Phantom vs HAVU: CS2 match prediction · Elisa BreakOut Series 2

One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.

Bookmakers imply 67% for Phantom (1.38 / 2.76); we land 14 points lower at 53%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 98% our own signal (245 maps of Phantom, 180 of HAVU).

Bottom line: Phantom to beat HAVU, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.