Matches / Upcoming / magic vs MIBR

magic vs MIBR: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026

magic
World #17 · 45-24
VS
2026-09-18 12:30 UTC
StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★
MIBR
World #18 · 47-24
StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★
52%
Win probability
48%
31%
3.11.37Market · 26 booksBookmakerMAGMIBbetovo2.751.41scored2.751.41GGBet2.781.43Sweatbet 2.791.42Epicbet2.81.38Stake2.81.38Thunderpick Row2.81.38ZizoBet2.861.411red31.35bcgame31.36duelbits31.35Betify3.11.37Rainbet3.11.37Razed3.11.37betory3.11.37betpanda3.11.37GranaWin3.111.341xBit3.141.36ColdBet3.141.36Spinbet3.141.36Vivatbet3.141.36betlabel3.141.36Cs2skin3.151.39roobet3.151.381xbet3.171.37Duel.com3.21.39
69%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 52–48. Bookmakers lean MIBR at 69%. Every factor is level between the two sides.

Likely mapsAncient · Inferno · Mirage

Firepower

roster ratings

magic · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.16iStar gap: the best player rates 0.16 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
tenzy1.1179.672.6%62%1.22
MaSvAl1.0775.974.6%57%1.21
mo0N1.1671.671.2%39%1.1
sFade80.8874.469.2%55%1.01
eksiver0.6648.260.8%42%0.77

MIBR · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.19iStar gap: the best player rates 0.19 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
insani1.1789.575.6%54%1.31
venomzera17273.8%59%1.14
nqz1.1768.372.1%32%1.1
LNZ0.9267.373.1%54%1.05
tomaszin0.968.469.9%51%1

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Map lab

MIBR56%to win the Bo3 · most likely MIBR 2-1
If the veto goes
magic 44%how the series ends56% MIBR
25%2-025%
20%2-131%
Map 1Ancientmagic pick
magic55%27-14vsMIBR45%16-10
66%Win62%
50%CT52%
57%T50%
46%Pistol60%
84%Conv94%
Map 2InfernoMIBR pick
magic45%11-6vsMIBR55%26-12
65%Win68%
56%CT55%
44%T57%
50%Pistol58%
94%Conv75%
Map 3Miragedecider
magic39%20-18vsMIBR61%20-11
53%Win65%
58%CT67%
45%T47%
51%Pistol58%
77%Conv83%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

magicAncientMIBR
50%CT side52%
57%T side50%
46%Pistol60%
84%After win94%
25%After loss43%
magicInfernoMIBR
56%CT side55%
44%T side57%
50%Pistol58%
94%After win75%
24%After loss13%
magicMirageMIBR
58%CT side67%
45%T side47%
51%Pistol58%
77%After win83%
27%After loss27%
Pistol rounds49% · 58% · MIBR win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol83% · 83% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol26% · 25% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, magic vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMAGMIB
NukeMAG bann/a0g58%18-13
Dust2MIB ban55%17-140%0-1
AncientMAG pick66%27-1462%16-10
InfernoMIB pick65%11-668%26-12
AnubisMAG ban67%10-585%11-2
CacheMIB ban86%6-167%4-2
Miragedecider53%20-1865%20-11
Each team's usual first ban: magic Nuke · MIBR Dust2.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

magic

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i37/100 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 100 maps they won, 37 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs Gentle MatesMiragefrom 9 downvs EACAncientfrom 8 downvs Gentle MatesMiragefrom 8 downvs ECSTATICMiragefrom 7 downvs Nuclear TigeRESMiragefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/62 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 62 maps they lost, 18 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BetBoomMirageled 7 · lost 12-16vs The MongolZMirageled 7 · lost 23-25vs BIGOverpassled 6 · lost 11-13vs ECSTATICOverpassled 5 · lost 8-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasMirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Gentle MatesMiragefrom 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BetBoomMirageled 7 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 26Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 26 went to overtime.vs Fingers CrossedDust220-22vs BetBoomMirage12-16vs WHITEBIRDAncient16-14vs ECSTATICMirage16-13vs ECSTATICAncient14-16

MIBR

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i31/100 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 100 maps they won, 31 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs GalorysMiragefrom 9 downvs Gaimin GladiatorsAnubisfrom 8 downvs Bounty HuntersAnubisfrom 6 downvs BC.GameAnubisfrom 6 downvs RED CanidsAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/57 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 57 maps they lost, 21 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs RED CanidsInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs LegacyMirageled 7 · lost 12-16vs Eternal FireAncientled 6 · lost 16-19vs Eternal FireMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs BETBOOMAnubisled 6 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GalorysMiragefrom 9 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs RED CanidsInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs LegacyAncient22-20vs RED CanidsAncient19-16vs 9zNuke16-14vs 9zInferno16-13vs GalorysNuke16-13

magic vs MIBR FAQ

Who is favored to win magic vs MIBR?

magic are favored with a 52% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for magic vs MIBR?

Bookmakers price magic at 3.1 and MIBR at 1.37 (implied 31% vs 69%).

When do magic and MIBR play?

magic vs MIBR is scheduled for 2026-09-18 12:30 UTC at StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026.