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Matches / Upcoming / Inner Circle vs BBL

Inner Circle vs BBL: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Logitech G Play Connect 2026

Inner Circle
World #24 · 39-30
VS
2026-09-18 08:00 UTC
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3
BBL
World #54 · 4-4
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3
68%
Win probability
32%
69%
1.343.01Market · 2 booksBookmakerINNBBLGGBet1.343.01Sweatbet 1.343.01
31%
The call

Inner Circle are favoured: our model gives them 68% against BBL. Bookmakers lean Inner Circle at 69%. Strength slightly favours Inner Circle, form slightly favours BBL, firepower slightly favours Inner Circle.

Likely mapsAncient · Nuke · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

Inner Circle · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Dawy1.1284.575.1%54%1.2
headtr1ck1.2872.575.9%35%1.14
cptkurtka0230.9773.172.3%62%1.12
zeRRoFIX1.0273.473.3%57%1.07
onic0.8966.271%53%1.01

BBL · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
leakz1.1885.875.1%56%1.21
NickyB1.057872.3%57%1.19
salazar0.9961.769.3%43%1.03
Boye0.8265.965.2%51%0.93
IceBerg0.645867.2%49%0.83

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Map lab

Inner Circle55%to win the Bo3 · most likely Inner Circle 2-1
If the veto goes
Inner Circle 55%how the series ends45% BBL
25%2-025%
30%2-120%
Map 1AncientInner Circle pick
Inner Circle52%20-16vsBBL48%1-1
56%Win50%
52%CT42%
48%T78%
54%Pistol50%
79%Conv100%
Map 2NukeBBL pick
Inner Circle48%10-11vsBBL52%3-3
48%Win50%
58%CT56%
41%T41%
45%Pistol42%
53%Conv80%
Map 3Cachedecider
Inner Circle61%2-0vsBBL39%1-2
100%Win33%
63%CT47%
50%T42%
50%Pistol17%
50%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Inner CircleAncientBBL
52%CT side42%
48%T side78%
54%Pistol50%
79%After win100%
24%After loss0%
Inner CircleNukeBBL
58%CT side56%
41%T side41%
45%Pistol42%
53%After win80%
22%After loss0%
Inner CircleCacheBBL
63%CT side47%
50%T side42%
50%Pistol17%
50%After win100%
50%After loss0%
Pistol rounds51% · 36% · Inner Circle win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol70% · 88% · BBL keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol24% · 0% · Inner Circle fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Inner Circle vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

BBL habitually bans Dust2, Inner Circle's strongest maps (Dust2, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Dust2 8/8), not an opponent read, so expect Inner Circle to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapINNBBL
InfernoINN bann/a0g60%3-2
Dust2BBL ban68%25-12n/a0g
AncientINN pick56%20-1650%1-1
NukeBBL pick48%10-1150%3-3
MirageINN ban46%17-20100%1-0
AnubisBBL ban53%8-70%0-1
Cachedecider100%2-033%1-2
Each team's usual first ban: Inner Circle Inferno · BBL Dust2.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Inner Circle

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/89 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 89 maps they won, 26 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs Eternal FireAncientfrom 6 downvs FaZeMiragefrom 6 downvs 9INEAncientfrom 6 downvs VitalityCachefrom 6 downvs CYBERSHOKEMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/72 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 72 maps they lost, 26 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MOUZAncientled 9 · lost 4-13vs NemesisMirageled 6 · lost 16-19vs K27Anubisled 6 · lost 9-13vs Friendly CampersAnubisled 6 · lost 11-13vs AcendMirageled 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Eternal FireAncientfrom 6 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MOUZAncientled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 25Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 25 went to overtime.vs FAVBETNuke17-19vs NemesisMirage16-19vs 3DMAXNuke13-16vs WHITEBIRDOverpass16-13vs WHITEBIRDDust214-16

BBL

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/9 (56%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 9 maps they won, 5 (56%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 56% of their wins were comebacks, not 56% of all games.vs UPGRADEMiragefrom 7 downvs fnaticInfernofrom 4 downvs 3DMAXCachefrom 4 downvs WildcardInfernofrom 4 downvs HOTUNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/9 (22%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 9 maps they lost, 2 (22%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HOTUAnubisled 4 · lost 13-16vs 100 ThievesInfernoled 3 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs UPGRADEMiragefrom 7 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HOTUAnubisled 4 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi44% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT44% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs Black PhoenixInferno13-16vs 3DMAXCache16-13vs WildcardInferno16-12vs HOTUAnubis13-16

Inner Circle vs BBL FAQ

Who is favored to win Inner Circle vs BBL?

Inner Circle are favored with a 68% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Inner Circle vs BBL?

Bookmakers price Inner Circle at 1.34 and BBL at 3.01 (implied 69% vs 31%).

When do Inner Circle and BBL play?

Inner Circle vs BBL is scheduled for 2026-09-18 08:00 UTC at Logitech G Play Connect 2026.