Matches / Upcoming / MOUZ NXT vs The Last Resort
MOUZ NXT vs The Last Resort: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 8
MOUZ NXT
World #156 · 52-59
VS
TBD
CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · Best of 3
The Last Resort
World #113 · 36-30
52%48%
46%
21.69Market · 7 books
54%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 52–48. Bookmakers lean The Last Resort at 54%. Strength slightly favours The Last Resort, firepower clearly favours MOUZ NXT.
Likely mapsNuke · Ancient · Cache
Recent form
MOUZ NXT
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
fnatic#381-00-2
MOUZ NXT vs fnatic
Mar 24WAnubis13-10The Last Resort vs fnatic
Jul 12LAncient4-13Cache9-13
Betclic#401-22-4
MOUZ NXT vs Betclic
Jan 18LNuke9-13Ancient13-6Mirage13-16
Nemesis#442-10-2
MOUZ NXT vs Nemesis
Mar 9WNuke11-13Ancient13-8Overpass13-7The Last Resort vs Nemesis
Apr 25LAncient9-13Mirage8-13
GenOne#534-20-4
Johnny Speeds#582-00-2
MOUZ NXT vs Johnny Speeds
Feb 18WAnubis16-12Overpass13-9The Last Resort vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 31LAncient8-13Overpass9-13
INOX Division#620-40-2
The Last Resort vs INOX Division
May 7LAncient1-13Inferno5-13
Nemiga#630-20-2
MOUZ NXT vs Nemiga
Mar 14LAnubis6-13Overpass1-13The Last Resort vs Nemiga
Mar 17LNuke5-13Anubis3-13EX-ex-RUBY#790-62-0
The Last Resort vs ex-RUBY
Mar 18WNuke13-3Mirage13-11Firepower
roster ratingsMOUZ NXT · avg 1 · top +0.12
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, MOUZ NXT vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMOUTHE
InfernoMOU ban0%0-160%12-8
Dust2THE ban40%19-2940%4-6
NukeMOU pick51%24-2354%20-17
AncientTHE pick51%18-1755%17-14
AnubisMOU ban47%14-1660%9-6
MirageTHE ban45%21-2629%5-12
Cachedecider50%6-667%4-2
Each team's usual first ban: MOUZ NXT Inferno · The Last Resort Dust2.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
The Last Resort59%to win the seriesiMap edgesNuke: The Last Resort 53% toss-up · Ancient: The Last Resort 53% toss-up · Cache: The Last Resort 63%WhyThe Last Resort hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesMOUZ NXT 41%: 2-0 22%, 2-1 19% · The Last Resort 59%: 2-1 31%, 2-0 28%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
MOUZ NXT 41%It’s nearly a coin-flip. The Last Resort only lead because their Cache is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.59% The Last Resort
Nuke
MOUZ NXT47%The Last Resort53%
24-23record20-17
51%win54%
58%CT win60%
47%T win44%
52%pistol55%
82%convert80%
Ancient
MOUZ NXT47%The Last Resort53%
18-17record17-14
51%win55%
51%CT win55%
51%T win46%
47%pistol44%
75%convert74%
Cache
MOUZ NXT38%The Last Resort62%
6-6record4-2
50%win67%
53%CT win55%
44%T win44%
42%pistol58%
80%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
MOUct
MOUt
THEct
THEt
MOUpistol
MOUconv
MOUeco
THEpistol
THEconv
THEeco
Nukepool
58%285/489
47%239/513
60%198/329
44%181/409
52%49/94
82%40/49
18%8/45
55%41/74
80%33/41
18%6/33
Ancientpool
51%203/395
51%165/325
55%162/292
46%163/354
47%33/70
75%24/32
22%8/36
44%27/62
74%20/27
23%8/35
Cachepool
53%70/133
44%64/144
55%33/60
44%31/70
42%10/24
80%8/10
14%2/14
58%7/12
100%7/7
0%0/5
Infernoban
25%3/12
43%3/7
56%122/218
52%89/170
50%1/2
0%0/1
100%1/1
60%24/40
79%19/24
31%5/16
Dust2ban
45%232/514
45%203/454
39%39/101
49%33/68
57%55/96
76%42/55
15%6/41
45%9/20
67%6/9
18%2/11
Anubisban
50%160/318
46%143/313
54%87/162
50%78/155
40%24/60
71%17/24
14%5/36
47%14/30
71%10/14
19%3/16
Mirageban
56%266/475
42%204/481
45%92/204
41%59/144
47%44/94
80%35/44
12%6/50
47%16/34
75%12/16
11%2/18
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (MOUZ NXT 49%, The Last Resort 51%). Nobody has an edge.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (79% vs 80%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (19% vs 19%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
MOUZ NXT
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i40/113 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 113 maps they won, 40 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs Nuclear TigeRESNukefrom 8 downvs Lazer CatsNukefrom 7 downvs DONSTUNukefrom 7 downvs Friendly CampersNukefrom 6 downvs Johnny SpeedsAnubisfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i47/134 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 134 maps they lost, 47 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 10 · lost 3-13vs AcendAnubisled 8 · lost 13-16vs PCIFICDust2led 8 · lost 5-13vs TDKOverpassled 7 · lost 8-13vs los kogutosMirageled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Nuclear TigeRESNukefrom 8 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 32Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 32 went to overtime.vs Friendly CampersNuke16-13vs Friendly CampersDust216-13vs FAVBETNuke14-16vs AaBAnubis16-14vs FAVBETNuke14-16
The Last Resort
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/82 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 82 maps they won, 26 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs CTRLAncientfrom 9 downvs QUAZARNukefrom 8 downvs LilmixMiragefrom 6 downvs Rune EatersAncientfrom 6 downvs BetclicCachefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/75 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 75 maps they lost, 23 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs QUAZARAnubisled 10 · lost 10-13vs CTRLMirageled 9 · lost 11-13vs HonvédInfernoled 8 · lost 11-13vs HEROIC AcademyInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16vs Young NinjasMirageled 6 · lost 15-19
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs CTRLAncientfrom 9 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs QUAZARAnubisled 10 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs FuzosOverpass16-13vs BUFF3D UPNuke16-13vs CTRLAncient16-14vs Rune EatersAnubis14-16vs HEROIC AcademyInferno14-16
MOUZ NXT vs The Last Resort FAQ
Who is favored to win MOUZ NXT vs The Last Resort?
MOUZ NXT are favored with a 52% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for MOUZ NXT vs The Last Resort?
Bookmakers price MOUZ NXT at 2 and The Last Resort at 1.69 (implied 46% vs 54%).
When do MOUZ NXT and The Last Resort play?
MOUZ NXT vs The Last Resort is scheduled for a date to be confirmed at CCT 2026 Europe Series 8.