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Matches / Upcoming / Marsborne vs Without a Roof

Marsborne vs Without a Roof: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · NSTLGA League Season 2

Marsborne
World #108 · 43-26
VS
2026-09-11 01:00 UTC
NSTLGA League Season 2 · Best of 3
Without a Roof
World #161 · 7-4
72%
Win probability
28%
The call · high confidence

Marsborne are favoured: our model gives them 72% against Without a Roof. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours Marsborne, firepower slightly favours Marsborne, head-to-head slightly favours Marsborne.

Likely mapsInferno · Mirage · Ancient

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Firepower

roster ratings

Marsborne · avg 1.16 · top +0.07

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
nicx321.1679.275.3%66%1.23
Grizz1591.1283.873%58%1.22
ogwizard721.2267.973.7%33%1.13
WUMBO721.0173.974.8%61%1.12
freshie720.9573.573.2%52%1.08

Without a Roof · avg 1.19 · top +0.23

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Brehze181.2988.479%61%1.42
CeRq181.2676.177.8%41%1.16
autimatic181.0873.373.8%56%1.16
FaNg181.0269.373.6%67%1.13
Stewie2K180.8875.774.6%60%1.07

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Marsborne vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Without a Roof habitually bans Anubis, Marsborne's strongest maps (Inferno, Mirage, Ancient, Anubis all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Anubis 9/11), not an opponent read, so expect Marsborne to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapMARWIT
Dust2MAR ban54%7-650%1-1
AnubisWIT ban76%13-4100%1-0
InfernoMAR pick74%28-1040%2-3
MirageWIT pick69%18-880%4-1
CacheMAR ban0%0-1n/a0g
Marsborne on Cache
Lregain5132mo ago
Without a Roof on Cache
no recent maps
NukeWIT ban53%8-750%1-1
Ancientdecider60%18-1267%2-1
Each team's usual first ban: Marsborne Dust2 · Without a Roof Anubis.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

Marsborne60%to win the seriesiMap edgesInferno: Marsborne 73% clear · Mirage: Without a Roof 54% toss-up · Ancient: Without a Roof 50% toss-upWhyWithout a Roof are favoured on 2 of 3 maps, but only barely: the other maps are near 50/50 (Mirage & Ancient), so Marsborne just need to steal one (~73% to grab at least one).OutcomesMarsborne 60%: 2-0 34%, 2-1 26%  ·  Without a Roof 40%: 2-1 26%, 2-0 14%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Marsborne 60%Marsborne are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Marsborne 2-0.40% Without a Roof
Inferno
Marsborne73%
Without a Roof27%
28-10record2-3
74%win40%
64%CT win45%
52%T win42%
62%pistol30%
74%convert33%
Mirage
Marsborne46%
Without a Roof54%
18-8record4-1
69%win80%
63%CT win78%
47%T win51%
54%pistol70%
79%convert100%
Ancient
Marsborne50%
Without a Roof50%
18-12record2-1
60%win67%
60%CT win48%
46%T win68%
65%pistol50%
82%convert100%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
MARct
MARt
WITct
WITt
MARpistol
MARconv
MAReco
WITpistol
WITconv
WITeco
Infernopool
64%220/344
52%221/428
45%19/42
42%23/55
62%47/76
74%35/47
28%8/29
30%3/10
33%1/3
14%1/7
Miragepool
63%175/278
47%115/244
78%36/46
51%25/49
54%28/52
79%22/28
25%6/24
70%7/10
100%7/7
33%1/3
Ancientpool
60%173/290
46%142/306
48%13/27
68%19/28
65%39/60
82%32/39
10%2/21
50%3/6
100%3/3
0%0/3
Dust2ban
45%67/149
48%53/110
58%14/24
62%8/13
62%16/26
75%12/16
20%2/10
75%3/4
67%2/3
0%0/1
Anubisban
57%99/173
59%88/150
58%7/12
50%6/12
41%14/34
100%14/14
40%8/20
0%0/2
n/a
50%1/2
Cacheban
42%5/12
0%0/6
n/a
n/a
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
54%84/157
41%58/141
65%11/17
45%9/20
47%14/30
71%10/14
13%2/16
75%3/4
100%3/3
0%0/1
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Marsborne wins more pistol rounds: 61% vs 50%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Without a Roof usually win the next round too (85% vs 78%). Lose the pistol → Marsborne fight back to win the next round more often (22% vs 15%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Marsborne

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i37/99 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 99 maps they won, 37 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs Overtake SectorInfernofrom 10 downvs Chicken CoopAncientfrom 10 downvs 9zAncientfrom 6 downvs LAGMiragefrom 6 downvs Chicken CoopDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/60 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 60 maps they lost, 23 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NRGDust2led 11 · lost 2-13vs SportsBetExpertAnubisled 9 · lost 4-13vs NRGMirageled 6 · lost 17-19vs ZomblersAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs GalorysOverpassled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Overtake SectorInfernofrom 10 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NRGDust2led 11 · lost 2-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs NRGMirage19-22vs NRGMirage17-19vs BESTIAAncient16-19vs VocaOverpass14-16vs Fake do BiruInferno19-17

Without a Roof

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/11 (45%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 11 maps they won, 5 (45%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 45% of their wins were comebacks, not 45% of all games.vs regainMiragefrom 5 downvs For FunAnubisfrom 5 downvs Wanted GoonsAncientfrom 3 downvs For FunMiragefrom 3 downvs EMPIREInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/7 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 7 maps they lost, 2 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SportsBetExpertMirageled 7 · lost 9-13vs LAGAncientled 3 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs regainMiragefrom 5 down · won 13-6
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SportsBetExpertMirageled 7 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini6.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi17% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT17% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample

Marsborne vs Without a Roof FAQ

Who is favored to win Marsborne vs Without a Roof?

Marsborne are favored with a 72% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Marsborne vs Without a Roof?

Match odds for Marsborne vs Without a Roof aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Marsborne and Without a Roof play?

Marsborne vs Without a Roof is scheduled for 2026-09-11 01:00 UTC at NSTLGA League Season 2.

Marsborne vs Without a Roof Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER