKE2-14-0
UPGRADE vs CYBERSHOKE
Sep 13WCache11-13Dust213-7Ancient13-9Map lab
Virtus.pro53%to win the Bo3 · most likely Virtus.pro 2-1
If the veto goes
UPGRADE 47%how the series ends53% Virtus.pro
31%2-019%
16%2-134%
UPGRADE59%11-10vsVirtus.pro41%5-7
52%Win42%
50%CT50%
54%T48%
55%Pistol58%
86%Conv79%
UPGRADE52%11-7vsVirtus.pro48%18-13
61%Win58%
57%CT47%
49%T54%
47%Pistol42%
82%Conv81%
UPGRADE32%6-3vsVirtus.pro68%10-2
67%Win83%
68%CT54%
43%T55%
56%Pistol63%
89%Conv93%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
UPGRADEAnubisVirtus.pro
50%CT side50%
54%T side48%
55%Pistol58%
86%After win79%
11%After loss20%
UPGRADEDust2Virtus.pro
57%CT side47%
49%T side54%
47%Pistol42%
82%After win81%
11%After loss22%
UPGRADEAncientVirtus.pro
68%CT side54%
43%T side55%
56%Pistol63%
89%After win93%
0%After loss33%
Pistol rounds52% · 50% · level, no edge
After a won pistol85% · 84% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol9% · 24% · Virtus.pro fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, UPGRADE vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Virtus.pro habitually bans Inferno, UPGRADE's strongest maps (Dust2, Inferno, Ancient all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 37/48), not an opponent read, so expect UPGRADE to fight the veto for Anubis.
MapUPGVIR
MirageUPG ban40%2-364%16-9
InfernoVIR ban67%2-10%0-2
AnubisUPG pick52%11-1042%5-7
Dust2VIR pick61%11-758%18-13
CacheUPG ban20%1-460%6-4
NukeVIR ban33%3-664%9-5
Ancientdecider67%6-383%10-2
Each team's usual first ban: UPGRADE Mirage · Virtus.pro Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
UPGRADE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/36 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 36 maps they won, 13 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs FORZE ReloadAnubisfrom 8 downvs Black PhoenixAnubisfrom 8 downvs INOX DivisionAncientfrom 6 downvs FORZE ReloadMiragefrom 6 downvs HOTUNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/34 (50%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 34 maps they lost, 17 (50%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ButterflyAncientled 10 · lost 3-13vs ButterflyDust2led 8 · lost 11-13vs BBLMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs ColorMirageled 7 · lost 10-13vs ex-CYBERSHOKEAncientled 7 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FORZE ReloadAnubisfrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ButterflyAncientled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs HOTUNuke19-15vs FORZE ReloadDust216-14vs INOX DivisionAncient16-14vs ColorAnubis14-16vs Just PlayersNuke13-16
Virtus.pro
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/70 (41%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 70 maps they won, 29 (41%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 41% of their wins were comebacks, not 41% of all games.vs XMETACachefrom 13 downvs CYBERSHOKEDust2from 9 downvs WBTDust2from 7 downvs 1winOverpassfrom 6 downvs PsychoFaceMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/47 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 47 maps they lost, 15 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs fnaticAnubisled 7 · lost 13-16vs GenOneDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs K27Overpassled 5 · lost 10-13vs ex-RUBYMirageled 5 · lost 14-16vs SashiDust2led 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 13 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs XMETACachefrom 13 down · won 13-0
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs fnaticAnubisled 7 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs RUSTECOverpass12-16vs BET-MNuke16-12vs ARCREDAncient22-20vs OxujiDust216-13vs K27Nuke19-17
UPGRADE vs Virtus.pro FAQ
Who is favored to win UPGRADE vs Virtus.pro?
Virtus.pro are favored with a 64% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for UPGRADE vs Virtus.pro?
Bookmakers price UPGRADE at 2.3 and Virtus.pro at 1.55 (implied 40% vs 60%).
When do UPGRADE and Virtus.pro play?
UPGRADE vs Virtus.pro is scheduled for 2026-10-22 20:30 UTC at WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 9.