Matches / Upcoming / Aurora vs Liquid
Aurora vs Liquid: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · IEM Beijing 2026
IEM Beijing 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
68%32%
74%
1.263.6Market · 23 books
26%The call
Aurora are favoured: our model gives them 68% against Liquid. Bookmakers lean Aurora at 74%. Strength clearly favours Aurora, record slightly favours Aurora, form clearly favours Aurora.
Likely mapsAnubis · Mirage · Cache
Firepower
roster ratingsAurora · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Liquid · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Spirit#13-20-6
Vitality#24-122-0
Aurora vs Vitality
Oct 10LAnubis13-7Cache7-13Mirage8-13Sep 20LAnubis4-13Inferno13-11Mirage4-13Cache7-13Sep 19WAnubis13-7Inferno11-13Nuke13-8+3 earlier meetings
Liquid vs Vitality
Jul 24WAnubis13-10Nuke13-9
Falcons#64-40-2
Aurora vs Falcons
Oct 18WAnubis8-13Dust219-17Nuke13-9Oct 4LMirage4-13Dust210-13Feb 1WAnubis13-7Mirage10-13Inferno13-8Liquid vs Falcons
Jan 22LNuke14-16Dust28-13
G2#85-43-2
Aurora vs G2
Aug 31LAnubis13-7Inferno16-19Mirage1-13Aug 26LInferno5-13Anubis12-16Jun 13WOverpass13-8Anubis13-7+1 earlier meeting
FUT#101-20-2
Aurora vs FUT
Feb 14LMirage6-13Anubis16-13Overpass6-13Liquid vs FUT
Jan 30LAncient4-13Nuke9-13
PARIVISION#133-20-1
Liquid vs PARIVISION
May 20LDust29-13
1win#142-01-2
Aurora vs 1win
Oct 9WDust213-9Anubis13-8Liquid vs 1win
Aug 9LDust25-13Anubis13-6Cache7-13
Astralis#164-10-2
Liquid vs Astralis
May 12LDust24-13Ancient11-13Map lab
Liquid50%to win the Bo3 · most likely Liquid 2-1
If the veto goes
Aurora 50%how the series ends50% Liquid
27%2-022%
22%2-128%
Aurora58%18-9vsLiquid42%10-7
67%Win59%
57%CT53%
53%T58%
57%Pistol53%
94%Conv72%
Aurora47%20-14vsLiquid53%15-9
59%Win63%
54%CT57%
45%T46%
53%Pistol60%
78%Conv69%
Aurora44%5-4vsLiquid56%8-5
56%Win62%
50%CT51%
51%T56%
89%Pistol58%
94%Conv87%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
AuroraAnubisLiquid
57%CT side53%
53%T side58%
57%Pistol53%
94%After win72%
9%After loss13%
AuroraMirageLiquid
54%CT side57%
45%T side46%
53%Pistol60%
78%After win69%
16%After loss5%
AuroraCacheLiquid
50%CT side51%
51%T side56%
89%Pistol58%
94%After win87%
0%After loss18%
Pistol rounds59% · 57% · level, no edge
After a won pistol87% · 74% · Aurora keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol12% · 11% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Aurora vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapAURLIQ
AncientAUR ban0%0-231%5-11
Dust2LIQ ban61%23-1530%7-16
AnubisAUR pick67%18-959%10-7
MirageLIQ pick59%20-1463%15-9
NukeAUR ban54%15-1348%15-16
InfernoLIQ ban60%15-1062%13-8
Cachedecider56%5-462%8-5
Each team's usual first ban: Aurora Ancient · Liquid Overpass.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Aurora
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i27/105 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 105 maps they won, 27 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs AstralisDust2from 8 downvs NRGCachefrom 7 downvs FURIAMiragefrom 7 downvs FUTAnubisfrom 6 downvs FURIADust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i33/74 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 74 maps they lost, 33 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs VitalityAnubisled 9 · lost 4-13vs VitalityMirageled 9 · lost 4-13vs LegacyOverpassled 6 · lost 8-13vs MOUZDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs FURIAMirageled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AstralisDust2from 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs VitalityAnubisled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs GamerLegionInferno13-16vs VitalityAncient22-25vs FUTAnubis16-13vs Natus VincereInferno12-16vs B8Mirage16-13
Liquid
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/73 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 73 maps they won, 19 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs BBLMiragefrom 11 downvs The MongolZMiragefrom 6 downvs M80Miragefrom 5 downvs Ninjas in PyjamasMiragefrom 4 downvs Inner CircleMiragefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/72 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 72 maps they lost, 20 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs OGAncientled 7 · lost 8-13vs 3DMAXNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs magicDust2led 7 · lost 10-13vs SashiNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs PARIVISIONDust2led 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BBLMiragefrom 11 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs OGAncientled 7 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs Ninjas in PyjamasAncient16-13vs FalconsNuke14-16vs G2Anubis14-16vs Passion UANuke15-19vs M80Mirage16-13
Aurora vs Liquid FAQ
Who is favored to win Aurora vs Liquid?
Aurora are favored with a 68% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Aurora vs Liquid?
Bookmakers price Aurora at 1.26 and Liquid at 3.6 (implied 74% vs 26%).
When do Aurora and Liquid play?
Aurora vs Liquid is scheduled for 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC at IEM Beijing 2026.