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MOUZ vs 9z: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · BLAST Open Porto 2026

MOUZ
★★
2026-08-27 11:30 UTC
BLAST Open Porto 2026
9z
Our model gives MOUZ a 52% chance to beat 9z at BLAST Open Porto 2026. Bookmakers price MOUZ at 1.38 and 9z at 2.9 (implied 68% vs 32%).
MOUZ
1.38odds
9z
2.9odds
Our read52%
48%
Market68%
32%
median decimal odds · 22 booksBookmakerMOU9Z1red1.352.9Epicbet1.352.9Stake1.352.9Thunderpick Row1.352.9duelbits1.352.9bcgame1.373Betify1.383.05Rainbet1.383.05Razed1.383.05betory1.383.05betpanda1.383.05Cs2skin1.393.15roobet1.393.1Duel.com1.43.15GranaWin1.412.641xBit1.442.691xbet1.442.69ColdBet1.442.69Spinbet1.442.69Vivatbet1.442.69betlabel1.442.69Sweatbet 1.522.46
FormatBO3Tier★★Form33-19 · 56-21Pistols9z 51%Likely mapsInferno · Dust2 · Cache
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

MOUZ

FUTOvertimeOT6d ago0-2GamerLegionComebackCB8OvertimeOT8d ago2-1PARIVISION11d ago2-0FUTUpsetUpsetComebackCB613d ago1-2Lynn VisionPistolsPist0/215d ago13-8SpiritUpsetUpset25d ago3-1Astralis26d ago2-13DMAXOvertimeOT28d ago2-1FOKUS1mo ago2-0Nuclear TigeRES1mo ago2-0FUT2mo ago1-2Vitality3mo ago1-2FURIA3mo ago1-2LegacyPistolsPist3/43mo ago2-0MIBRPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-13mo ago2-0

9z

magicUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT11d ago1-2FURIAOvertimeOT12d ago1-2paiNPistolsPist2/215d ago13-3PARIVISIONPistolsPist5/62mo ago3-0AllianceOvertimeOT2mo ago2-1TYLOO2mo ago2-1MIBROvertimeOT2mo ago2-0AllianceUpsetUpsetBlew leadBL62mo ago0-23DMAX2mo ago13-9SINNERSPistolsPist0/22mo ago13-5EYEBALLERSUpsetUpset2mo ago10-13FURIA2mo ago1-2The MongolZStompStomp9-132mo ago2-0AuroraStompStomp1-132mo ago0-2SpiritPistolsPist5/6ComebackCB63mo ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
4mo ago MOUZ1 : 2 9z!
⚠ Different lineup
MOUZ
outjL
inPR
PGL Astana 20265mo ago MOUZ1 : 2 9z!
⚠ Different lineup
MOUZ
outBrollan, Jimpphat
inPR, xelex
BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026
Spirit#13-71-6
MOUZ vs Spirit
Aug 2WDust213-8Mirage13-4Ancient9-13Nuke13-10May 16LDust23-13Nuke2-13Apr 17LDust25-13Mirage8-13
+1 earlier meeting
9z vs Spirit
Jun 13LOverpass16-12Mirage13-16Dust214-16Jun 7LMirage3-13Nuke1-13Mar 22LOverpass6-13Dust26-13
Falcons#23-22-1
MOUZ vs Falcons
May 23LMirage13-7Dust27-13Nuke10-13Feb 3WInferno16-14Dust219-17
9z vs Falcons
May 10WNuke13-8Mirage9-13
FURIA#31-42-4
MOUZ vs FURIA
Jun 12LNuke5-13Inferno13-5Overpass7-13Apr 15LMirage5-13Dust29-13
9z vs FURIA
Aug 15LDust26-13Mirage16-13Nuke6-13Jun 18LDust213-8Mirage9-13Overpass6-13
Vitality#41-62-3
MOUZ vs Vitality
Jun 13LMirage9-13Dust213-7Inferno4-13Feb 16LDust25-13Inferno8-13Feb 7LNuke7-13Dust26-13
9z vs Vitality
Jun 12WInferno4-13Mirage13-9Dust213-11Mar 19LOverpass3-13Nuke5-13
Legacy#74-15-7
MOUZ vs Legacy
Jun 11WDust213-5Nuke13-6Apr 13WDust29-13Inferno13-10Mirage13-4
9z vs Legacy
Apr 27LAncient13-11Dust24-13Mirage10-13Nuke13-4Anubis11-13Apr 24LInferno9-13Nuke3-13Mar 31WDust212-16Anubis13-11Inferno5-13Mirage13-10Nuke13-4
FaZe#102-01-2
MOUZ vs FaZe
Feb 3WMirage13-5Inferno13-6
9z vs FaZe
May 29LMirage15-19Overpass19-16Ancient9-13
Aurora#116-20-2
MOUZ vs Aurora
May 15WDust213-11Nuke13-8May 12WDust214-16Dust213-11Nuke19-15Apr 14WDust213-4Mirage13-8
+1 earlier meeting
9z vs Aurora
Jun 14LNuke1-13Dust25-13
Astralis#134-21-0
MOUZ vs Astralis
Aug 1WAncient6-13Mirage13-9Dust213-9Mar 7WAncient14-16Mirage13-1Overpass13-3
9z vs Astralis
Jun 6WNuke13-5

Firepower

roster ratings

MOUZ · avg 1.11 · top +0.07

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
xertioN1241.0882.575.3%53%1.18
Spinx1241.175.374.8%58%1.14
torzsi1241.2469.174.4%33%1.12
xelex691.0268.970.8%68%1.08
PR250.9670.275.7%54%1.01

9z · avg 1.15 · top +0.09

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
luchov1891.1383.773.5%63%1.24
dgt1891.2180.875.3%54%1.22
HUASOPEEK1891.097575.2%60%1.2
meyern1891.163.574.1%41%1.07
max1860.965.373.1%55%1.01

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, MOUZ vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMOU9Z
AnubisMOU ban n/a0g 50%1-1
MOUZ on Anubis
no recent maps
9z on Anubis
LLegacy11–134mo agoWLegacy13–115mo ago
Mirage9Z ban 69%18-8 58%11-8
MOUZ on Mirage
WGamerLegion13–118d agoLFUT11–1313d agoWSpirit13–425d agoWAstralis13–926d agoWFOKUS13–81mo agoLFUT7–132mo agoLVitality9–133mo agoWFalcons13–73mo ago
9z on Mirage
WFURIA16–1312d agoWPARIVISION13–92mo agoLTYLOO7–132mo agoWMIBR16–132mo agoLFURIA9–132mo agoLSpirit13–163mo agoWVitality13–93mo agoLSpirit3–133mo ago
InfernoMOU pick 64%14-8 65%22-12
MOUZ on Inferno
WPARIVISION13–1011d agoW3DMAX13–328d agoLVitality4–133mo agoWFURIA13–53mo agoLM8010–133mo agoLTYLOO7–133mo agoWmagic13–73mo agoW9z13–44mo ago
9z on Inferno
Lmagic10–1311d agoWPARIVISION13–102mo agoLAlliance17–192mo agoWTYLOO13–52mo agoLAlliance7–132mo agoWThe MongolZ13–82mo agoLVitality4–133mo agoWPARIVISION13–93mo ago
Dust29Z pick 45%14-17 63%24-14
MOUZ on Dust2
LFUT13–166d agoWPARIVISION13–411d agoWLynn Vision13–815d agoWSpirit13–825d agoWAstralis13–926d agoL3DMAX10–1328d agoWFOKUS13–101mo agoWVitality13–73mo ago
9z on Dust2
Wmagic13–1011d agoLFURIA6–1312d agoWPARIVISION13–42mo agoLAlliance14–162mo agoW3DMAX13–92mo agoWSINNERS13–52mo agoWFURIA13–82mo agoLAurora5–132mo ago
AncientMOU ban 38%6-10 65%15-8
MOUZ on Ancient
LFUT5–136d agoLGamerLegion19–228d agoLFUT6–1313d agoLSpirit9–1325d agoLAstralis6–1326d agoWNuclear TigeRES13–61mo agoLFUT11–132mo agoWMIBR13–13mo ago
9z on Ancient
Lmagic17–1911d agoWAlliance13–72mo agoLEYEBALLERS10–132mo agoLFaZe9–133mo agoLmagic11–133mo agoWMOUZ13–94mo agoWPARIVISION13–84mo agoWLegacy13–114mo ago
Nuke9Z ban 63%12-7 62%23-14
MOUZ on Nuke
WGamerLegion13–118d agoWFUT16–1213d agoWSpirit13–1025d agoW3DMAX22–1828d agoWNuclear TigeRES13–111mo agoWFUT13–102mo agoLFURIA5–133mo agoWLegacy13–63mo ago
9z on Nuke
LFURIA6–1312d agoWAlliance13–102mo agoWTYLOO13–92mo agoWMIBR13–102mo agoLAurora1–132mo agoLSpirit1–133mo agoWAstralis13–53mo agoLSharks11–133mo ago
Cachedecider n/a0g 100%1-0
MOUZ on Cache
no recent maps
9z on Cache
WpaiN13–315d ago
Each team's usual first ban: MOUZ Anubis · 9z Anubis.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

9z59%to win the seriesiMap edgesInferno: 9z 51% toss-up · Dust2: 9z 67% clear · Cache: 9z 50% toss-upWhy9z hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesMOUZ 41%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 16%  ·  9z 59%: 2-0 34%, 2-1 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
MOUZ 41%It’s nearly a coin-flip. 9z only lead because their Dust2 is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.59% 9z
Inferno
MOUZ49%
9z51%
14-8record22-12
64%win65%
59%CT win58%
50%T win49%
57%pistol53%
68%convert81%
Dust2
MOUZ33%
9z67%
14-17record24-14
45%win63%
49%CT win56%
46%T win56%
42%pistol47%
88%convert86%
Cache
MOUZ50%
9z50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record1-0
–win100%
–CT win75%
–T win83%
–pistol100%
–convert50%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
MOUct
MOUt
9Zct
9Zt
MOUpistol
MOUconv
MOUeco
9Zpistol
9Zconv
9Zeco
Infernopool
59%120/203
50%120/238
58%222/381
49%157/318
57%25/44
68%17/25
26%5/19
53%36/68
81%29/36
16%5/32
Dust2pool
49%178/367
46%134/291
56%224/397
56%216/385
42%26/62
88%23/26
28%10/36
47%36/76
86%31/36
23%9/40
Cachepool
n/a
n/a
75%3/4
83%10/12
n/a
n/a
n/a
100%2/2
50%1/2
n/a
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
63%15/24
38%9/24
n/a
n/a
n/a
50%2/4
100%2/2
50%1/2
Mirageban
61%155/253
53%137/258
59%134/228
46%80/173
46%24/52
83%20/24
32%9/28
61%23/38
86%19/22
20%3/15
Ancientban
57%108/190
42%59/139
63%161/257
50%114/226
41%13/32
92%12/13
32%6/19
48%22/46
82%18/22
13%3/24
Nukeban
60%116/193
41%90/218
57%195/345
47%186/396
53%20/38
75%15/20
28%5/18
51%38/74
79%30/38
14%5/36
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
9z wins more pistol rounds: 51% vs 48%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → 9z usually win the next round too (82% vs 78%). Lose the pistol → MOUZ fight back to win the next round more often (27% vs 19%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

MOUZ

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i25/74 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 74 maps they won, 25 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs FUTOverpassfrom 9 downvs GamerLegionNukefrom 8 downvs AuroraDust2from 6 downvs FUTNukefrom 6 downvs NRGDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/51 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 51 maps they lost, 15 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AstralisAncientled 7 · lost 14-16vs FUTDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs Natus VincereAncientled 5 · lost 10-13vs 9zAncientled 5 · lost 9-13vs FUTDust2led 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FUTOverpassfrom 9 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AstralisAncientled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs FalconsInferno16-14vs FalconsDust219-17vs G2Overpass16-13vs FUTOverpass16-14vs AstralisAncient14-16

9z

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i44/122 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 122 maps they won, 44 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs Fake do BiruOverpassfrom 9 downvs GameHuntersInfernofrom 8 downvs SharksOverpassfrom 7 downvs SharksNukefrom 6 downvs FalconsNukefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/66 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 66 maps they lost, 22 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs RED CanidsNukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs SpiritMirageled 7 · lost 13-16vs MarsborneAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs AllianceDust2led 6 · lost 14-16vs TYLOOMirageled 6 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Fake do BiruOverpassfrom 9 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs RED CanidsNukeled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 29Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 29 went to overtime.vs SharksNuke16-12vs Keyd StarsDust216-14vs Gaimin GladiatorsDust214-16vs RED CanidsOverpass16-14vs MIBRNuke14-16

MOUZ vs 9z FAQ

Who is favored to win MOUZ vs 9z?

MOUZ are favored with a 52% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for MOUZ vs 9z?

Bookmakers price MOUZ at 1.38 and 9z at 2.9 (implied 68% vs 32%).

When do MOUZ and 9z play?

MOUZ vs 9z is scheduled for 2026-08-27 11:30 UTC at BLAST Open Porto 2026.