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Predictions / Olympus vs DETONATE · match preview
Olympus vs DETONATE: CS2 match prediction · CROSSFIRE Season 6
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
64%36%
The call
Olympus are favoured: our model gives them 64% against DETONATE. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Olympus, record clearly favours Olympus, form slightly favours Olympus, firepower clearly favours Olympus.
Likely mapsAncient · Cache · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
OlympuspullDETONATE
Team strength1528
147062/38 OLY
Track record5–2
6–1272/28 OLY
Recent formWWWLL
WLLLL67/33 OLY
Roster rating1.09
1.0586/14 OLY
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 80% our own signal (16 maps of Olympus, 37 of DETONATE).
Bottom line: Olympus to beat DETONATE, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsOlympus · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.22iStar gap: the best player rates 0.22 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| relan★ | 1.15 | 89.7 | 69.4% | 58% | 1.31 |
| Bizarre666 | 1.12 | 79.8 | 70.9% | 44% | 1.21 |
| k6rdon | 0.97 | 70.4 | 71.5% | 65% | 1.07 |
| awayy | 0.84 | 60.2 | 69.3% | 55% | 0.94 |
| Sanzh1k33 | 0.82 | 62.4 | 66.8% | 54% | 0.9 |
DETONATE · avg 1.05 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
LAG#942-00-2
Olympus vs LAG
Jun 13WAncient13-11Nuke13-8
Wanted Goons#2174-12-0
DETONATE vs Wanted Goons
Jun 13WAnubis13-9Ancient16-14Map lab
Olympus59%to win the Bo3 · most likely Olympus 2-1
If the veto goes
Olympus 59%how the series ends41% DETONATE
27%2-023%
33%2-117%
Olympus54%3-1vsDETONATE46%2-1
75%Win67%
67%CT33%
43%T65%
50%Pistol50%
100%Conv100%
Olympus50%0-0thinDETONATE50%3-2
–Win60%
–CT58%
–T37%
–Pistol60%
–Conv83%
Olympus65%3-1vsDETONATE35%2-3
75%Win40%
64%CT48%
49%T37%
75%Pistol20%
100%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
OlympusAncientDETONATE
67%CT side33%
43%T side65%
50%Pistol50%
100%After win100%
25%After loss33%
OlympusCacheDETONATE
–CT side58%
–T side37%
–Pistol60%
–After win83%
–After loss0%
OlympusNukeDETONATE
64%CT side48%
49%T side37%
75%Pistol20%
100%After win100%
50%After loss13%
Pistol rounds63% · 42% · Olympus win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol100% · 91% · Olympus keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol33% · 13% · Olympus fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Olympus vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
DETONATE habitually bans Ancient & Dust2, two of Olympus's strongest maps (Ancient, Nuke, Dust2 all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 11/18, Dust2 10/18), not an opponent read, so expect Olympus to fight the veto for Ancient.
MapOLYDET
InfernoOLY ban33%1-233%3-6
Dust2DET ban100%2-00%0-1
DETONATE on Dust2
L
Iowa Stormboar5–133mo agoAncientOLY pick75%3-167%2-1
CacheDET pickn/a0g60%3-2
Olympus on Cache
no recent maps
AnubisOLY ban0%0-217%1-5
MirageDET ban100%1-038%3-5
Nukedecider75%3-140%2-3
Each team's usual first ban: Olympus Cache · DETONATE Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Olympus
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/10 (40%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 10 maps they won, 4 (40%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 40% of their wins were comebacks, not 40% of all games.vs Wanted GoonsAncientfrom 5 downvs LAGAncientfrom 4 downvs OmenNukefrom 4 downvs OmenDust2from 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/6 (67%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 6 maps they lost, 4 (67%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs OmenAnubisled 9 · lost 10-13vs Club 333Infernoled 5 · lost 10-13vs Club 333Nukeled 3 · lost 8-13vs MarsborneAncientled 3 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Wanted GoonsAncientfrom 5 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs OmenAnubisled 9 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample
DETONATE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i7/14 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 14 maps they won, 7 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs Wanted GoonsAncientfrom 9 downvs Iowa StormboarMiragefrom 5 downvs Overtake SectorMiragefrom 5 downvs Wanted GoonsAnubisfrom 4 downvs regainInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i9/23 (39%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 23 maps they lost, 9 (39%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Festina LenteAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13vs NuToriousInfernoled 4 · lost 10-13vs Overtake SectorCacheled 4 · lost 9-13vs regainInfernoled 4 · lost 10-13vs Overtake SectorInfernoled 4 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Wanted GoonsAncientfrom 9 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Festina LenteAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs Wanted GoonsAncient16-14vs Iowa StormboarMirage16-14vs NuToriousCache16-14vs LAGAnubis12-16vs SportsBetExpertCache16-12