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Predictions / DONSTU vs Banda Chuya · match preview
DONSTU vs Banda Chuya: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8
DONSTU
World #164 · 25-35
VS
2026-10-22 13:45 UTC
CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · Best of 3
Banda Chuya
World #– · 8-14
CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · Best of 3
42%58%
The call
Banda Chuya are favoured: our model gives them 58% against DONSTU. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Banda Chuya, firepower clearly favours Banda Chuya.
Likely mapsAnubis · Nuke · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
DONSTUpullBanda Chuya
Team strength1427
149464/36 BAN
Track record25–358–1450/50
Recent formWWLWLWLWWW50/50
Roster rating1.1
1.1475/25 BAN
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 93% our own signal (143 maps of DONSTU, 52 of Banda Chuya).
Bottom line: Banda Chuya to beat DONSTU, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsDONSTU · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.19iStar gap: the best player rates 0.19 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| takanashi★ | 1.28 | 84.3 | 80.2% | 58% | 1.29 |
| Due1yant | 0.96 | 75.6 | 71% | 58% | 1.11 |
| NeoLife | 0.99 | 74.4 | 71.1% | 57% | 1.1 |
| gleb86rus | 0.95 | 72.2 | 72% | 51% | 1.06 |
| phorate | 1.01 | 61.4 | 70% | 30% | 0.95 |
Banda Chuya · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.27iStar gap: the best player rates 0.27 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
DONSTU
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
FORZE Reload#800-60-2
Banda Chuya vs FORZE Reload
Sep 26LAnubis7-13Cache9-13
INOX Division#840-20-2
DONSTU vs INOX Division
Apr 23LOverpass8-13Dust24-13Banda Chuya vs INOX Division
Oct 3LNuke14-16Anubis6-13
GenOne#980-20-1
DONSTU vs GenOne
Jun 1LAncient15-19Dust211-13Banda Chuya vs GenOne
Oct 11LCache3-13BEBBebop#2083-22-0
Banda Chuya vs Bebop
Oct 2WNuke13-5Dust213-7
B8 Academy#2392-12-1
DONSTU vs B8 Academy
Jun 10WNuke6-13Anubis13-6Dust216-12Banda Chuya vs B8 Academy
Oct 15WNuke9-13Mirage13-11Ancient13-7Map lab
DONSTU51%to win the Bo3 · most likely DONSTU 2-0
If the veto goes
DONSTU 51%how the series ends49% Banda Chuya
33%2-018%
18%2-131%
DONSTU64%18-15vsBanda Chuya36%1-3
55%Win25%
54%CT39%
52%T38%
61%Pistol50%
90%Conv100%
DONSTU52%7-8vsBanda Chuya48%4-5
47%Win44%
55%CT63%
40%T40%
50%Pistol56%
80%Conv70%
DONSTU37%10-15vsBanda Chuya63%6-5
40%Win55%
57%CT53%
41%T48%
62%Pistol41%
84%Conv78%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
DONSTUAnubisBanda Chuya
54%CT side39%
52%T side38%
61%Pistol50%
90%After win100%
15%After loss25%
DONSTUNukeBanda Chuya
55%CT side63%
40%T side40%
50%Pistol56%
80%After win70%
7%After loss25%
DONSTUAncientBanda Chuya
57%CT side53%
41%T side48%
62%Pistol41%
84%After win78%
21%After loss23%
Pistol rounds59% · 48% · DONSTU win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol86% · 78% · DONSTU keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol15% · 24% · Banda Chuya fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, DONSTU vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapDONBAN
MirageDON ban0%0-136%5-9
InfernoBAN ban46%6-7n/a0g
DONSTU on Inferno
WTitanFlow13–82d agoL
SAW Youngsters8–134mo agoWSubtop De France16–134mo agoW
Lilmix13–104mo agoL
Fortress4–134mo agoL
Atreides7–134mo agoWCOPH9K13–35mo agoL
G2 Ares8–135mo agoBanda Chuya on Inferno
no recent maps
AnubisDON pick55%18-1525%1-3
NukeBAN pick47%7-844%4-5
Dust2DON ban30%9-2171%5-2
CacheBAN ban45%5-629%2-5
Ancientdecider40%10-1555%6-5
Each team's usual first ban: DONSTU Mirage · Banda Chuya Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
DONSTU
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/62 (23%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 62 maps they won, 14 (23%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 23% of their wins were comebacks, not 23% of all games.vs TitanFlowInfernofrom 5 downvs LilmixDust2from 4 downvs HEROIC AcademyInfernofrom 4 downvs COPH9KAnubisfrom 4 downvs LilmixInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/79 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 79 maps they lost, 26 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs CYBERSHOKE ProspectsInfernoled 8 · lost 12-16vs OLDBOYS PLNukeled 8 · lost 12-16vs G2 AresAnubisled 7 · lost 13-16vs MOUZ NXTNukeled 7 · lost 10-13vs Young NinjasOverpassled 6 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs TitanFlowInfernofrom 5 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs CYBERSHOKE ProspectsInfernoled 8 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 20Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 20 went to overtime.vs Nuclear TigeRESDust214-16vs Young NinjasAncient16-13vs Young NinjasOverpass14-16vs QWENTRYAncient14-16vs The Last ResortAnubis16-12
Banda Chuya
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i9/23 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 23 maps they won, 9 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs ReviseMiragefrom 10 downvs B8 AcademyMiragefrom 7 downvs LavkedNukefrom 6 downvs ReviseAncientfrom 6 downvs HYPERSPIRITCachefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/29 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 29 maps they lost, 13 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs IllyriansCacheled 11 · lost 2-13vs benched godsCacheled 10 · lost 8-13vs mellrenAncientled 8 · lost 5-13vs The BoysMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs INOX DivisionNukeled 6 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ReviseMiragefrom 10 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs IllyriansCacheled 11 · lost 2-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs INOX DivisionNuke14-16vs LavkedDust219-16vs LavkedNuke22-18vs ReviseAncient16-14vs 6666Nuke14-16