Matches / Upcoming / Inner Circle vs Liquid
Inner Circle vs Liquid: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Logitech G Play Connect 2026
Inner Circle
World #24 · 39-30
VS
2026-09-18 10:00 UTC
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
Liquid
World #22 · 26-27
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
44%56%
42%
2.231.62Market · 2 books
58%The call
Liquid are favoured: our model gives them 56% against Inner Circle. Bookmakers lean Liquid at 58%. Record slightly favours Inner Circle, form clearly favours Liquid, firepower clearly favours Liquid, head-to-head clearly favours Liquid.
Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Cache
Firepower
roster ratingsInner Circle · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawy★ | 1.12 | 84.5 | 75.1% | 54% | 1.2 |
| headtr1ck | 1.28 | 72.5 | 75.9% | 35% | 1.14 |
| cptkurtka023 | 0.97 | 73.1 | 72.3% | 62% | 1.12 |
| zeRRoFIX | 1.02 | 73.4 | 73.3% | 57% | 1.07 |
| onic | 0.89 | 66.2 | 71% | 53% | 1.01 |
Liquid · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.03iStar gap: the best player rates 0.03 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Inner Circle
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Spirit#10-20-6
Inner Circle vs Spirit
Jan 18LAncient8-13Dust25-13
Vitality#52-02-0
Inner Circle vs Vitality
Aug 27WAnubis13-8Cache16-13Liquid vs Vitality
Jul 24WAnubis13-10Nuke13-9
FUT#71-40-2
Liquid vs FUT
Jan 30LAncient4-13Nuke9-13
Alliance#211-21-2
Inner Circle vs Alliance
Mar 31LDust27-13Overpass13-11Anubis8-13Liquid vs Alliance
Mar 15LInferno13-6Nuke10-13
3DMAX#232-12-5
Inner Circle vs 3DMAX
Jan 15WAncient13-9Nuke13-16Dust213-6
Ninjas in Pyjamas#292-16-2
Inner Circle vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Sep 10WNuke9-13Dust213-11Mirage13-0Liquid vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 21WNuke3-13Mirage19-17Ancient13-9Jan 28WNuke13-6Mirage13-8Jan 15WNuke13-10Mirage8-13Ancient16-13
fnatic#422-12-0
Inner Circle vs fnatic
Feb 26WAncient11-13Overpass13-8Dust213-10Liquid vs fnatic
Aug 5WDust213-10Anubis13-5
Betclic#481-23-3
Inner Circle vs Betclic
Feb 2LDust213-4Mirage11-13Overpass5-13Map lab
Inner Circle62%to win the Bo3 · most likely Inner Circle 2-1
If the veto goes
Inner Circle 62%how the series ends38% Liquid
31%2-012%
31%2-126%
Inner Circle81%25-12vsLiquid19%6-14
68%Win30%
56%CT44%
55%T45%
49%Pistol60%
78%Conv96%
Inner Circle38%17-20vsLiquid62%10-7
46%Win59%
55%CT57%
52%T44%
61%Pistol53%
86%Conv78%
Inner Circle55%2-0vsLiquid45%4-2
100%Win67%
63%CT56%
50%T57%
50%Pistol58%
50%Conv86%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
Inner CircleDust2Liquid
56%CT side44%
55%T side45%
49%Pistol60%
78%After win96%
34%After loss13%
Inner CircleMirageLiquid
55%CT side57%
52%T side44%
61%Pistol53%
86%After win78%
21%After loss6%
Inner CircleCacheLiquid
63%CT side56%
50%T side57%
50%Pistol58%
50%After win86%
50%After loss20%
Pistol rounds55% · 57% · level, no edge
After a won pistol81% · 88% · Liquid keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol29% · 11% · Inner Circle fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Inner Circle vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapINNLIQ
InfernoINN bann/a0g59%10-7
Inner Circle on Inferno
no recent maps
AncientLIQ ban56%20-1631%5-11
Dust2INN pick68%25-1230%6-14
MirageLIQ pick46%17-2059%10-7
NukeINN ban48%10-1152%14-13
AnubisLIQ ban53%8-757%8-6
Cachedecider100%2-067%4-2
Each team's usual first ban: Inner Circle Inferno · Liquid Overpass.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Inner Circle
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/89 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 89 maps they won, 26 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs Eternal FireAncientfrom 6 downvs FaZeMiragefrom 6 downvs 9INEAncientfrom 6 downvs VitalityCachefrom 6 downvs CYBERSHOKEMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/72 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 72 maps they lost, 26 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MOUZAncientled 9 · lost 4-13vs NemesisMirageled 6 · lost 16-19vs K27Anubisled 6 · lost 9-13vs Friendly CampersAnubisled 6 · lost 11-13vs AcendMirageled 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Eternal FireAncientfrom 6 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MOUZAncientled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 25Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 25 went to overtime.vs FAVBETNuke17-19vs NemesisMirage16-19vs 3DMAXNuke13-16vs WHITEBIRDOverpass16-13vs WHITEBIRDDust214-16
Liquid
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/57 (23%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 57 maps they won, 13 (23%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 23% of their wins were comebacks, not 23% of all games.vs The MongolZMiragefrom 6 downvs M80Miragefrom 5 downvs Ninjas in PyjamasMiragefrom 4 downvs Inner CircleMiragefrom 4 downvs VitalityAnubisfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/60 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 60 maps they lost, 15 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs OGAncientled 7 · lost 8-13vs 3DMAXNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs SashiNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs PARIVISIONDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs G2Mirageled 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The MongolZMiragefrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs OGAncientled 7 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs Ninjas in PyjamasAncient16-13vs FalconsNuke14-16vs G2Anubis14-16vs Passion UANuke15-19vs M80Mirage16-13
Inner Circle vs Liquid FAQ
Who is favored to win Inner Circle vs Liquid?
Liquid are favored with a 56% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Inner Circle vs Liquid?
Bookmakers price Inner Circle at 2.23 and Liquid at 1.62 (implied 42% vs 58%).
When do Inner Circle and Liquid play?
Inner Circle vs Liquid is scheduled for 2026-09-18 10:00 UTC at Logitech G Play Connect 2026.