Matches / Upcoming / regain vs Marsborne

regain vs Marsborne: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CROSSFIRE Season 6

regain
World #168 · 32-23
VS
2026-09-26 00:00 UTC
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
Marsborne
World #91 · 47-30
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
36%
Win probability
64%
21%
4.331.17Market · 2 booksBookmakerREGMARGGBet4.331.17Sweatbet 4.331.17
79%
The call

Marsborne are favoured: our model gives them 64% against regain. Bookmakers lean Marsborne at 79%. Strength slightly favours Marsborne, record slightly favours Marsborne, firepower slightly favours Marsborne, head-to-head slightly favours Marsborne.

Likely mapsInferno · Anubis · Ancient

Firepower

roster ratings

regain · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Zucar1.0582.875%54%1.23
fuzenko1.1179.577.1%55%1.23
dvrk1.0876.273.2%41%1.13
grape0.987072.8%53%1.06
sasha0.8363.270.8%49%0.95

Marsborne · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Grizz1.1184.272.5%58%1.21
WUMBO1.0574.675.1%61%1.15
nicx1.0774.872.9%65%1.15
ogwizard1.1967.373.4%35%1.11
freshie0.927372.4%50%1.06

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
M80#260-22-1
SportsBetExpert#690-24-4
Voca#840-68-14
LAG#940-26-0
Without a Roof#962-21-4
For Fun#1411-22-1
Chicken Coop#1915-34-5
FarmVille#1934-51-0

Map lab

Marsborne57%to win the Bo3 · most likely Marsborne 2-0
If the veto goes
regain 43%how the series ends57% Marsborne
17%2-034%
25%2-124%
Map 1Infernoregain pick
regain38%19-14vsMarsborne62%29-13
58%Win69%
51%CT63%
57%T51%
42%Pistol62%
71%Conv77%
Map 2AnubisMarsborne pick
regain45%5-1vsMarsborne55%17-4
83%Win81%
55%CT58%
68%T61%
67%Pistol40%
88%Conv100%
Map 3Ancientdecider
regain52%16-11vsMarsborne48%20-15
59%Win57%
52%CT59%
52%T47%
50%Pistol60%
81%Conv79%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

regainInfernoMarsborne
51%CT side63%
57%T side51%
42%Pistol62%
71%After win77%
8%After loss25%
regainAnubisMarsborne
55%CT side58%
68%T side61%
67%Pistol40%
88%After win100%
0%After loss40%
regainAncientMarsborne
52%CT side59%
52%T side47%
50%Pistol60%
81%After win79%
7%After loss7%
Pistol rounds48% · 57% · Marsborne win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol78% · 81% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol7% · 24% · Marsborne fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, regain vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapREGMAR
NukeREG bann/a0g47%8-9
CacheMAR ban100%1-00%0-1
Marsborne on Cache
Lregain5132mo ago
InfernoREG pick58%19-1469%29-13
AnubisMAR pick83%5-181%17-4
MirageREG ban40%12-1868%19-9
Dust2MAR ban50%11-1157%8-6
Ancientdecider59%16-1157%20-15
Each team's usual first ban: regain Nuke · Marsborne Dust2.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

regain

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i24/67 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 67 maps they won, 24 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs FarmVilleDust2from 10 downvs FarmVilleAncientfrom 6 downvs BabagInfernofrom 6 downvs ZomblersInfernofrom 5 downvs AkimboInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/58 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 58 maps they lost, 19 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NuToriousMirageled 8 · lost 13-16vs Club 333Infernoled 7 · lost 13-16vs SkylineAncientled 6 · lost 14-16vs MarsborneMirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs FarmVilleInfernoled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FarmVilleDust2from 10 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NuToriousMirageled 8 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs BlitzkriegDust216-12vs Outfit 49Dust222-19vs ZomblersDust221-25vs F5Inferno13-16vs FarmVilleInferno16-19

Marsborne

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i40/108 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 108 maps they won, 40 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs Overtake SectorInfernofrom 10 downvs Chicken CoopAncientfrom 10 downvs 9zAncientfrom 6 downvs LAGMiragefrom 6 downvs Chicken CoopDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/69 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 69 maps they lost, 26 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NRGDust2led 11 · lost 2-13vs SportsBetExpertAnubisled 9 · lost 4-13vs NRGMirageled 6 · lost 17-19vs ZomblersAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs GalorysOverpassled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Overtake SectorInfernofrom 10 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NRGDust2led 11 · lost 2-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs NRGMirage19-22vs NRGMirage17-19vs BESTIAAncient16-19vs VocaOverpass14-16vs Fake do BiruInferno19-17

regain vs Marsborne FAQ

Who is favored to win regain vs Marsborne?

Marsborne are favored with a 64% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for regain vs Marsborne?

Bookmakers price regain at 4.33 and Marsborne at 1.17 (implied 21% vs 79%).

When do regain and Marsborne play?

regain vs Marsborne is scheduled for 2026-09-26 00:00 UTC at CROSSFIRE Season 6.

regain vs Marsborne Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER