Matches / Upcoming / MEIA NOITE vs QUINTESSÊNCIA

MEIA NOITE vs QUINTESSÊNCIA: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3

MEIA NOITE
World # · 4-9
VS
2026-09-19 23:45 UTC
CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3 · Best of 3
QUINTESSÊNCIA
World #159 · 5-5
CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3 · Best of 3
42%
Win probability
58%
51%
1.791.87Market · 4 booksBookmakerMEIQUIGGBet1.791.88Sweatbet 1.791.88betovo1.81.86scored1.81.86
49%
The call

QUINTESSÊNCIA are favoured: our model gives them 58% against MEIA NOITE. Bookmakers lean MEIA NOITE at 51%. Strength slightly favours QUINTESSÊNCIA, record slightly favours QUINTESSÊNCIA, form slightly favours QUINTESSÊNCIA, firepower clearly favours QUINTESSÊNCIA.

Likely mapsMirage · Cache · Dust2

Firepower

roster ratings

MEIA NOITE · avg 1.01 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
nyezin1.118670.8%49%1.15
abr1.037672%54%1.08
Bruninho0.9471.371.5%59%1.04
Jerr10.964.770.1%47%0.98
bsd0.986770.7%34%0.96
BK10.6552.867.4%60%0.82

QUINTESSÊNCIA · avg 1.21 · star gap +0.85iStar gap: the best player rates 0.85 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
fl4sh2.11121.982.7%50%2.06
edv1.274.273.5%32%1.1
prozinszsz0.8772.170.9%48%1.02
cz1k40.8961.669.4%56%0.98
n0page0.7264.670.1%46%0.9

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Bounty Hunters#1380-41-2
QUINTESSÊNCIA vs Bounty Hunters
Sep 5LCache6-13Dust213-2Mirage4-13
METANOIA Wolves#2253-22-0
QUINTESSÊNCIA vs METANOIA Wolves
Aug 16WMirage13-11Dust213-11
paiN Academy1-22-1
MEIA NOITE vs paiN Academy
Aug 6LMirage8-13Inferno13-2Cache11-13
QUINTESSÊNCIA vs paiN Academy
Aug 16WCache13-10Anubis4-13Dust213-8
Sementes do Mal2-02-0
MEIA NOITE vs Sementes do Mal
Aug 27Wseries2-0
QUINTESSÊNCIA vs Sementes do Mal
Sep 19WCache13-5Mirage13-3

Map lab

QUINTESSÊNCIA60%to win the Bo3 · most likely QUINTESSÊNCIA 2-0
If the veto goes
MEIA NOITE 40%how the series ends60% QUINTESSÊNCIA
13%2-039%
27%2-121%
Map 1MirageMEIA NOITE pick
MEIA NOITE44%3-6vsQUINTESSÊNCIA56%2-3
33%Win40%
49%CT34%
43%T51%
50%Pistol40%
89%Conv75%
Map 2CacheQUINTESSÊNCIA pick
MEIA NOITE30%0-3vsQUINTESSÊNCIA70%4-1
0%Win80%
39%CT46%
26%T63%
17%Pistol60%
100%Conv67%
Map 3Dust2decider
MEIA NOITE56%3-2vsQUINTESSÊNCIA44%3-3
60%Win50%
42%CT61%
47%T43%
50%Pistol58%
80%Conv86%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

MEIA NOITEMirageQUINTESSÊNCIA
49%CT side34%
43%T side51%
50%Pistol40%
89%After win75%
22%After loss17%
MEIA NOITECacheQUINTESSÊNCIA
39%CT side46%
26%T side63%
17%Pistol60%
100%After win67%
20%After loss0%
MEIA NOITEDust2QUINTESSÊNCIA
42%CT side61%
47%T side43%
50%Pistol58%
80%After win86%
0%After loss0%
Pistol rounds44% · 53% · QUINTESSÊNCIA win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol87% · 76% · MEIA NOITE keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol16% · 7% · MEIA NOITE fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, MEIA NOITE vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMEIQUI
AnubisMEI bann/a0g0%0-1
MEIA NOITE on Anubis
no recent maps
QUINTESSÊNCIA on Anubis
LpaiN Academy4131mo ago
NukeQUI ban50%1-1n/a0g
QUINTESSÊNCIA on Nuke
no recent maps
MirageMEI pick33%3-640%2-3
CacheQUI pick0%0-380%4-1
InfernoMEI ban67%2-1100%2-0
AncientQUI ban14%1-633%1-2
Dust2decider60%3-250%3-3
Each team's usual first ban: MEIA NOITE Anubis · QUINTESSÊNCIA Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

MEIA NOITE

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/10 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 10 maps they won, 3 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs GrêmioNukefrom 4 downvs BORRACHEIROSAncientfrom 4 downvs METANOIA WolvesMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/19 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 19 maps they lost, 7 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs GalorysAncientled 10 · lost 3-13vs BORRACHEIROSAncientled 6 · lost 13-16vs ODDIKMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs GalorysNukeled 4 · lost 5-13vs ProcyonAncientled 4 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GrêmioNukefrom 4 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs GalorysAncientled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi41% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT41% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs BORRACHEIROSAncient13-16vs METANOIA WolvesMirage22-20vs METANOIA WolvesAncient12-16vs GrêmioDust216-14vs ex-MIBR AcademyMirage13-16

QUINTESSÊNCIA

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/12 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 12 maps they won, 4 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs PugdesonestoInfernofrom 6 downvs METANOIA WolvesMiragefrom 4 downvs PugdesonestoCachefrom 3 downvs ALKACachefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/10 (10%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 10 maps they lost, 1 (10%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs UNO MILLEDust2led 4 · lost 17-19
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PugdesonestoInfernofrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs UNO MILLEDust2led 4 · lost 17-19
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi41% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT41% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs UNO MILLEDust217-19

MEIA NOITE vs QUINTESSÊNCIA FAQ

Who is favored to win MEIA NOITE vs QUINTESSÊNCIA?

QUINTESSÊNCIA are favored with a 58% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for MEIA NOITE vs QUINTESSÊNCIA?

Bookmakers price MEIA NOITE at 1.79 and QUINTESSÊNCIA at 1.87 (implied 51% vs 49%).

When do MEIA NOITE and QUINTESSÊNCIA play?

MEIA NOITE vs QUINTESSÊNCIA is scheduled for 2026-09-19 23:45 UTC at CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3.

MEIA NOITE vs QUINTESSÊNCIA Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER