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Predictions / Legacy vs FURIA · match preview
Legacy vs FURIA: CS2 match prediction · BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2
Legacy
World #7 · 44-28
VS
2026-11-11 03:00 UTC
BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2 · Best of 3 · ★★★
FURIA
World #3 · 44-29
BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2 · Best of 3 · ★★★
49%51%
39%
2.351.52Market · 23 books
61%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 49–51. Bookmakers lean FURIA at 61%. Form clearly favours FURIA, firepower clearly favours FURIA, head-to-head slightly favours Legacy.
Likely mapsMirage · Inferno · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
LegacypullFURIA
Team strength1697
170852/48 FUR
Track record44–28
44–2955/45 LEG
Recent formLLWLL
WWWWL76/24 FUR
Roster rating1.12
1.193/7 FUR
Head-to-head5 maps
3 maps60/40 LEG
Bookmakers imply 39% for Legacy (2.35 / 1.52); we land 10 points higher at 49%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 98% our own signal (172 maps of Legacy, 187 of FURIA). Head-to-head they've met 3 times: Legacy leads 2–1.
Bottom line: FURIA to beat Legacy, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsLegacy · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
FURIA · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.12iStar gap: the best player rates 0.12 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents7d ago
Legacy1 : 2 FURIA◆ same lineup1mo ago Legacy2 : 0 FURIA◆ same lineup2mo ago Legacy2 : 1 FURIA◆ same lineup
Legacy1 : 2 FURIA◆ same lineup1mo ago Legacy2 : 0 FURIA◆ same lineup2mo ago Legacy2 : 1 FURIA◆ same lineup
Spirit#10-23-5
Vitality#21-22-11
Legacy vs Vitality
Aug 30LNuke14-16Mirage13-9Dust28-13FURIA vs Vitality
Sep 20LCache5-13Anubis8-13Sep 18LMirage8-13Dust25-13Sep 4LNuke13-6Cache11-13Dust24-13+2 earlier meetings
MOUZ#41-46-6
FURIA vs MOUZ
Oct 9LNuke11-13Inferno6-13Oct 4LCache4-13Mirage7-13Sep 19WCache13-8Mirage16-19Nuke13-6+2 earlier meetings
Aurora#52-49-5
FURIA vs Aurora
Oct 17WDust213-8Inferno13-10Oct 6LDust213-8Mirage9-13Nuke9-13Aug 19WAncient13-11Nuke14-16Mirage13-9+3 earlier meetings
Falcons#66-53-11
Legacy vs Falcons
Aug 29LMirage6-13Ancient13-10Dust26-13Aug 21WMirage13-7Dust213-10May 24WNuke11-13Ancient13-9Mirage13-6Dust213-6+1 earlier meeting
FURIA vs Falcons
Jun 21LMirage8-13Anubis8-13Inferno8-13May 15LMirage13-9Nuke20-22Dust217-19Apr 19LDust211-13Mirage11-13+2 earlier meetings
G2#85-22-3
BETBOOM#91-27-2
FUT#102-25-6
FURIA vs FUT
Aug 22LAncient11-13Nuke13-6Dust213-16Feb 15WMirage9-13Overpass22-18Anubis13-9Jan 31LMirage11-13Dust26-13+1 earlier meeting
Map lab
Legacy63%to win the Bo3 · most likely Legacy 2-0
If the veto goes
Legacy 63%how the series ends37% FURIA
38%2-014%
25%2-123%
Legacy68%24-8vsFURIA32%26-20
75%Win57%
62%CT59%
50%T44%
56%Pistol49%
83%Conv73%
Legacy56%19-10vsFURIA44%16-11
66%Win59%
53%CT56%
50%T49%
50%Pistol54%
79%Conv66%
Legacy52%2-2vsFURIA48%6-7
50%Win46%
46%CT48%
48%T49%
50%Pistol42%
75%Conv82%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
LegacyMirageFURIA
62%CT side59%
50%T side44%
56%Pistol49%
83%After win73%
21%After loss23%
LegacyInfernoFURIA
53%CT side56%
50%T side49%
50%Pistol54%
79%After win66%
21%After loss28%
LegacyCacheFURIA
46%CT side48%
48%T side49%
50%Pistol42%
75%After win82%
50%After loss13%
Pistol rounds53% · 49% · Legacy win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol81% · 72% · Legacy keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol23% · 23% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Legacy vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapLEGFUR
AnubisLEG ban50%1-138%3-5
AncientFUR ban50%16-1642%5-7
MirageLEG pick75%24-857%26-20
InfernoFUR pick66%19-1059%16-11
NukeLEG ban54%13-1159%17-12
Dust2FUR ban60%25-1759%22-15
Each team's usual first ban: Legacy Anubis · FURIA Ancient.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Legacy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i38/104 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 104 maps they won, 38 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs MIBRMiragefrom 7 downvs ShindeNNukefrom 7 downvs AuroraOverpassfrom 6 downvs The MongolZInfernofrom 6 downvs Ninjas in PyjamasAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/68 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 68 maps they lost, 21 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BC.GameOverpassled 9 · lost 13-16vs VitalityNukeled 8 · lost 14-16vs 1winDust2led 7 · lost 8-13vs FUTAncientled 5 · lost 10-13vs 9zMirageled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MIBRMiragefrom 7 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BC.GameOverpassled 9 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs GameHuntersNuke16-13vs MIBRAncient20-22vs BC.GameOverpass13-16vs Ninjas in PyjamasAncient16-13vs G2Inferno16-14
FURIA
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i31/103 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 103 maps they won, 31 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs G2Ancientfrom 10 downvs VitalityMiragefrom 7 downvs The MongolZDust2from 7 downvs Natus VincereNukefrom 7 downvs BETBOOMCachefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i30/84 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 84 maps they lost, 30 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs G2Anubisled 10 · lost 3-13vs BETBOOMNukeled 8 · lost 9-13vs AuroraMirageled 7 · lost 9-13vs AuroraDust2led 6 · lost 14-16vs FalconsNukeled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs G2Ancientfrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs G2Anubisled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs The MongolZInferno16-12vs SpiritMirage16-13vs FUTOverpass22-18vs FalconsMirage16-14vs PARIVISIONDust216-14