Matches / Upcoming / BAKS vs Leo
BAKS vs Leo: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 13
BAKS
World #96 · 29-24
VS
2026-11-09 12:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 13 · Best of 3
Leo
World #79 · 64-61
CCT 2026 Europe Series 13 · Best of 3
51%49%
57%
1.62.11Market · 1 books
43%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 51–49. Bookmakers lean BAKS at 57%. Form slightly favours BAKS, firepower clearly favours BAKS, head-to-head clearly favours Leo.
Likely mapsCache · Nuke · Dust2
Firepower
roster ratingsBAKS · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.01iStar gap: the best player rates 0.01 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Leo · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
BAKS
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
FOKUS#540-20-2
BAKS vs FOKUS
Oct 31LMirage8-13Nuke14-16Leo vs FOKUS
Sep 12LCache5-13Anubis2-13
Black Phoenix#584-72-4
BAKS vs Black Phoenix
Nov 7LCache13-7Dust25-13Mirage10-13Oct 19LCache6-13Dust211-13Sep 20WCache13-11Dust21-13Mirage13-10+1 earlier meeting
BASEMENT BOYS#641-20-2
BAKS vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 15LCache5-13Nuke13-4Dust24-13Leo vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 4LAnubis8-13Mirage7-13
Metizport#671-20-2
BAKS vs Metizport
Oct 25LCache6-13Nuke13-10Ancient8-13Leo vs Metizport
Mar 3LDust210-13Nuke11-13
Spirit Academy#834-02-2
WBT#861-22-1
BAKS vs WBT
Aug 31LCache13-5Nuke5-13Ancient7-13Leo vs WBT
Aug 3WAncient4-13Anubis13-9Dust213-11
BET-M#942-00-2
BAKS vs BET-M
Jul 28WAncient13-8Inferno13-6Leo vs BET-M
Sep 15Lseries0-2
BRUTE#951-22-0
BAKS vs BRUTE
Oct 23LCache13-8Inferno8-13Nuke7-13Leo vs BRUTE
Apr 7WNuke13-7Dust213-3Map lab
Leo60%to win the Bo3 · most likely Leo 2-1
If the veto goes
BAKS 40%how the series ends60% Leo
18%2-023%
22%2-136%
BAKS68%24-13vsLeo32%10-12
65%Win45%
57%CT51%
53%T49%
45%Pistol66%
94%Conv79%
BAKS27%10-12vsLeo73%40-17
45%Win70%
58%CT61%
38%T50%
55%Pistol52%
83%Conv81%
BAKS38%10-16vsLeo62%43-40
38%Win52%
42%CT51%
52%T52%
48%Pistol53%
80%Conv80%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
BAKSCacheLeo
57%CT side51%
53%T side49%
45%Pistol66%
94%After win79%
23%After loss20%
BAKSNukeLeo
58%CT side61%
38%T side50%
55%Pistol52%
83%After win81%
15%After loss18%
BAKSDust2Leo
42%CT side51%
52%T side52%
48%Pistol53%
80%After win80%
22%After loss17%
Pistol rounds48% · 54% · Leo win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol87% · 80% · BAKS keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol21% · 18% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BAKS vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBAKLEO
AnubisBAK bann/a0g31%12-27
MirageLEO ban59%10-743%9-12
CacheBAK pick65%24-1345%10-12
NukeLEO pick45%10-1270%40-17
InfernoBAK ban35%6-1150%7-7
AncientLEO ban77%10-351%27-26
Each team's usual first ban: BAKS Anubis · Leo Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
BAKS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i24/70 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 70 maps they won, 24 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs AzuolasCachefrom 11 downvs CRUISER AURORAMiragefrom 10 downvs G2 AresCachefrom 10 downvs K28Dust2from 9 downvs DramaInfernofrom 8 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/63 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 63 maps they lost, 20 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SPARTAInfernoled 10 · lost 3-13vs Black PhoenixDust2led 7 · lost 10-13vs K27Cacheled 7 · lost 17-19vs GenOneInfernoled 7 · lost 7-13vs Fire FluxMirageled 7 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AzuolasCachefrom 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SPARTAInfernoled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 12Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 12 went to overtime.vs XcityInferno16-13vs ReThinkMirage26-28vs MisaNuke12-16vs SPARTAAncient19-16vs G2 AresAncient22-20
Leo
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i47/151 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 151 maps they won, 47 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs BayankhongorAncientfrom 13 downvs RyvexNukefrom 11 downvs Saint SinnersNukefrom 9 downvs PhantomNukefrom 7 downvs Bushido WildcatsNukefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i47/143 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 143 maps they lost, 47 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs mellrenDust2led 8 · lost 8-13vs ex-Zero TenacityCacheled 8 · lost 7-13vs UNiTYAncientled 7 · lost 14-16vs Black PhoenixDust2led 7 · lost 6-13vs MAYBECacheled 7 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 13 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BayankhongorAncientfrom 13 down · won 13-0
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs mellrenDust2led 8 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 31Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 31 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsAnubis14-16vs WWNuke17-19vs WWAnubis14-16vs BIGAnubis14-16vs Bushido WildcatsNuke19-16
BAKS vs Leo FAQ
Who is favored to win BAKS vs Leo?
BAKS are favored with a 51% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for BAKS vs Leo?
Bookmakers price BAKS at 1.6 and Leo at 2.11 (implied 57% vs 43%).
When do BAKS and Leo play?
BAKS vs Leo is scheduled for 2026-11-09 12:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 13.