CS2OBSERVER
Matches / Upcoming / Sementes do Mal vs QUINTESSÊNCIA

Sementes do Mal vs QUINTESSÊNCIA: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3

Sementes do Mal
World #– · 0-4
VS
2026-09-18 23:45 UTC
CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3 · Best of 3
QUINTESSÊNCIA
World #159 · 4-5
CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3 · Best of 3
40%
Win probability
60%
The call

QUINTESSÊNCIA are favoured: our model gives them 60% against Sementes do Mal. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours QUINTESSÊNCIA, record clearly favours QUINTESSÊNCIA, form clearly favours QUINTESSÊNCIA, firepower clearly favours QUINTESSÊNCIA.

Likely mapsCache · Inferno · Mirage

Firepower

roster ratings

Sementes do Mal · avg 0.82 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
terran★0.9172.362.3%55%0.99
coxa0.7362.357.3%55%0.82
Kaiserzy0.656.657.1%57%0.78
Mrd0.7260.156%55%0.78
Aker0.6362.162.3%53%0.74

QUINTESSÊNCIA · avg 1.02 · star gap +0.18iStar gap: the best player rates 0.18 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
FasteR★1.277.676.2%59%1.2
edv1.1372.973%30%1.06
prozinszsz0.8671.968.9%49%1
cz1k40.8660.368.7%57%0.97
n0page0.686268.4%45%0.85

Recent form

Sementes do Mal

RUSHtoday0-2Mansão Maromba18d ago0-2MEIA NOITE22d ago0-2GrêmioStompStomp2-1323d ago0-2

QUINTESSÊNCIA

Bounty HuntersStompStomp13-213d ago1-2ALKA1mo ago1-2paiN Academy1mo ago2-1METANOIA Wolves1mo ago2-0PugdesonestoPistolsPist0/4ComebackCB61mo ago2-0UNO MILLEOvertimeOT5mo ago0-2Crashers5mo ago2-1Turma do Pagode5mo ago11-13ImperialStompStomp2-135mo ago2-13

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
No prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.

Map lab

QUINTESSÊNCIA61%to win the Bo3 · most likely QUINTESSÊNCIA 2-0
If the veto goes
Sementes do Mal 39%how the series ends61% QUINTESSÊNCIA
17%2-035%
23%2-126%
Map 1CacheSementes do M… pick
Sementes do Mal38%0-2vsQUINTESSÊNCIA62%3-1
0%Win75%
58%CT40%
25%T60%
50%Pistol50%
100%Conv50%
Map 2InfernoQUINTESSÊNCIA pick
Sementes do Mal44%0-1vsQUINTESSÊNCIA56%2-0
0%Win100%
25%CT63%
43%T48%
50%Pistol50%
100%Conv50%
Map 3Miragedecider
Sementes do Mal47%0-2vsQUINTESSÊNCIA53%1-3
0%Win25%
40%CT32%
19%T39%
0%Pistol38%
–Conv67%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Sementes do MalCacheQUINTESSÊNCIA
58%CT side40%
25%T side60%
50%Pistol50%
100%After win50%
50%After loss0%
Sementes do MalInfernoQUINTESSÊNCIA
25%CT side63%
43%T side48%
50%Pistol50%
100%After win50%
0%After loss0%
Sementes do MalMirageQUINTESSÊNCIA
40%CT side32%
19%T side39%
0%Pistol38%
–After win67%
25%After loss20%
Pistol rounds30% · 45% · QUINTESSÊNCIA win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol100% · 56% · Sementes do Mal keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol29% · 9% · Sementes do Mal fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Sementes do Mal vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapSEMQUI
NukeSEM bann/a0gn/a0g
Sementes do Mal on Nuke
no recent maps
QUINTESSÊNCIA on Nuke
no recent maps
AnubisQUI bann/a0g0%0-1
Sementes do Mal on Anubis
no recent maps
QUINTESSÊNCIA on Anubis
LpaiN Academy4–131mo ago
CacheSEM pick0%0-275%3-1
Sementes do Mal on Cache
LRUSH7–13todayLMansão Maromba10–1318d ago
QUINTESSÊNCIA on Cache
LBounty Hunters6–1313d agoWALKA13–111mo agoWpaiN Academy13–101mo agoWPugdesonesto13–111mo ago
InfernoQUI pick0%0-1100%2-0
Sementes do Mal on Inferno
LGrêmio6–1323d ago
QUINTESSÊNCIA on Inferno
WPugdesonesto13–111mo agoWCrashers13–105mo ago
Dust2SEM ban0%0-150%3-3
Sementes do Mal on Dust2
LMansão Maromba9–1318d ago
QUINTESSÊNCIA on Dust2
WBounty Hunters13–213d agoWpaiN Academy13–81mo agoWMETANOIA Wolves13–111mo agoLUNO MILLE17–195mo agoLCrashers6–135mo agoLImperial2–135mo ago
AncientQUI bann/a0g33%1-2
Sementes do Mal on Ancient
no recent maps
QUINTESSÊNCIA on Ancient
LALKA5–131mo agoWCrashers13–75mo agoLTurma do Pagode11–135mo ago
Miragedecider0%0-225%1-3
Sementes do Mal on Mirage
LRUSH8–13todayLGrêmio2–1323d ago
QUINTESSÊNCIA on Mirage
LBounty Hunters4–1313d agoLALKA7–131mo agoWMETANOIA Wolves13–111mo agoLUNO MILLE4–135mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Sementes do Mal Nuke · QUINTESSÊNCIA Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Sementes do Mal

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/0 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 0 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/6 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 6 maps they lost, 2 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Mansão MarombaDust2led 4 · lost 9-13vs RUSHMirageled 3 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 0 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Mansão MarombaDust2led 4 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi17% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT17% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample

QUINTESSÊNCIA

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/10 (40%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 10 maps they won, 4 (40%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 40% of their wins were comebacks, not 40% of all games.vs PugdesonestoInfernofrom 6 downvs METANOIA WolvesMiragefrom 4 downvs PugdesonestoCachefrom 3 downvs ALKACachefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/10 (10%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 10 maps they lost, 1 (10%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs UNO MILLEDust2led 4 · lost 17-19
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PugdesonestoInfernofrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs UNO MILLEDust2led 4 · lost 17-19
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi45% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT45% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs UNO MILLEDust217-19

Sementes do Mal vs QUINTESSÊNCIA FAQ

Who is favored to win Sementes do Mal vs QUINTESSÊNCIA?

QUINTESSÊNCIA are favored with a 60% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Sementes do Mal vs QUINTESSÊNCIA?

Match odds for Sementes do Mal vs QUINTESSÊNCIA aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Sementes do Mal and QUINTESSÊNCIA play?

Sementes do Mal vs QUINTESSÊNCIA is scheduled for 2026-09-18 23:45 UTC at CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3.