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Matches / Upcoming / Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake Sector

Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake Sector: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · NSTLGA League Season 2

Iowa Stormboar
World #184 · 9-8
VS
2026-09-11 01:00 UTC
NSTLGA League Season 2 · Best of 3
Overtake Sector
World #151 · 11-10
50%
Win probability
50%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 50–50. No odds yet. Firepower clearly favours Overtake Sector, head-to-head slightly favours Iowa Stormboar.

Likely mapsMirage · Cache · Dust2

Recent form

Iowa Stormboar

Beyond LimitsComebackCB7OvertimeOT1d ago2-0SportsBetExpertStompStomp1-131d ago0-2Wanted Goons2d ago13-7Overtake SectorPistolsPist2/23d ago13-4EMPIRE9d ago1-2VillainousOvertimeOT10d ago2-0MarsborneStompStomp2-1311d ago0-2Shimmer12d ago2-0LAG1mo ago0-2NRGOvertimeOT1mo ago0-2MarsbornePistolsPist3/43mo ago0-2Festina Lente3mo ago2-1DETONATEStompStomp13-2OvertimeOT3mo ago2-1Overtake Sector3mo ago2-1Club 333PistolsPist3/43mo ago2-0

Overtake Sector

DETONATEPistolsPist5/61d ago2-1Axial1d ago13-5Villainous2d ago13-6Iowa Stormboar3d ago4-13Marsborne6d ago0-2Chicken CoopUpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/47d ago2-0EMPIRE8d ago2-0VocaPistolsPist5/69d ago1-2NuTorious11d ago2-1VillainousComebackCB6OvertimeOT12d ago2-1LAG2mo ago0-2raisedbypixels2mo ago2-0Club 3332mo ago1-2Wanted GoonsComebackCB62mo ago2-1Chicken Coop3mo ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
3d ago Iowa Stormboar13 : 4 Overtake Sector◆ same lineupNSTLGA League Season 23mo ago Iowa Stormboar2 : 1 Overtake Sector!
⚠ Different lineup
Iowa Stormboar
outdopplahs, jsfeltner
inTyRa, Valter0k
Overtake Sector
outsacrifice
incorim
NSTLGA League Season 1
LAG#880-20-2
Iowa Stormboar vs LAG
Jul 30LNuke4-13Inferno5-13
Overtake Sector vs LAG
Jul 10LMirage11-13Inferno9-13
Marsborne#1080-40-6
Iowa Stormboar vs Marsborne
Aug 27LNuke9-13Inferno2-13Jun 14LDust29-13Anubis9-13
Overtake Sector vs Marsborne
Sep 1LDust28-13Inferno9-13Jun 13LMirage7-13Inferno7-13May 25LMirage20-22Inferno11-13
Villainous#1662-03-1
Iowa Stormboar vs Villainous
Aug 28WInferno13-7Ancient16-13
Overtake Sector vs Villainous
Sep 5WAncient13-6Aug 26WMirage16-14Anubis3-13Inferno13-4
EMPIRE#1901-22-0
Iowa Stormboar vs EMPIRE
Aug 29LCache13-4Nuke8-13Inferno10-13
Overtake Sector vs EMPIRE
Aug 30WMirage13-7Inferno13-9
Wanted Goons#1941-04-2
Iowa Stormboar vs Wanted Goons
Sep 5WMirage13-7
Overtake Sector vs Wanted Goons
Jul 1WAncient10-13Mirage13-11Dust213-3Jun 12WMirage13-6Ancient10-13Overpass13-7
DETONATE#2083-32-1
Iowa Stormboar vs DETONATE
Jun 14WMirage14-16Anubis13-9Nuke13-2Jun 12LNuke7-13Dust213-5Mirage10-13
Overtake Sector vs DETONATE
Sep 6WCache13-9Mirage8-13Inferno13-4
Club 333#2162-01-2
Iowa Stormboar vs Club 333
Jun 13WNuke13-6Mirage13-8
Overtake Sector vs Club 333
Jul 4LInferno9-13Mirage13-8Dust27-13

Firepower

roster ratings

Iowa Stormboar · avg 1.13 · top +0.41

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
H0NeST221.39107.675.5%67%1.54
Scorchyy371.076871.4%38%1.1
aelor350.9570.472%53%1.02
Valter0k150.8567.870.4%50%1
TyRa310.867663.2%58%0.98

Overtake Sector · avg 1.1 · top +0.07

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Umar491.0975.472.1%37%1.17
intra490.9881.873.5%57%1.14
corim181.0476.874.8%54%1.13
jason490.9975.272.7%47%1.08
LEARSI490.8764.771.6%57%0.97

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Iowa Stormboar vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapIOWOVE
AnubisIOW ban50%1-175%3-1
Iowa Stormboar on Anubis
LMarsborne9–133mo agoWDETONATE13–93mo ago
Overtake Sector on Anubis
WVoca13–119d agoLVillainous3–1312d agoWBrahmas16–123mo agoWex-Aether13–84mo ago
NukeOVE ban44%4-5n/a0g
Iowa Stormboar on Nuke
LEMPIRE8–139d agoLMarsborne9–1311d agoWShimmer13–712d agoLLAG4–131mo agoLNRG13–161mo agoWFestina Lente13–83mo agoWDETONATE13–23mo agoWClub 33313–63mo ago
Overtake Sector on Nuke
no recent maps
MirageIOW pick56%5-457%8-6
Iowa Stormboar on Mirage
WBeyond Limits13–111d agoWWanted Goons13–72d agoWOvertake Sector13–43d agoLFestina Lente4–133mo agoLDETONATE14–163mo agoWOvertake Sector13–73mo agoWClub 33313–83mo agoLDETONATE10–133mo ago
Overtake Sector on Mirage
LDETONATE8–131d agoWAxial13–51d agoLIowa Stormboar4–133d agoWChicken Coop13–117d agoWEMPIRE13–78d agoWVillainous16–1412d agoLLAG11–132mo agoWClub 33313–82mo ago
CacheOVE pick50%1-1100%2-0
Iowa Stormboar on Cache
LSportsBetExpert7–131d agoWEMPIRE13–49d ago
Overtake Sector on Cache
WDETONATE13–91d agoWNuTorious13–1111d ago
InfernoIOW ban17%1-540%4-6
Iowa Stormboar on Inferno
LSportsBetExpert1–131d agoLEMPIRE10–139d agoWVillainous13–710d agoLMarsborne2–1311d agoLLAG5–131mo agoLNRG6–131mo ago
Overtake Sector on Inferno
WDETONATE13–41d agoLMarsborne9–136d agoWChicken Coop13–87d agoWEMPIRE13–98d agoLNuTorious11–1311d agoWVillainous13–412d agoLLAG9–132mo agoLClub 3339–132mo ago
AncientOVE ban75%3-133%3-6
Iowa Stormboar on Ancient
WVillainous16–1310d agoWFestina Lente13–33mo agoWOvertake Sector13–93mo agoLM805–133mo ago
Overtake Sector on Ancient
WVillainous13–62d agoLVoca5–139d agoWNuTorious13–511d agoWraisedbypixels13–92mo agoLWanted Goons10–132mo agoLChicken Coop10–133mo agoLIowa Stormboar9–133mo agoLWanted Goons10–133mo ago
Dust2decider60%3-250%4-4
Iowa Stormboar on Dust2
WBeyond Limits16–141d agoWShimmer13–812d agoLMarsborne9–133mo agoLOvertake Sector4–133mo agoWDETONATE13–53mo ago
Overtake Sector on Dust2
LMarsborne8–136d agoLVoca10–139d agoWraisedbypixels13–102mo agoLClub 3337–132mo agoWWanted Goons13–32mo agoWChicken Coop13–63mo agoWIowa Stormboar13–43mo agoLex-Aether9–134mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Iowa Stormboar Inferno · Overtake Sector Nuke.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

Overtake Sector52%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: Overtake Sector 52% toss-up · Cache: Overtake Sector 58% · Dust2: Iowa Stormboar 56% toss-upWhyOvertake Sector hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesIowa Stormboar 48%: 2-1 28%, 2-0 20%  ·  Overtake Sector 52%: 2-0 30%, 2-1 22%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Iowa Stormboar 48%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Overtake Sector only lead because their Cache is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.52% Overtake Sector
Mirage
Iowa Stormboar48%
Overtake Sector52%
5-4record8-6
56%win57%
63%CT win64%
43%T win39%
44%pistol46%
75%convert69%
Cache
Iowa Stormboar42%
Overtake Sector58%
1-1record2-0
50%win100%
45%CT win55%
65%T win58%
75%pistol25%
100%convert100%
Dust2
Iowa Stormboar56%
Overtake Sector44%
3-2record4-4
60%win50%
47%CT win51%
53%T win56%
20%pistol44%
100%convert71%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
IOWct
IOWt
OVEct
OVEt
IOWpistol
IOWconv
IOWeco
OVEpistol
OVEconv
OVEeco
Miragepool
63%63/100
43%39/90
64%89/138
39%63/162
44%8/18
75%6/8
10%1/10
46%13/28
69%9/13
20%3/15
Cachepool
45%9/20
65%11/17
55%12/22
58%14/24
75%3/4
100%3/3
0%0/1
25%1/4
100%1/1
33%1/3
Dust2pool
47%24/51
53%27/51
51%43/84
56%43/77
20%2/10
100%2/2
13%1/8
44%7/16
71%5/7
33%3/9
Anubisban
42%10/24
60%12/20
42%20/48
57%21/37
100%4/4
100%4/4
n/a
50%4/8
25%1/4
25%1/4
Nukeban
61%45/74
45%47/105
n/a
n/a
61%11/18
91%10/11
14%1/7
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernoban
29%20/68
41%17/41
52%59/113
50%49/98
17%2/12
100%2/2
20%2/10
50%10/20
70%7/10
0%0/10
Ancientban
56%18/32
52%25/48
56%54/96
43%41/96
50%4/8
100%4/4
0%0/4
33%6/18
100%6/6
17%2/12
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Overtake Sector wins more pistol rounds: 44% vs 41%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Iowa Stormboar usually win the next round too (85% vs 71%). Lose the pistol → Overtake Sector fight back to win the next round more often (26% vs 11%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Iowa Stormboar

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/18 (22%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 18 maps they won, 4 (22%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 22% of their wins were comebacks, not 22% of all games.vs Beyond LimitsDust2from 7 downvs Beyond LimitsMiragefrom 5 downvs ShimmerDust2from 4 downvs VillainousAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/19 (21%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 19 maps they lost, 4 (21%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs M80Mirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs DETONATEMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs MarsborneAnubisled 5 · lost 9-13vs NRGNukeled 3 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Beyond LimitsDust2from 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs M80Mirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi22% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT22% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs DETONATEMirage14-16vs NRGNuke13-16vs VillainousAncient16-13vs Beyond LimitsDust216-14

Overtake Sector

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i11/25 (44%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 25 maps they won, 11 (44%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 44% of their wins were comebacks, not 44% of all games.vs Wanted GoonsMiragefrom 6 downvs VillainousMiragefrom 6 downvs EMPIREMiragefrom 5 downvs EMPIREInfernofrom 5 downvs Chicken CoopMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i10/24 (42%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 24 maps they lost, 10 (42%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MarsborneInfernoled 10 · lost 11-13vs DETONATEMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs Wanted GoonsAncientled 4 · lost 10-13vs LAGMirageled 4 · lost 11-13vs NuToriousInfernoled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Wanted GoonsMiragefrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MarsborneInfernoled 10 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs ex-AetherAncient12-16vs MarsborneMirage20-22vs BrahmasAnubis16-12vs VillainousMirage16-14

Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake Sector FAQ

Who is favored to win Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake Sector?

Iowa Stormboar are favored with a 50% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake Sector?

Match odds for Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake Sector aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Iowa Stormboar and Overtake Sector play?

Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake Sector is scheduled for 2026-09-11 01:00 UTC at NSTLGA League Season 2.

Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake Sector Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER