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Matches / Upcoming / MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY

MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 8

MOUZ NXT
World #142 · 54-60
VS
TBD
CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · Best of 3
UNiTY
World #94 · 42-47
45%
Win probability
55%
34%
2.761.41Market · 14 booksBookmakerMOUUNIduelbits2.61.381red2.71.4Epicbet2.71.4Thunderpick Row2.71.4roobet2.721.4Betify2.761.41Cs2skin2.761.41Rainbet2.761.41Razed2.761.41betory2.761.41betpanda2.761.41bcgame2.781.42Shuffle2.81.4Duel.com2.881.44
66%
The call

UNiTY are favoured: our model gives them 55% against MOUZ NXT. Bookmakers lean UNiTY at 66%. Strength slightly favours UNiTY, form slightly favours MOUZ NXT, firepower slightly favours UNiTY.

Likely mapsAnubis · Ancient · Cache

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Firepower

roster ratings

MOUZ NXT · avg 1.04 · top +0.19

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
deeN141.0274.673%56%1.23
Nikodeon2551.0177.872%60%1.13
ay0k2550.9165.669.1%47%0.98
eSx720.9764.466.5%33%0.96
mixer710.8164.467.8%67%0.91

UNiTY · avg 1.1 · top +0.05

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
KWERTZZ1191.097674.2%72%1.15
M1key2011.0978.674.1%46%1.14
2high1201.0876.676.3%46%1.13
Sn0w651.0966.172.3%36%1.04
fnl65167.975.6%56%1.03

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, MOUZ NXT vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMOUUNI
InfernoMOU ban0%0-159%20-14
NukeUNI ban53%26-230%0-4
AnubisMOU pick45%14-1755%12-10
AncientUNI pick53%20-1849%26-27
MirageMOU ban45%21-2656%22-17
Dust2UNI ban40%19-2939%12-19
Cachedecider50%6-629%2-5
Each team's usual first ban: MOUZ NXT Inferno · UNiTY Nuke.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

MOUZ NXT56%to win the seriesiMap edgesAnubis: UNiTY 59% · Ancient: MOUZ NXT 53% toss-up · Cache: MOUZ NXT 67% clearWhyMOUZ NXT hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesMOUZ NXT 56%: 2-1 34%, 2-0 22%  ·  UNiTY 44%: 2-0 27%, 2-1 17%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
MOUZ NXT 56%It’s nearly a coin-flip. MOUZ NXT only lead because their Cache is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.44% UNiTY
Anubis
MOUZ NXT41%
UNiTY59%
14-17record12-10
45%win55%
51%CT win51%
45%T win50%
42%pistol43%
73%convert74%
Ancient
MOUZ NXT53%
UNiTY47%
20-18record26-27
53%win49%
51%CT win54%
52%T win50%
46%pistol57%
74%convert83%
Cache
MOUZ NXT67%
UNiTY33%
6-6record2-5
50%win29%
53%CT win49%
44%T win41%
42%pistol7%
80%convert100%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
MOUct
MOUt
UNIct
UNIt
MOUpistol
MOUconv
MOUeco
UNIpistol
UNIconv
UNIeco
Anubispool
51%167/330
45%147/325
51%120/237
50%108/215
42%26/62
73%19/26
14%5/36
43%19/44
74%14/19
33%8/24
Ancientpool
51%212/418
52%187/361
54%281/521
50%298/601
46%35/76
74%25/34
20%8/40
57%60/106
83%50/60
13%6/46
Cachepool
53%70/133
44%64/144
49%41/83
41%30/74
42%10/24
80%8/10
14%2/14
7%1/14
100%1/1
15%2/13
Infernoban
25%3/12
43%3/7
55%180/329
51%186/366
50%1/2
0%0/1
100%1/1
51%35/68
89%31/35
36%12/33
Nukeban
59%304/513
47%246/520
29%14/48
38%11/29
52%51/98
82%42/51
17%8/47
25%2/8
50%1/2
17%1/6
Mirageban
56%266/475
42%204/481
54%226/420
46%183/398
47%44/94
80%35/44
12%6/50
51%40/78
80%32/40
27%10/37
Dust2ban
45%232/514
45%203/454
53%191/361
45%121/271
57%55/96
76%42/55
15%6/41
52%32/62
91%29/32
10%3/30
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
UNiTY wins more pistol rounds: 49% vs 44%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → UNiTY usually win the next round too (81% vs 74%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (17% vs 19%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

MOUZ NXT

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i42/117 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 117 maps they won, 42 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs KUUSAMOAncientfrom 10 downvs Nuclear TigeRESNukefrom 8 downvs Lazer CatsNukefrom 7 downvs DONSTUNukefrom 7 downvs Friendly CampersNukefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i48/136 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 136 maps they lost, 48 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 10 · lost 3-13vs AcendAnubisled 8 · lost 13-16vs PCIFICDust2led 8 · lost 5-13vs TDKOverpassled 7 · lost 8-13vs los kogutosMirageled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs KUUSAMOAncientfrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 33Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 33 went to overtime.vs Friendly CampersNuke16-13vs Friendly CampersDust216-13vs FAVBETNuke14-16vs AaBAnubis16-14vs FAVBETNuke14-16

UNiTY

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/97 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 97 maps they won, 28 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs LavkedMiragefrom 8 downvs ENCE AcademyMiragefrom 6 downvs AllianceAncientfrom 6 downvs PsychoFaceDust2from 6 downvs PermittaAnubisfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i38/103 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 103 maps they lost, 38 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 1winAncientled 9 · lost 11-13vs KOLESIEAncientled 7 · lost 8-13vs LavkedMirageled 7 · lost 10-13vs Fingers CrossedMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs AllianceOverpassled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LavkedMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 1winAncientled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 29Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 29 went to overtime.vs illwillInferno19-16vs illwillMirage19-17vs BetclicMirage16-14vs G2 AresOverpass17-19vs KOLESIEAncient19-17

MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY FAQ

Who is favored to win MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY?

UNiTY are favored with a 55% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY?

Bookmakers price MOUZ NXT at 2.76 and UNiTY at 1.41 (implied 34% vs 66%).

When do MOUZ NXT and UNiTY play?

MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY is scheduled for a date to be confirmed at CCT 2026 Europe Series 8.

MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER