Matches / Upcoming / LP vs Raccoons
LP vs Raccoons: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier
Our model gives LP a 57% chance to beat Raccoons at Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier. Bookmakers price LP at 2.15 and Raccoons at 1.62 (implied 43% vs 57%).
FormatBO3Form46-26 · 4-2PistolsRaccoons 55%Likely mapsInferno · Mirage · Ancient
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
LP
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Firepower
roster ratingsLP · avg 1.11 · top +0.07
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| zmb | 169 | 1.04 | 79.3 | 74.4% | 54% | 1.18 |
| Alisson | 167 | 1.16 | 74.7 | 75.4% | 50% | 1.15 |
| divine | 156 | 1.24 | 66.5 | 76.1% | 32% | 1.1 |
| happ | 169 | 1.05 | 67.3 | 73.4% | 51% | 1.08 |
| Leomonster | 166 | 0.97 | 75.9 | 72.2% | 57% | 1.06 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, LP vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Raccoons habitually bans Cache, LP's strongest maps (Inferno, Nuke, Ancient, Cache all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Cache 4/6), not an opponent read, so expect LP to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapLPRAC
AnubisLP ban n/a0g n/a0g
LP on Anubis
no recent maps
Raccoons on Anubis
no recent maps
CacheRAC ban 100%4-0 n/a0g
Raccoons on Cache
no recent maps
InfernoLP pick 70%23-10 100%2-0
MirageRAC pick 35%9-17 67%4-2
Dust2LP ban 57%20-15 50%1-1
NukeRAC ban 66%19-10 100%1-0
Ancientdecider 69%20-9 50%1-1
Each team's usual first ban: LP Anubis · Raccoons Cache.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Raccoons61%to win the seriesiMap edgesInferno: Raccoons 53% toss-up · Mirage: Raccoons 75% clear · Ancient: LP 56% toss-upWhyRaccoons hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesLP 39%: 2-1 27%, 2-0 12% · Raccoons 61%: 2-0 39%, 2-1 21%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
LP 39%Raccoons are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Raccoons 2-0.61% Raccoons
Inferno
LP47%Raccoons53%
23-10record2-0
70%win100%
58%CT win48%
52%T win65%
45%pistol75%
70%convert100%
Mirage
LP25%Raccoons75%
9-17record4-2
35%win67%
46%CT win72%
49%T win41%
44%pistol50%
96%convert83%
Ancient
LP56%Raccoons44%
20-9record1-1
69%win50%
61%CT win38%
52%T win46%
53%pistol50%
87%convert50%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
LPct
LPt
RACct
RACt
LPpistol
LPconv
LPeco
RACpistol
RACconv
RACeco
Infernopool
58%167/286
52%190/364
48%11/23
65%15/23
45%30/66
70%21/30
19%7/36
75%3/4
100%3/3
0%0/1
Miragepool
46%132/289
49%118/241
72%41/57
41%29/70
44%23/52
96%22/23
7%2/29
50%6/12
83%5/6
17%1/6
Ancientpool
61%164/270
52%168/326
38%9/24
46%6/13
53%31/58
87%27/31
37%10/27
50%2/4
50%1/2
0%0/2
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Cacheban
60%21/35
76%31/41
n/a
n/a
50%4/8
100%4/4
50%2/4
n/a
n/a
n/a
Dust2ban
56%214/384
52%174/332
67%16/24
35%6/17
54%38/70
79%30/38
22%7/32
50%2/4
100%2/2
50%1/2
Nukeban
57%154/269
50%141/283
58%7/12
42%5/12
48%28/58
86%24/28
23%7/30
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Raccoons wins more pistol rounds: 55% vs 48%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (83% vs 82%). Lose the pistol → LP fight back to win the next round more often (21% vs 11%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
LP
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i31/102 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 102 maps they won, 31 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs GalorysNukefrom 9 downvs Fake do BiruNukefrom 8 downvs FluxoInfernofrom 7 downvs Bounty HuntersCachefrom 7 downvs FOLHA AMARELAOverpassfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/66 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 66 maps they lost, 22 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BESTIAAncientled 10 · lost 5-13vs Fake do BiruMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs ShindeNInfernoled 6 · lost 7-13vs Fake do BiruDust2led 5 · lost 12-16vs GalorysOverpassled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GalorysNukefrom 9 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BESTIAAncientled 10 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 10Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 10 went to overtime.vs GalorysOverpass19-15vs RED CanidsAncient12-16vs ODDIKAncient16-13vs Fake do BiruDust212-16vs YawaraAncient16-14
Raccoons
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i6/9 (67%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 9 maps they won, 6 (67%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 67% of their wins were comebacks, not 67% of all games.vs Black PhoenixMiragefrom 4 downvs ROUNDSMiragefrom 4 downvs ROUNDSNukefrom 4 downvs VexarMiragefrom 3 downvs Fire FluxInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/4 (50%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 4 maps they lost, 2 (50%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 4 · lost 9-13vs Bushido WildcatsMirageled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Black PhoenixMiragefrom 4 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 4 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi23% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT23% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs ROUNDSNuke19-16
LP vs Raccoons FAQ
Who is favored to win LP vs Raccoons?
LP are favored with a 57% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for LP vs Raccoons?
Bookmakers price LP at 2.15 and Raccoons at 1.62 (implied 43% vs 57%).
When do LP and Raccoons play?
LP vs Raccoons is scheduled for 2026-08-30 14:00 UTC at Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier.