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Predictions / 9z vs BETBOOM · match preview
9z vs BETBOOM: CS2 match prediction · IEM Beijing 2026
IEM Beijing 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★
55%45%
44%
2.141.71Market · 13 books
56%The call
9z are favoured: our model gives them 55% against BETBOOM. Bookmakers lean BETBOOM at 56%. Form slightly favours BETBOOM, firepower clearly favours BETBOOM, head-to-head clearly favours 9z.
Likely mapsDust2 · Nuke · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
9zpullBETBOOM
Team strength1636
165855/45 BET
Track record60–30
7–651/49 9Z
Recent formLLWLW
LWWWL65/35 BET
Roster rating1.13
1.0772/28 BET
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 9Z
Bookmakers imply 44% for 9z (2.14 / 1.71); we land 11 points higher at 55%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 98% our own signal (216 maps of 9z, 193 of BETBOOM). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: 9z leads 1–0.
Bottom line: 9z to beat BETBOOM, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratings9z · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
BETBOOM · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
FURIA#32-62-7
Aurora#52-61-2
9z vs Aurora
Oct 16LCache11-13Inferno4-13Oct 14WInferno13-11Nuke13-1Oct 3LDust23-13Mirage11-13+1 earlier meeting
BETBOOM vs Aurora
Oct 5LMirage4-13Nuke13-7Anubis8-13
Falcons#63-32-1
BETBOOM vs Falcons
Oct 17WAnubis5-13Dust216-14Mirage13-7
Legacy#75-72-1
G2#81-21-2
BETBOOM vs G2
Sep 12LMirage13-7Anubis13-16Ancient7-13
MIBR#123-62-0
9z vs MIBR
Sep 9LMirage6-13Nuke7-13Jul 5WNuke13-10Mirage16-13Feb 1LNuke14-16Inferno13-16+1 earlier meeting
BETBOOM vs MIBR
Sep 10WMirage13-9Anubis16-14
PARIVISION#137-12-1
9z vs PARIVISION
Jul 12WMirage13-9Inferno13-10Dust213-4Jun 11WOverpass13-1Dust28-13Inferno13-9May 9WInferno13-6Ancient13-8BETBOOM vs PARIVISION
Oct 15WAncient10-13Anubis13-4Mirage13-7
Astralis#161-02-0
9z vs Astralis
Jun 6WNuke13-5BETBOOM vs Astralis
Sep 9WAncient16-14Anubis13-8Map lab
9z57%to win the Bo3 · most likely 9z 2-1
If the veto goes
9z 57%how the series ends43% BETBOOM
20%2-023%
37%2-120%
9z67%26-17vsBETBOOM33%1-3
60%Win25%
55%CT40%
54%T45%
47%Pistol63%
83%Conv60%
9z30%26-20vsBETBOOM70%4-0
57%Win100%
57%CT65%
45%T50%
53%Pistol50%
82%Conv75%
9z65%15-9vsBETBOOM35%2-3
63%Win40%
61%CT49%
50%T41%
46%Pistol50%
82%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
9zDust2BETBOOM
55%CT side40%
54%T side45%
47%Pistol63%
83%After win60%
20%After loss33%
9zNukeBETBOOM
57%CT side65%
45%T side50%
53%Pistol50%
82%After win75%
12%After loss50%
9zAncientBETBOOM
61%CT side49%
50%T side41%
46%Pistol50%
82%After win100%
15%After loss40%
Pistol rounds49% · 54% · BETBOOM win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol82% · 79% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol16% · 42% · BETBOOM fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, 9z vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
BETBOOM habitually bans Inferno, 9z's strongest maps (Overpass, Dust2, Ancient, Inferno all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 13/13), not an opponent read, so expect 9z to fight the veto for Overpass.
Map9ZBET
Anubis9Z ban50%1-157%4-3
InfernoBET ban61%23-15n/a0g
9z on Inferno
LAurora4–136d agoWAurora13–118d agoLFURIA3–1315d agoLG210–131mo agoL
magic10–132mo agoWPARIVISION13–103mo agoL
Alliance17–193mo agoW
TYLOO13–54mo agoBETBOOM on Inferno
no recent maps
Dust29Z pick60%26-1725%1-3
NukeBET pick57%26-20100%4-0
Mirage9Z ban58%14-1050%5-5
CacheBET ban40%2-350%2-2
Each team's usual first ban: 9z Anubis · BETBOOM Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
9z
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i48/132 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 132 maps they won, 48 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs Fake do BiruOverpassfrom 9 downvs GameHuntersInfernofrom 8 downvs SharksOverpassfrom 7 downvs SharksNukefrom 6 downvs FalconsNukefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i29/84 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 84 maps they lost, 29 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Natus VincereNukeled 8 · lost 6-13vs RED CanidsNukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs SpiritMirageled 7 · lost 13-16vs VitalityNukeled 7 · lost 6-13vs MarsborneAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Fake do BiruOverpassfrom 9 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Natus VincereNukeled 8 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 29Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 29 went to overtime.vs SharksNuke16-12vs Keyd StarsDust216-14vs Gaimin GladiatorsDust214-16vs RED CanidsOverpass16-14vs MIBRNuke14-16
BETBOOM
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i10/18 (56%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 18 maps they won, 10 (56%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 56% of their wins were comebacks, not 56% of all games.vs FURIANukefrom 8 downvs MIBRAnubisfrom 6 downvs FURIAAncientfrom 6 downvs AstralisAnubisfrom 5 downvs M80Cachefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/16 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 16 maps they lost, 6 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FURIACacheled 7 · lost 14-16vs 9zDust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs FURIAAncientled 5 · lost 10-13vs FURIAMirageled 4 · lost 9-13vs LegacyDust2led 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FURIANukefrom 8 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FURIACacheled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini4.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi41% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT41% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs AstralisAncient16-14vs MIBRAnubis16-14vs G2Anubis13-16vs FURIACache14-16vs M80Cache16-14