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Matches / Upcoming / Privateer vs NAVI Junior

Privateer vs NAVI Junior: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier

Privateer
World #189 · 4-13
VS
2026-09-11 14:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
NAVI Junior
World #112 · 10-11
25%
Win probability
75%
24%
3.761.22Market · 2 booksBookmakerPRINAVGGBet3.761.22Sweatbet 3.761.22
76%
The call · high confidence

NAVI Junior are favoured: our model gives them 75% against Privateer. Bookmakers lean NAVI Junior at 76%. Strength clearly favours NAVI Junior, record slightly favours NAVI Junior, form clearly favours NAVI Junior, firepower clearly favours NAVI Junior.

Likely mapsNuke · Mirage · Dust2

Recent form

Privateer

BERGOvertimeOT2d ago0-2HAVU2d ago0-2Inner Circle AcademyStompStomp2-133d ago1-2RyvexPistolsPist6/6OvertimeOT14d ago1-2The Last ResortOvertimeOT19d ago0-2Phantom AcademyStompStomp1-1324d ago0-2Fire Flux25d ago0-2eternal premiumBlew leadBL725d ago0-2OG25d ago0-2HonvédBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT1mo ago0-2ROUNDS2mo ago2-1Misa2mo ago0-2megoshortOvertimeOT2mo ago2-1The Last Resort2mo ago0-2Glitchtech UK2mo ago2-0

NAVI Junior

Mai TaiPistolsPist2/22d ago2-0Banger GangPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-13d ago2-0LPHOvertimeOT1mo ago0-2UNiTY1mo ago0-2BRUTEUpsetUpset1mo ago2-1JamOvertimeOT1mo ago0-2eSubaOvertimeOT1mo ago0-2GamersLabOvertimeOT1mo ago2-1MAYBE1mo ago2-0ASTRALOvertimeOT1mo ago0-2MOUZ NXT1mo ago13-5LEO1mo ago13-5BRUTE1mo ago5-13Fire Flux3mo ago0-2Prestige4mo ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Fire Flux#1280-20-2
Privateer vs Fire Flux
Aug 14LNuke5-13Dust25-13
NAVI Junior vs Fire Flux
Jun 19LNuke4-13Anubis11-13

Firepower

roster ratings

Privateer · avg 0.96 · top +0.15

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
dobbo320.947869.5%60%1.11
Prime390.9166.566.6%62%1.01
Frazehh390.9169.864%41%0.98
JAUSTERE170.8770.767.8%52%0.97
M1n1maL390.7762.164.8%64%0.87
Ariant0290.7666.564%59%0.85

NAVI Junior · avg 1.1 · top +0.16

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
MahaR381.1781.672.4%60%1.26
FAZERY421.0578.172%61%1.18
kodak430.8868.671.7%58%1.03
skizzyee380.8270.571.7%69%1.02
yoki431.0369.670.3%36%1.02

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Privateer vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPRINAV
AnubisPRI bann/a0g29%2-5
Privateer on Anubis
no recent maps
NAVI Junior on Anubis
LLPH7–131mo agoLUNiTY5–131mo agoWBRUTE13–61mo agoLJam11–131mo agoLeSuba9–131mo agoWMAYBE13–71mo agoLFire Flux11–133mo ago
InfernoNAV ban100%2-033%2-4
Privateer on Inferno
WROUNDS13–82mo agoWmegoshort13–92mo ago
NAVI Junior on Inferno
LeSuba14–161mo agoLPrestige6–134mo agoLALGO6–134mo agoWHEROIC Academy13–76mo agoWLPH13–106mo agoLMASONIC3–138mo ago
NukePRI pick31%4-920%1-4
Privateer on Nuke
LBERG12–162d agoLHAVU8–132d agoLInner Circle Academy2–133d agoWRyvex13–814d agoLThe Last Resort14–1619d agoLFire Flux5–1325d agoLHonvéd10–131mo agoWROUNDS13–112mo ago
NAVI Junior on Nuke
LJam14–161mo agoWGamersLab13–111mo agoLASTRAL15–191mo agoLFire Flux4–133mo agoLALGO5–134mo ago
MirageNAV pick20%1-488%7-1
Privateer on Mirage
LRyvex11–1314d agoLPhantom Academy7–1324d agoLOG5–1325d agoLmegoshort14–162mo agoWGlitchtech UK13–72mo ago
NAVI Junior on Mirage
LBRUTE4–131mo agoWGamersLab16–121mo agoWLEO13–51mo agoWPrestige13–114mo agoWALGO13–64mo agoWHEROIC Academy13–86mo agoWImperial Academy13–36mo agoWMASONIC13–98mo ago
CachePRI ban0%0-1n/a0g
Privateer on Cache
LThe Last Resort6–132mo ago
NAVI Junior on Cache
no recent maps
AncientNAV ban29%2-533%3-6
Privateer on Ancient
LBERG4–132d agoLInner Circle Academy5–133d agoLPhantom Academy1–1324d agoLROUNDS10–132mo agoWmegoshort13–82mo agoWThe Last Resort13–72mo agoLVoracity14–162mo ago
NAVI Junior on Ancient
WBanger Gang13–33d agoLLPH13–161mo agoLUNiTY10–131mo agoWMAYBE13–51mo agoLASTRAL7–131mo agoLPrestige4–134mo agoLHEROIC Academy2–136mo agoWImperial Academy13–116mo ago
Dust2decider20%2-860%3-2
Privateer on Dust2
LHAVU3–132d agoWInner Circle Academy13–113d agoLRyvex22–2514d agoLThe Last Resort9–1319d agoLFire Flux5–1325d agoLOG3–1325d agoLHonvéd13–161mo agoLMisa5–132mo ago
NAVI Junior on Dust2
WBanger Gang13–13d agoWBRUTE13–51mo agoLGamersLab12–161mo agoLBRUTE5–131mo agoWLPH13–46mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Privateer Anubis · NAVI Junior Cache.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

NAVI Junior78%to win the seriesiMap edgesNuke: Privateer 55% toss-up · Mirage: NAVI Junior 84% clear · Dust2: NAVI Junior 75% clearWhyNAVI Junior hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesPrivateer 22%: 2-1 13%, 2-0 9%  ·  NAVI Junior 78%: 2-1 40%, 2-0 38%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Privateer 22%NAVI Junior are the clearer side here: the most likely result is NAVI Junior 2-1.78% NAVI Junior
Nuke
Privateer55%
NAVI Junior45%
4-9record1-4
31%win20%
51%CT win40%
43%T win46%
42%pistol50%
73%convert60%
Mirage
Privateer16%
NAVI Junior84%
1-4record7-1
20%win88%
48%CT win66%
42%T win52%
50%pistol63%
60%convert80%
Dust2
Privateer25%
NAVI Junior75%
2-8record3-2
20%win60%
45%CT win60%
36%T win63%
45%pistol20%
67%convert100%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
PRIct
PRIt
NAVct
NAVt
PRIpistol
PRIconv
PRIeco
NAVpistol
NAVconv
NAVeco
Nukepool
51%65/127
43%66/153
40%21/53
46%25/54
42%11/26
73%8/11
13%2/15
50%5/10
60%3/5
0%0/5
Miragepool
48%26/54
42%22/52
66%50/76
52%44/85
50%5/10
60%3/5
40%2/5
63%10/16
80%8/10
33%2/6
Dust2pool
45%45/100
36%30/83
60%32/53
63%24/38
45%9/20
67%6/9
18%2/11
20%2/10
100%2/2
50%4/8
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
46%32/69
47%37/78
n/a
n/a
n/a
57%8/14
75%6/8
33%2/6
Infernoban
63%15/24
58%11/19
35%19/55
52%34/66
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
33%4/12
75%3/4
25%2/8
Cacheban
33%4/12
29%2/7
n/a
n/a
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
n/a
n/a
n/a
Ancientban
61%41/67
24%17/70
42%39/93
51%44/86
50%7/14
43%3/7
14%1/7
39%7/18
71%5/7
18%2/11
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (Privateer 45%, NAVI Junior 47%). Nobody has an edge.
Win the pistol → NAVI Junior usually win the next round too (76% vs 68%). Lose the pistol → NAVI Junior fight back to win the next round more often (32% vs 19%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Privateer

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/11 (9%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 11 maps they won, 1 (9%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 9% of their wins were comebacks, not 9% of all games.vs megoshortInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i8/27 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 27 maps they lost, 8 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Fire FluxNukeled 8 · lost 5-13vs HonvédNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs megoshortMirageled 5 · lost 14-16vs BERGNukeled 5 · lost 12-16vs RyvexDust2led 4 · lost 22-25
Biggest comebackifrom 3 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs megoshortInfernofrom 3 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Fire FluxNukeled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs VoracityAncient14-16vs megoshortMirage14-16vs HonvédDust213-16vs The Last ResortNuke14-16vs RyvexDust222-25

NAVI Junior

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i6/18 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 18 maps they won, 6 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs LPHInfernofrom 5 downvs GamersLabNukefrom 5 downvs PrestigeMiragefrom 4 downvs GamersLabMiragefrom 4 downvs MAYBEAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/24 (21%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 24 maps they lost, 5 (21%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs JamAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13vs JamNukeled 4 · lost 14-16vs UNiTYAncientled 4 · lost 10-13vs GamersLabDust2led 3 · lost 12-16vs eSubaInfernoled 3 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LPHInfernofrom 5 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs JamAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi24% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT24% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs ASTRALNuke15-19vs GamersLabDust212-16vs GamersLabMirage16-12vs eSubaInferno14-16vs JamNuke14-16

Privateer vs NAVI Junior FAQ

Who is favored to win Privateer vs NAVI Junior?

NAVI Junior are favored with a 75% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Privateer vs NAVI Junior?

Bookmakers price Privateer at 3.76 and NAVI Junior at 1.22 (implied 24% vs 76%).

When do Privateer and NAVI Junior play?

Privateer vs NAVI Junior is scheduled for 2026-09-11 14:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier.