Matches / Upcoming / Rare Atom vs Legion

Rare Atom vs Legion: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2

Rare Atom
World #98 · 29-22
VS
2026-09-22 13:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2 · Best of 3
Legion
World #195 · 10-15
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2 · Best of 3
85%
Win probability
15%
The call · high confidence

Rare Atom are favoured: our model gives them 85% against Legion. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours Rare Atom, record slightly favours Rare Atom, form slightly favours Rare Atom, firepower clearly favours Rare Atom, head-to-head clearly favours Rare Atom.

Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Mirage

Firepower

roster ratings

Rare Atom · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.15iStar gap: the best player rates 0.15 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
ChildKing1.1885.473.8%61%1.3
Trash1.0672.975.7%59%1.15
3gl1.1468.375%36%1.13
L1haNg1.0181.174.8%56%1.12
Summer0.957272.2%53%1.06

Legion · avg 1.03 · star gap +0.18iStar gap: the best player rates 0.18 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Bloody1.1188.269.8%65%1.21
hf1.0874.871%44%1.08
SOULM80.8873.568%60%1.02
HZI0.8867.568.9%55%1.01
BulleT0.7159.165.7%60%0.84

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Map lab

Legion52%to win the Bo3 · most likely Legion 2-1
If the veto goes
Rare Atom 48%how the series ends52% Legion
31%2-019%
16%2-133%
Map 1Dust2Rare Atom pick
Rare Atom58%21-15vsLegion42%7-7
58%Win50%
55%CT41%
54%T55%
64%Pistol39%
84%Conv82%
Map 2InfernoLegion pick
Rare Atom54%12-10vsLegion46%3-3
55%Win50%
65%CT44%
45%T56%
59%Pistol50%
92%Conv100%
Map 3Miragedecider
Rare Atom33%8-11vsLegion67%5-3
42%Win63%
49%CT51%
45%T48%
45%Pistol63%
88%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Rare AtomDust2Legion
55%CT side41%
54%T side55%
64%Pistol39%
84%After win82%
38%After loss18%
Rare AtomInfernoLegion
65%CT side44%
45%T side56%
59%Pistol50%
92%After win100%
6%After loss17%
Rare AtomMirageLegion
49%CT side51%
45%T side48%
45%Pistol63%
88%After win100%
10%After loss17%
Pistol rounds58% · 48% · Rare Atom win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol87% · 93% · Legion keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol20% · 17% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Rare Atom vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Legion habitually bans Ancient, Rare Atom's strongest maps (Ancient, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 24/27), not an opponent read, so expect Rare Atom to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapRARLEG
NukeRAR bann/a0g29%2-5
AncientLEG ban62%16-100%0-1
Dust2RAR pick58%21-1550%7-7
InfernoLEG pick55%12-1050%3-3
AnubisRAR ban40%4-625%1-3
CacheLEG ban71%5-20%0-1
Miragedecider42%8-1163%5-3
Each team's usual first ban: Rare Atom Nuke · Legion Ancient.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Rare Atom

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i15/67 (22%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 67 maps they won, 15 (22%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 22% of their wins were comebacks, not 22% of all games.vs URAncientfrom 6 downvs Just SwingMiragefrom 6 downvs Just SwingDust2from 5 downvs Last BulletMiragefrom 4 downvs Last BulletAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/57 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 57 maps they lost, 20 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MorningstarDust2led 7 · lost 12-16vs URDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs JiJieHaoMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs NEXVOIDInfernoled 6 · lost 10-13vs Lynn VisionAncientled 5 · lost 16-19
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs URAncientfrom 6 down · won 19-17
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MorningstarDust2led 7 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs URAncient19-17vs TYLOOInferno17-19vs Lynn VisionAncient19-17vs The HunsDust213-16vs Alter EgoMirage14-16

Legion

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/22 (23%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 22 maps they won, 5 (23%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 23% of their wins were comebacks, not 23% of all games.vs Just SwingDust2from 6 downvs OxinGameNukefrom 6 downvs Haunted HouseMiragefrom 5 downvs AriseOverpassfrom 4 downvs IkariInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i8/28 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 28 maps they lost, 8 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Chinggis WarriorsOverpassled 5 · lost 8-13vs ScarXDust2led 4 · lost 8-13vs NasNukeled 4 · lost 10-13vs MorningstarInfernoled 3 · lost 7-13vs Change The GameOverpassled 3 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Just SwingDust2from 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Chinggis WarriorsOverpassled 5 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi44% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT44% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs AriseDust216-14vs ScarXMirage19-17vs DEPODust216-14vs Haunted HouseNuke13-16vs Haunted HouseDust214-16

Rare Atom vs Legion FAQ

Who is favored to win Rare Atom vs Legion?

Rare Atom are favored with a 85% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Rare Atom vs Legion?

Match odds for Rare Atom vs Legion aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Rare Atom and Legion play?

Rare Atom vs Legion is scheduled for 2026-09-22 13:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2.