Matches / Upcoming / NRG vs Without a Roof
NRG vs Without a Roof: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier
NRG
World #51 · 28-21
VS
2026-09-09 23:00 UTC
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
Without a Roof
World #119 · 7-4
70%30%
84%
1.15.75Market · 12 books
16%The call
NRG are favoured: our model gives them 70% against Without a Roof. Bookmakers lean NRG at 84%. Strength slightly favours NRG, firepower slightly favours NRG.
Likely mapsCache · Mirage · Inferno
Recent form
NRG
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
SportsBetExpert#725-11-2
Marsborne#846-30-1
NRG vs Marsborne
Jul 30WAncient6-13Dust213-2Inferno13-8Jan 11WInferno5-13Mirage19-17Overpass13-9Jan 3WInferno11-13Mirage22-19Train13-10Without a Roof vs Marsborne
Sep 5LInferno4-13
LAG#952-00-2
NRG vs LAG
Apr 25WAncient13-3Inferno13-8Without a Roof vs LAG
Aug 30LAncient6-13Nuke7-13Firepower
roster ratingsNRG · avg 1.15 · top +0.07
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, NRG vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapNRGWIT
AnubisNRG ban0%0-2100%1-0
Without a Roof on Anubis
WFor Fun13–111d agoNukeWIT ban41%7-1050%1-1
CacheNRG pick100%7-0n/a0g
NRG on Cache
W
Acend13–21mo agoW
Spirit HU13–01mo agoW
Voca13–71mo agoWSportsBetExpert13–51mo agoWVoca13–11mo agoWSportsBetExpert13–62mo agoWEh13–32mo agoWithout a Roof on Cache
no recent maps
MirageWIT pick72%18-780%4-1
AncientNRG ban50%9-967%2-1
Dust2WIT ban40%6-950%1-1
Each team's usual first ban: NRG Dust2 · Without a Roof Anubis.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
NRG53%to win the seriesiMap edgesCache: NRG 50% toss-up · Mirage: Without a Roof 51% toss-up · Inferno: NRG 58%WhyNRG hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesNRG 53%: 2-1 29%, 2-0 24% · Without a Roof 47%: 2-0 26%, 2-1 21%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
NRG 53%It’s nearly a coin-flip. NRG only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.47% Without a Roof
Cache
NRG50%Without a Roof50%
thin sample, read with caution
7-0record0-0
100%win–
88%CT win–
74%T win–
86%pistol–
91%convert–
Mirage
NRG49%Without a Roof51%
18-7record4-1
72%win80%
69%CT win78%
41%T win51%
56%pistol70%
89%convert100%
Inferno
NRG58%Without a Roof42%
11-10record2-3
52%win40%
55%CT win45%
50%T win42%
64%pistol30%
81%convert33%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
NRGct
NRGt
WITct
WITt
NRGpistol
NRGconv
NRGeco
WITpistol
WITconv
WITeco
Cachepool
88%36/41
74%55/74
n/a
n/a
86%12/14
91%10/11
50%1/2
n/a
n/a
n/a
Miragepool
69%180/261
41%96/233
78%36/46
51%25/49
56%28/50
89%24/27
5%1/22
70%7/10
100%7/7
33%1/3
Infernopool
55%114/207
50%114/229
45%19/42
42%23/55
64%27/42
81%22/27
13%2/15
30%3/10
33%1/3
14%1/7
Anubisban
54%13/24
39%9/23
58%7/12
50%6/12
100%4/4
75%3/4
n/a
0%0/2
n/a
50%1/2
Nukeban
49%87/179
47%76/162
65%11/17
45%9/20
50%17/34
65%11/17
24%4/17
75%3/4
100%3/3
0%0/1
Ancientban
55%103/188
40%72/180
48%13/27
68%19/28
58%21/36
67%14/21
0%0/15
50%3/6
100%3/3
0%0/3
Dust2ban
49%68/138
41%67/164
58%14/24
62%8/13
37%11/30
73%8/11
11%2/19
75%3/4
67%2/3
0%0/1
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
NRG wins more pistol rounds: 63% vs 50%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → NRG usually win the next round too (86% vs 80%). Lose the pistol → Without a Roof fight back to win the next round more often (20% vs 10%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
NRG
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/64 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 64 maps they won, 22 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs MarsborneDust2from 11 downvs 9INEDust2from 8 downvs MarsborneMiragefrom 6 downvs MarsborneMiragefrom 5 downvs MarsborneOverpassfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/51 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 51 maps they lost, 18 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BIGMirageled 12 · lost 12-16vs VocaMirageled 7 · lost 9-13vs FUTAncientled 7 · lost 13-16vs MarsborneInfernoled 5 · lost 11-13vs MOUZDust2led 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MarsborneDust2from 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni12 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BIGMirageled 12 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs MarsborneMirage22-19vs 9INEDust225-23vs 9INEOverpass14-16vs VocaDust216-14vs MarsborneMirage19-17
Without a Roof
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/11 (45%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 11 maps they won, 5 (45%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 45% of their wins were comebacks, not 45% of all games.vs regainMiragefrom 5 downvs For FunAnubisfrom 5 downvs Wanted GoonsAncientfrom 3 downvs For FunMiragefrom 3 downvs EMPIREInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/7 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 7 maps they lost, 2 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SportsBetExpertMirageled 7 · lost 9-13vs LAGAncientled 3 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs regainMiragefrom 5 down · won 13-6
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SportsBetExpertMirageled 7 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini6.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi17% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT17% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample
NRG vs Without a Roof FAQ
Who is favored to win NRG vs Without a Roof?
NRG are favored with a 70% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for NRG vs Without a Roof?
Bookmakers price NRG at 1.1 and Without a Roof at 5.75 (implied 84% vs 16%).
When do NRG and Without a Roof play?
NRG vs Without a Roof is scheduled for 2026-09-09 23:00 UTC at PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier.