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Matches / Upcoming / Phantom vs HAVU

Phantom vs HAVU: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Elisa BreakOut Series 2

Phantom
World #87 · 54-55
VS
2026-10-16 18:00 UTC
Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · Best of 1
HAVU
World #107 · 36-49
Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · Best of 1
53%
Win probability
47%
67%
1.382.76Market · 1 booksBookmakerPHAHAVGGBet1.382.76
33%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 53–47. Bookmakers lean Phantom at 67%. Strength slightly favours Phantom, form clearly favours HAVU, firepower clearly favours HAVU.

Likely mapsNuke

Firepower

roster ratings

Phantom · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
nicoodoz★1.2179.874.1%49%1.17
Kylar1.0772.772.5%60%1.16
KEi1.0177.172.8%49%1.1
Kunai0.9272.870%59%1.05
TMB0.8572.269.7%54%1.03

HAVU · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
ottob★1.1773.270.3%33%1.12
8Juho80.968171.9%54%1.11
Alxc1.017570%68%1.1
uli0.9670.771.9%57%1.03
p3kko0.965.668.5%64%0.99

Recent form

Phantom

fnaticComebackCB6StompStomp1-134d ago1-2Iberian Soul17d ago0-2fnatic18d ago0-2100 Thieves18d ago1-2fnaticComebackCB718d ago2-1G2 AresPistolsPist3/426d ago2-0SINNERS1mo ago0-2INFINITEUpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/41mo ago0-2OG1mo ago2-1ex-Zero Tenacity1mo ago0-2Nemiga1mo ago2-1LeoComebackCB6Blew leadBL71mo ago2-1AcendOvertimeOT2mo ago17-19JiJieHaoPistolsPist5/62mo ago1-2NRG2mo ago2-1

HAVU

SangalUpsetUpsetPistolsPist0/29d ago16-12BBL9d ago6-13Ninjas in Pyjamas9d ago10-13XEPTPistolsPist2/29d ago13-4SportsBetExpert9d ago9-13Inner Circle AcademyBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT15d ago1-2Metizport16d ago1-2Four Magic16d ago2-0Dark MoonUpsetUpset1mo ago0-2mellren1mo ago2-0PrivateerPistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0Black PhoenixOvertimeOT1mo ago0-2SPARTAOvertimeOT1mo ago0-2LavkedOvertimeOT1mo ago0-2Noir VersePistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Nemiga#222-10-2
Phantom vs Nemiga
Aug 29WAncient13-11Cache11-13Dust213-5
HAVU vs Nemiga
Mar 19LNuke14-16Overpass4-13
fnatic#403-70-2
Phantom vs fnatic
Oct 7LAnubis16-14Ancient5-13Inferno1-13Sep 23LAncient6-13Anubis9-13Sep 23WInferno5-13Dust213-3Mirage13-10
+1 earlier meeting
HAVU vs fnatic
May 12LMirage2-13Inferno8-13
Metizport#520-22-2
Phantom vs Metizport
Apr 14LNuke9-13Overpass9-13
HAVU vs Metizport
Sep 25LNuke13-8Inferno6-13Mirage10-13Jan 23WNuke13-4
ex-Zero Tenacity#560-25-7
Phantom vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Aug 30LDust28-13Nuke5-13
HAVU vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Aug 28LCache8-13Nuke13-9Inferno13-16Mar 20WDust26-13Nuke13-11Mirage19-16Mar 10LDust210-13Nuke13-8Mirage11-13
+1 earlier meeting
FORZE Reload#702-02-0
Phantom vs FORZE Reload
Jan 22WMirage13-7Nuke13-7
HAVU vs FORZE Reload
Feb 14WOverpass19-15Nuke13-9
INFINITE#710-20-1
Phantom vs INFINITE
Sep 4LInferno7-13Mirage10-13
HAVU vs INFINITE
May 21LInferno11-13
Leo#895-42-4
Phantom vs Leo
Aug 28WNuke10-13Ancient13-0Anubis13-11May 21WAncient8-13Nuke13-9Dust213-6Mar 8LDust210-13Nuke13-11Ancient16-19
HAVU vs Leo
Aug 22LAncient13-8Nuke14-16Dust24-13May 27LDust27-13Nuke13-4Inferno8-13
ASTRAL#974-00-2
Phantom vs ASTRAL
Mar 24WAnubis13-8Nuke13-11Mar 5WNuke13-4Anubis13-5
HAVU vs ASTRAL
Mar 3LNuke7-13Mirage10-13

Map lab

HAVU64%to win the map · most likely HAVU 1-0
If the veto goes
Map 1Nukedecider
Phantom36%31-27vsHAVU64%33-16
53%Win67%
56%CT59%
45%T51%
50%Pistol57%
81%Conv82%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

PhantomNukeHAVU
56%CT side59%
45%T side51%
50%Pistol57%
81%After win82%
14%After loss33%
Pistol rounds50% · 57% · HAVU win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol81% · 82% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol14% · 33% · HAVU fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo1, Phantom vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPHAHAV
InfernoPHA ban55%6-538%6-10
Phantom on Inferno
Lfnatic1–134d agoLIberian Soul7–1317d agoL100 Thieves10–1318d agoLfnatic5–1318d agoWG2 Ares13–926d agoLINFINITE7–131mo agoWOG13–111mo agoWJiJieHao13–72mo ago
HAVU on Inferno
LNinjas in Pyjamas10–139d agoLMetizport6–1316d agoLDark Moon9–131mo agoLex-Zero Tenacity13–161mo agoWEnjoy13–112mo agoWEndless Journey16–142mo agoLLeo8–135mo agoLINFINITE11–135mo ago
AncientHAV ban45%25-3033%2-4
Phantom on Ancient
Lfnatic5–134d agoLfnatic6–1318d agoWG2 Ares13–426d agoLSINNERS4–131mo agoWNemiga13–111mo agoWLeo13–01mo agoLAcend17–192mo agoLJiJieHao6–132mo ago
HAVU on Ancient
LBBL6–139d agoLInner Circle Academy10–1315d agoWLeo13–82mo agoLGenOne9–132mo agoWBERG13–112mo agoLPermitta11–132mo ago
AnubisPHA ban44%7-943%3-4
Phantom on Anubis
Wfnatic16–144d agoLfnatic9–1318d agoWLeo13–111mo agoLJiJieHao11–132mo agoLEYEBALLERS10–132mo agoLSashi4–132mo agoWpaiN13–53mo agoWWalczaki13–114mo ago
HAVU on Anubis
LENCE9–132mo agoWENRAGE13–87mo agoLFAVBET11–137mo agoWAurora Young Blud13–88mo agoWALLINNERS13–88mo agoLTDK17–198mo agoLNuclear TigeRES3–138mo ago
Dust2HAV ban49%23-2433%13-27
Phantom on Dust2
Wfnatic13–318d agoLex-Zero Tenacity8–131mo agoWNemiga13–51mo agoWlevelONE13–42mo agoWlevelONE13–32mo agoLHEROIC11–133mo agoLpaiN8–133mo agoLFOKUS10–134mo ago
HAVU on Dust2
LInner Circle Academy14–1615d agoWFour Magic13–416d agoLDark Moon6–131mo agoWPrivateer13–31mo agoLSPARTA6–131mo agoLLavked12–161mo agoWEndless Journey13–52mo agoLBlack Phoenix8–132mo ago
MiragePHA ban46%16-1950%19-19
Phantom on Mirage
L100 Thieves4–1318d agoWfnatic13–1018d agoLSINNERS7–131mo agoLINFINITE10–131mo agoWOG13–81mo agoLNRG10–132mo agoWG2 Ares13–103mo agoLAcend7–134mo ago
HAVU on Mirage
WSangal16–129d agoWXEPT13–49d agoLSportsBetExpert9–139d agoLMetizport10–1316d agoWFour Magic13–1116d agoWmellren13–41mo agoLSPARTA19–221mo agoWEndless Journey13–71mo ago
CacheHAV ban0%0-220%1-4
Phantom on Cache
LNemiga11–131mo agoLSashi6–132mo ago
HAVU on Cache
WNoir Verse13–91mo agoLex-Zero Tenacity8–131mo agoLEnjoy3–132mo agoLPermitta8–132mo agoLENCE10–132mo ago
Nukedecider53%31-2767%33-16
Phantom on Nuke
LIberian Soul9–1317d agoW100 Thieves13–918d agoLOG9–131mo agoLex-Zero Tenacity5–131mo agoLLeo10–131mo agoWLavked13–62mo agoWVexar13–83mo agoLINOX Division8–133mo ago
HAVU on Nuke
WInner Circle Academy13–415d agoWMetizport13–816d agoWmellren13–91mo agoWPrivateer13–81mo agoLLavked5–131mo agoWNoir Verse13–91mo agoWEndless Journey13–81mo agoWex-Zero Tenacity13–91mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Phantom Inferno · HAVU Ancient.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Phantom

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i39/119 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 119 maps they won, 39 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs fnaticDust2from 10 downvs G2 AresAncientfrom 9 downvs aAaDust2from 7 downvs HEROICNukefrom 7 downvs fnaticMiragefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i45/126 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 126 maps they lost, 45 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FAVBETAncientled 9 · lost 14-16vs MASONICOverpassled 7 · lost 14-16vs CYBERSHOKEDust2led 7 · lost 26-28vs LeoNukeled 7 · lost 10-13vs fnaticAncientled 7 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs fnaticDust2from 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FAVBETAncientled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi42% · 35Close maps (≤3) · OT42% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 35 went to overtime.vs HYPERSPIRITDust212-16vs FAVBETAnubis13-16vs MASONICOverpass14-16vs MASONICNuke14-16vs STATEOverpass13-16

HAVU

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/81 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 81 maps they won, 29 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs Aurora Young BludNukefrom 7 downvs ex-Zero TenacityNukefrom 6 downvs EnjoyInfernofrom 6 downvs Strael BoraInfernofrom 5 downvs MetizportNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i35/94 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 94 maps they lost, 35 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs INFINITEInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs ex-Zero TenacityInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs Inner Circle AcademyAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs WHITEBIRDNukeled 5 · lost 11-13vs OramondInfernoled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Aurora Young BludNukefrom 7 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs INFINITEInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 20Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 20 went to overtime.vs BIGOverpass14-16vs TDKAnubis17-19vs FORZE ReloadOverpass19-15vs Aurora Young BludNuke16-13vs Aurora Young BludMirage16-14

Phantom vs HAVU FAQ

Who is favored to win Phantom vs HAVU?

Phantom are favored with a 53% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Phantom vs HAVU?

Bookmakers price Phantom at 1.38 and HAVU at 2.76 (implied 67% vs 33%).

When do Phantom and HAVU play?

Phantom vs HAVU is scheduled for 2026-10-16 18:00 UTC at Elisa BreakOut Series 2.