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Black Phoenix vs G2 Ares: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9

Black Phoenix
World #89 · 27-25
VS
2026-09-22 14:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
G2 Ares
World #103 · 42-43
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
68%
Win probability
32%
The call

Black Phoenix are favoured: our model gives them 68% against G2 Ares. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Black Phoenix, firepower clearly favours Black Phoenix.

Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Mirage

Firepower

roster ratings

Black Phoenix · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
karnez★178.569.8%66%1.1
MRcreed0.9969.370.6%60%1.09
4X1s0.9174.769.5%53%1.06
topo1.166.970.8%32%1.05
Salazar0.8668.469.1%51%0.99

G2 Ares · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Junyme★1.1474.472.6%40%1.16
TMKj1.0376.570.9%66%1.15
hitori0.9675.570.7%52%1.08
yksjupe0.968.771.3%53%1.02
SHiNE0.8361.669.1%55%0.93

Recent form

Black Phoenix

QUAZARUpsetUpsettoday1-2BAKSPistolsPist5/6StompStomp13-11d ago1-2benched godsStompStomp13-2OvertimeOT1d ago2-1BAKS2d ago2-1LavkedPistolsPist3/43d ago2-0ex-RUSTEC4d ago2-1ENCE5d ago2-0Just PlayersPistolsPist3/4Blew leadBL86d ago0-2WW7d ago1-2NemigaOvertimeOT7d ago1-2INOX DivisionStompStomp13-111d ago1-2PsychoFaceStompStomp13-213d ago2-1HAVUPistolsPist2/2OvertimeOT15d ago2-0UNiTYStompStomp2-1317d ago0-2INFINITE19d ago0-2

G2 Ares

QUAZAR1d ago1-2HonvédPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT1d ago2-0BAKSPistolsPist5/6OvertimeOT4d ago1-2MisaUpsetUpsetBlew leadBL84d ago1-2AzuolasOvertimeOT6d ago2-0Phantom6d ago0-2BRUTE6d ago1-2WBT Academy8d ago2-0Honvéd8d ago1-2Azuolas13d ago2-0ex-Zero Tenacity13d ago1-2WAZABIStompStomp13-214d ago2-0Bushido WildcatsPistolsPist5/6OvertimeOT15d ago2-1The Last ResortUpsetUpset17d ago0-2PsychoFaceOvertimeOT18d ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
HOTU#280-22-0
Black Phoenix vs HOTU
Aug 24LDust26-13Anubis9-13
G2 Ares vs HOTU
Jul 31WMirage13-8Dust213-6
INOX Division#591-21-2
Black Phoenix vs INOX Division
Sep 10LNuke4-13Dust213-1Inferno5-13
G2 Ares vs INOX Division
Jul 26LDust216-14Anubis12-16Inferno8-13
EAC#660-22-0
Black Phoenix vs EAC
Jul 24Lseries0-2
G2 Ares vs EAC
Jul 31WInferno13-6Ancient13-11
ex-RUSTEC#672-30-4
Black Phoenix vs ex-RUSTEC
Sep 17WNuke13-3Inferno11-13Dust213-10Aug 21LAnubis8-13Inferno14-16
G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC
Aug 25LDust26-13Inferno7-13Jul 29LInferno2-13Dust211-13
Butterfly#743-32-3
Black Phoenix vs Butterfly
Aug 22LDust213-10Nuke7-13Inferno9-13Aug 1WDust213-10Nuke11-13Inferno13-10
G2 Ares vs Butterfly
Jul 28LMirage5-13Ancient4-13Jul 24WAncient4-13Mirage16-12Inferno16-14
Bushido Wildcats#762-12-5
Black Phoenix vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 19WDust213-11Mirage4-13Nuke13-7
G2 Ares vs Bushido Wildcats
Sep 6WInferno13-10Dust214-16Anubis16-12Aug 26LInferno6-13Dust211-13Feb 12LMirage6-13Anubis7-13
WW#811-22-1
Black Phoenix vs WW
Sep 14LDust211-13Mirage13-11Anubis3-13
G2 Ares vs WW
Mar 3WOverpass9-13Dust219-16
ex-Zero Tenacity#820-41-4
Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Sep 2LAnubis8-13Dust27-13Aug 25LCache3-13Dust211-13
G2 Ares vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Sep 8LCache6-13Mirage13-5Inferno10-13Aug 19LDust25-13Mirage7-13

Map lab

Black Phoenix52%to win the Bo3 · most likely Black Phoenix 2-0
If the veto goes
Black Phoenix 52%how the series ends48% G2 Ares
33%2-018%
20%2-129%
Map 1Dust2Black Phoenix pick
Black Phoenix60%23-16vsG2 Ares40%17-18
59%Win49%
55%CT51%
52%T45%
54%Pistol51%
93%Conv61%
Map 2InfernoG2 Ares pick
Black Phoenix55%8-5vsG2 Ares45%24-19
62%Win56%
57%CT55%
49%T50%
54%Pistol52%
86%Conv71%
Map 3Miragedecider
Black Phoenix40%8-13vsG2 Ares60%21-22
38%Win49%
47%CT55%
49%T46%
50%Pistol53%
81%Conv78%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Black PhoenixDust2G2 Ares
55%CT side51%
52%T side45%
54%Pistol51%
93%After win61%
14%After loss18%
Black PhoenixInfernoG2 Ares
57%CT side55%
49%T side50%
54%Pistol52%
86%After win71%
8%After loss34%
Black PhoenixMirageG2 Ares
47%CT side55%
49%T side46%
50%Pistol53%
81%After win78%
14%After loss23%
Pistol rounds53% · 52% · level, no edge
After a won pistol88% · 71% · Black Phoenix keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol13% · 25% · G2 Ares fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Black Phoenix vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBLAG2
AncientBLA ban0%0-148%14-15
Black Phoenix on Ancient
LPsychoFace11–1313d ago
G2 Ares on Ancient
LBAKS20–224d agoLPhantom4–136d agoWBRUTE13–66d agoWWAZABI13–514d agoLRune Eaters5–1324d agoWSTATE13–224d agoWHYPERSPIRIT13–529d agoWPermitta13–31mo ago
NukeG2 ban53%10-9n/a0g
Black Phoenix on Nuke
LQUAZAR9–13todayWex-RUSTEC13–34d agoLINOX Division4–1311d agoWPsychoFace13–913d agoWBBL13–1021d agoLSPARTA6–1322d agoWUPGRADE13–1124d agoWHAVU13–928d ago
G2 Ares on Nuke
no recent maps
Dust2BLA pick59%23-1649%17-18
Black Phoenix on Dust2
WQUAZAR13–4todayWBAKS13–11d agoWbenched gods13–21d agoWBAKS13–102d agoWLavked13–63d agoWex-RUSTEC13–104d agoLJust Players8–136d agoLWW11–137d ago
G2 Ares on Dust2
WHonvéd16–121d agoLMisa11–134d agoLHonvéd8–138d agoLBushido Wildcats14–1615d agoLPsychoFace7–1318d agoWRune Eaters16–1224d agoLBushido Wildcats11–1326d agoLex-RUSTEC6–1327d ago
InfernoG2 pick62%8-556%24-19
Black Phoenix on Inferno
WBAKS13–62d agoLex-RUSTEC11–134d agoLINOX Division5–1311d agoWBBL16–1321d agoWSPARTA13–422d agoWHYPERSPIRIT13–726d agoWUNiTY13–71mo agoLButterfly9–131mo ago
G2 Ares on Inferno
WQUAZAR13–71d agoWHonvéd13–71d agoWBAKS13–114d agoWMisa13–44d agoWAzuolas13–56d agoLPhantom9–136d agoWHonvéd13–78d agoWAzuolas13–613d ago
AnubisBLA ban20%3-1244%7-9
Black Phoenix on Anubis
WLavked13–33d agoWENCE13–115d agoLWW3–137d agoWNemiga13–107d agoLUNiTY2–1317d agoLex-Zero Tenacity8–1319d agoLUPGRADE4–1324d agoLNemiga5–1325d ago
G2 Ares on Anubis
WWBT Academy13–108d agoWBushido Wildcats16–1215d agoL9INE11–1323d agoLPermitta10–131mo agoWNexus13–111mo agoLINOX Division12–162mo agoLWalczaki6–133mo agoWMisa13–64mo ago
CacheG2 ban53%8-720%2-8
Black Phoenix on Cache
LQUAZAR7–13todayLBAKS11–131d agoLbenched gods12–161d agoLBAKS8–132d agoWENCE13–95d agoWUPGRADE13–1124d agoLex-Zero Tenacity3–1327d agoWex-RUBY13–927d ago
G2 Ares on Cache
LQUAZAR6–131d agoLBAKS9–134d agoLMisa9–134d agoLBRUTE11–136d agoLex-Zero Tenacity6–1313d agoLThe Last Resort17–1917d agoWSTATE16–1424d agoLPermitta8–131mo ago
Miragedecider38%8-1349%21-22
Black Phoenix on Mirage
LBAKS10–131d agoWbenched gods13–61d agoLJust Players10–136d agoWWW13–117d agoLNemiga15–197d agoLINFINITE10–1319d agoWRune Eaters13–924d agoLFORZE Reload10–1325d ago
G2 Ares on Mirage
LQUAZAR6–131d agoWAzuolas19–156d agoLBRUTE5–136d agoWWBT Academy13–98d agoLHonvéd11–138d agoWAzuolas13–513d agoWex-Zero Tenacity13–513d agoLPsychoFace17–1918d ago
Each team's usual first ban: Black Phoenix Ancient · G2 Ares Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Black Phoenix

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/60 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 60 maps they won, 21 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs QUAZARDust2from 9 downvs WalczakiCachefrom 7 downvs CYBERSHOKECachefrom 7 downvs BAKSDust2from 7 downvs EnjoyMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/63 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 63 maps they lost, 21 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs INOX DivisionNukeled 9 · lost 4-13vs LavkedMirageled 8 · lost 13-16vs Just PlayersMirageled 8 · lost 10-13vs CYBERSHOKEDust2led 7 · lost 8-13vs ButterflyNukeled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs QUAZARDust2from 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs INOX DivisionNukeled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs LavkedMirage16-13vs WalczakiCache25-23vs ex-RUSTECInferno14-16vs BBLInferno16-13vs LavkedMirage13-16

G2 Ares

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i33/95 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 95 maps they won, 33 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs LavkedOverpassfrom 10 downvs MisaInfernofrom 9 downvs AzuolasInfernofrom 8 downvs DONSTUAnubisfrom 7 downvs LilmixAncientfrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i33/100 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 100 maps they lost, 33 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PhantomAncientled 9 · lost 4-13vs Rune EatersAncientled 8 · lost 5-13vs 9INEMirageled 8 · lost 23-25vs MisaDust2led 8 · lost 11-13vs QUAZARCacheled 7 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LavkedOverpassfrom 10 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PhantomAncientled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 35Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 35 went to overtime.vs WWDust219-16vs UNiTYOverpass19-17vs zajezdzaczeDust216-14vs LavkedOverpass16-13vs aAaOverpass19-16

Black Phoenix vs G2 Ares FAQ

Who is favored to win Black Phoenix vs G2 Ares?

Black Phoenix are favored with a 68% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Black Phoenix vs G2 Ares?

Match odds for Black Phoenix vs G2 Ares aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Black Phoenix and G2 Ares play?

Black Phoenix vs G2 Ares is scheduled for 2026-09-22 14:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 9.

Black Phoenix vs G2 Ares Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER