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BIG vs Sangal: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Stake Ranked Episode 6

BIG
World #37 · 54-31
VS
2026-11-17 13:30 UTC
Stake Ranked Episode 6 · Best of 3
Sangal
World #41 · 45-31
Stake Ranked Episode 6 · Best of 3
46%
Win probability
54%
62%
1.52.44Market · 1 booksBookmakerBIGSANGGBet1.52.44
38%
The call

Sangal are favoured: our model gives them 54% against BIG. Bookmakers lean BIG at 62%. Strength slightly favours Sangal, form clearly favours Sangal, firepower clearly favours Sangal.

Likely mapsAncient · Mirage · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

BIG · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
blameF★1.3386.178.6%44%1.27
gr1ks1.2573.674.8%31%1.15
JDC1.0477.674.1%53%1.14
faveN1.0369.373.9%59%1.08
tabseN0.896873.2%50%1.02

Sangal · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
adamS★1.1679.277.8%44%1.21
Joey1.1180.273.5%50%1.19
bnox1.0577.273.9%56%1.16
R4DYX1.0268.471.7%39%1.05
puuha0.8967.573.7%49%1.04

Recent form

BIG

Eternal Fire11d ago0-2fnaticBlew leadBL712d ago0-2magic13d ago2-1The MongolZ18d ago1-2PARIVISION19d ago0-2The MongolZ20d ago2-0PRIVATE21d ago2-0AstralisStompStomp1-131mo ago1-2LuminosityOvertimeOT1mo ago1-2fnaticComebackCB61mo ago2-1G22mo ago1-2BETBOOM2mo ago0-2magicOvertimeOT2mo ago0-2paiN2mo ago2-0NemigaUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT2mo ago1-2

Sangal

MetizportOvertimeOT18d ago2-1BRUTE19d ago2-1Aurora Young Blud20d ago2-0100 ThievesPistolsPist3/424d ago0-2Inner CircleUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT28d ago2-0BetclicPistolsPist4/4OvertimeOT28d ago2-0Inner Circle28d ago0-2NAVI JuniorUpsetUpsetBlew leadBL61mo ago1-2PUREStompStomp2-131mo ago2-1G2 AresOvertimeOT1mo ago2-1EACPistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0FaZeOvertimeOT1mo ago1-2OGOvertimeOT1mo ago2-0NAVI JuniorUpsetUpset1mo ago6-13SAW1mo ago13-10

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Nemiga#92-60-2
BIG vs Nemiga
Sep 2LNuke13-11Ancient13-16Mirage11-13Apr 27LOverpass13-16Mirage2-13Jan 30LAnubis13-9Ancient10-13Dust211-13
Sangal vs Nemiga
Mar 23LNuke7-13Dust21-13
Astralis#191-21-2
BIG vs Astralis
Oct 3LCache5-13Inferno13-11Mirage1-13
Sangal vs Astralis
Sep 21LNuke19-17Ancient7-13Cache7-13
FaZe#202-11-2
BIG vs FaZe
Apr 5WDust23-13Overpass13-11Anubis13-3
Sangal vs FaZe
Oct 8LDust216-13Nuke7-13Cache8-13
Eternal Fire#222-20-2
BIG vs Eternal Fire
Oct 29LAncient9-13Inferno4-13Aug 9WMirage13-10Inferno13-8
Sangal vs Eternal Fire
Oct 3LDust25-13Cache11-13
Ninjas in Pyjamas#233-32-2
BIG vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4WAnubis13-11Inferno9-13Ancient13-6Apr 25LAncient5-13Mirage13-11Anubis5-13
Sangal vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Oct 2WNuke13-4Sep 3LCache13-10Ancient8-13Nuke12-16
HEROIC#260-21-2
BIG vs HEROIC
Apr 24LDust29-13Overpass7-13
Sangal vs HEROIC
Sep 26LCache1-13Dust213-10Mirage8-13
HOTU#302-11-2
BIG vs HOTU
Mar 26WAncient13-8Dust29-13Overpass13-5
Sangal vs HOTU
Jan 21LMirage13-10Overpass14-16Ancient5-13
100 Thieves#332-10-2
BIG vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23WMirage13-9Ancient3-13Dust216-13
Sangal vs 100 Thieves
Oct 16LNuke8-13Dust25-13

Map lab

BIG50%to win the Bo3 · most likely Sangal 2-1
If the veto goes
BIG 50%how the series ends50% Sangal
28%2-020%
23%2-129%
Map 1AncientBIG pick
BIG64%24-17vsSangal36%9-12
59%Win43%
55%CT41%
49%T50%
52%Pistol55%
79%Conv65%
Map 2MirageSangal pick
BIG43%17-15vsSangal57%20-13
53%Win61%
55%CT53%
42%T51%
42%Pistol50%
78%Conv91%
Map 3Cachedecider
BIG44%10-6vsSangal56%11-5
63%Win69%
47%CT60%
58%T52%
41%Pistol53%
77%Conv94%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

BIGAncientSangal
55%CT side41%
49%T side50%
52%Pistol55%
79%After win65%
10%After loss5%
BIGMirageSangal
55%CT side53%
42%T side51%
42%Pistol50%
78%After win91%
19%After loss27%
BIGCacheSangal
47%CT side60%
58%T side52%
41%Pistol53%
77%After win94%
21%After loss27%
Pistol rounds47% · 52% · Sangal win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol78% · 84% · Sangal keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol16% · 21% · Sangal fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BIG vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Sangal habitually bans Inferno, BIG's strongest maps (Dust2, Anubis, Overpass, Inferno, Nuke, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 53/76), not an opponent read, so expect BIG to fight the veto for Overpass.
MapBIGSAN
NukeBIG ban63%10-668%25-12
BIG on Nuke
LBETBOOM9–132mo agoWNemiga13–112mo agoWz to forward13–13mo agoLNRG12–165mo agoWGaimin Gladiators13–15mo agoLLiquid10–135mo agoWQWENTRY13–57mo agoLBebop9–137mo ago
Sangal on Nuke
WMetizport19–1718d agoLBRUTE4–1319d agoWAurora Young Blud13–420d agoL100 Thieves8–1324d agoWPURE13–31mo agoWEAC13–71mo agoLFaZe7–131mo agoWOG16–141mo ago
InfernoSAN ban67%16-863%5-3
BIG on Inferno
LEternal Fire4–1311d agoLfnatic11–1312d agoLThe MongolZ3–1318d agoWAstralis13–111mo agoWLuminosity13–91mo agoWfnatic13–111mo agoLG21–133mo agoLSashi9–133mo ago
Sangal on Inferno
LPassion UA11–137mo agoWTricked13–107mo agoWASTRAL13–37mo agoWPURE13–57mo agoWWildcard13–118mo agoWNOMERCY13–38mo agoLFAVBET8–138mo agoLex-Zero Tenacity11–138mo ago
AncientBIG pick59%24-1743%9-12
BIG on Ancient
LEternal Fire9–1311d agoLfnatic6–1312d agoLmagic10–1313d agoLfnatic11–131mo agoLG210–132mo agoLmagic5–132mo agoLNemiga13–162mo agoWG216–133mo ago
Sangal on Ancient
WAurora Young Blud13–1120d agoLPURE2–131mo agoLG2 Ares10–131mo agoWInner Circle Academy16–131mo agoWHYPERSPIRIT13–101mo agoWJiJieHao13–102mo agoLAstralis7–132mo agoLNinjas in Pyjamas8–132mo ago
MirageSAN pick53%17-1561%20-13
BIG on Mirage
Wmagic13–1113d agoLThe MongolZ7–1318d agoWThe MongolZ13–420d agoWPRIVATE13–1021d agoLAstralis1–131mo agoLLuminosity13–161mo agoWfnatic13–91mo agoLG27–132mo ago
Sangal on Mirage
WMetizport13–1118d agoWBRUTE13–319d agoWBetclic13–528d agoLNAVI Junior2–131mo agoWEAC13–71mo agoLHAVU12–161mo agoWXEPT13–71mo agoWBBL13–101mo ago
AnubisBIG ban67%6-356%9-7
BIG on Anubis
WNinjas in Pyjamas13–114mo agoLNinjas in Pyjamas5–137mo agoWUrsa13–97mo agoWFaZe13–37mo agoLBetclic6–137mo agoLK278–138mo agoWCYBERSHOKE13–38mo agoWLeo16–148mo ago
Sangal on Anubis
WBRUTE13–919d agoWBetclic16–1328d agoLInner Circle9–1328d agoLNAVI Junior7–131mo agoWG2 Ares16–131mo agoLNAVI Junior6–131mo agoWLazer Cats13–41mo agoWSportsBetExpert13–41mo ago
Dust2SAN ban63%12-736%8-14
BIG on Dust2
LPARIVISION7–1319d agoWpaiN13–62mo agoLSpirit10–133mo agoWGenOne13–113mo agoLB88–135mo agoWNRG13–55mo agoLHEROIC9–137mo agoW100 Thieves16–137mo ago
Sangal on Dust2
L100 Thieves5–1324d agoWInner Circle16–1228d agoLInner Circle6–1328d agoWFaZe16–131mo agoWOG19–151mo agoLEternal Fire5–131mo agoWENCE13–51mo agoLENCE10–131mo ago
Cachedecider63%10-669%11-5
BIG on Cache
Wmagic13–913d agoWThe MongolZ13–418d agoLPARIVISION9–1319d agoWThe MongolZ13–820d agoWPRIVATE13–521d agoLAstralis5–131mo agoLLuminosity5–131mo agoWG213–82mo ago
Sangal on Cache
LMetizport14–1618d agoWInner Circle13–1128d agoWNAVI Junior13–41mo agoWPURE13–91mo agoWG2 Ares13–41mo agoLFaZe8–131mo agoWFamalicão16–131mo agoLEternal Fire11–131mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: BIG Nuke · Sangal Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

BIG

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i35/113 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 113 maps they won, 35 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs NRGMiragefrom 12 downvs Gentle MatesAncientfrom 6 downvs magicOverpassfrom 6 downvs AMMiragefrom 5 downvs AMNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/71 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 71 maps they lost, 22 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AstralisCacheled 11 · lost 5-13vs HEROICDust2led 9 · lost 9-13vs G2Cacheled 8 · lost 5-13vs fnaticInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs B8Dust2led 6 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NRGMiragefrom 12 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AstralisCacheled 11 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs HYPERSPIRITOverpass17-19vs HAVUOverpass16-14vs LeoAnubis16-14vs AMNuke16-12vs NemesisMirage14-16

Sangal

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i31/88 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 88 maps they won, 31 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs Lazer CatsAnubisfrom 9 downvs ENCECachefrom 8 downvs OGDust2from 8 downvs Inner Circle AcademyAncientfrom 6 downvs FORZE ReloadAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/68 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 68 maps they lost, 27 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ASTRALDust2led 8 · lost 11-13vs AstralisAncientled 8 · lost 7-13vs illwillNukeled 7 · lost 17-19vs illwillMirageled 6 · lost 9-13vs NAVI JuniorAnubisled 6 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Lazer CatsAnubisfrom 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ASTRALDust2led 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs HOTUOverpass14-16vs illwillNuke17-19vs NemesisNuke14-16vs DziuseppeAncient16-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasNuke12-16

BIG vs Sangal FAQ

Who is favored to win BIG vs Sangal?

Sangal are favored with a 54% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for BIG vs Sangal?

Bookmakers price BIG at 1.5 and Sangal at 2.44 (implied 62% vs 38%).

When do BIG and Sangal play?

BIG vs Sangal is scheduled for 2026-11-17 13:30 UTC at Stake Ranked Episode 6.