Matches / Upcoming / Iowa Stormboar vs Wanted Goons

Iowa Stormboar vs Wanted Goons: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2

Iowa Stormboar
World #170 · 12-10
VS
2026-09-23 01:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2 · Best of 3
Wanted Goons
World #217 · 11-21
ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2 · Best of 3
77%
Win probability
23%
The call · high confidence

Iowa Stormboar are favoured: our model gives them 77% against Wanted Goons. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours Iowa Stormboar, record slightly favours Iowa Stormboar, form clearly favours Iowa Stormboar, firepower clearly favours Iowa Stormboar, head-to-head slightly favours Iowa Stormboar.

Likely mapsNuke · Ancient · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

Iowa Stormboar · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.34iStar gap: the best player rates 0.34 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
H0NeST1.29100.475.1%65%1.43
Scorchyy1.056870.5%37%1.09
aelor0.9671.971.2%52%1.03
TyRa0.8674.263.6%59%0.96
Valter0k0.8165.269.3%56%0.94

Wanted Goons · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Johan1.0576.769.6%54%1.13
killerPandas1.037470.5%37%1.08
hibui0.9569.269.6%49%1.04
febreeze0.8873.769.9%53%1.03
Magic0.9374.866.4%56%1.01

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Map lab

Iowa Stormboar69%to win the Bo3 · most likely Iowa Stormboar 2-0
If the veto goes
Iowa Stormboar 69%how the series ends31% Wanted Goons
47%2-09%
22%2-122%
Map 1NukeIowa Stormboar pick
Iowa Stormboar61%4-6vsWanted Goons39%4-10
40%Win29%
55%CT56%
46%T35%
60%Pistol54%
92%Conv87%
Map 2AncientWanted Goons pick
Iowa Stormboar77%5-1vsWanted Goons23%9-10
83%Win47%
55%CT51%
52%T47%
50%Pistol55%
100%Conv86%
Map 3Cachedecider
Iowa Stormboar50%1-2thinWanted Goons50%0-0
33%Win
38%CT
55%T
50%Pistol
100%Conv

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Iowa StormboarNukeWanted Goons
55%CT side56%
46%T side35%
60%Pistol54%
92%After win87%
13%After loss23%
Iowa StormboarAncientWanted Goons
55%CT side51%
52%T side47%
50%Pistol55%
100%After win86%
0%After loss24%
Iowa StormboarCacheWanted Goons
38%CT side
55%T side
50%Pistol
100%After win
0%After loss
Pistol rounds55% · 55% · level, no edge
After a won pistol95% · 86% · Iowa Stormboar keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol6% · 23% · Wanted Goons fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Iowa Stormboar vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapIOWWAN
InfernoIOW ban17%1-525%1-3
MirageWAN ban57%8-620%3-12
NukeIOW pick40%4-629%4-10
AncientWAN pick83%5-147%9-10
AnubisIOW ban33%1-250%1-1
Dust2WAN ban63%5-336%4-7
Cachedecider33%1-2n/a0g
Wanted Goons on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: Iowa Stormboar Inferno · Wanted Goons Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Iowa Stormboar

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i8/25 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 25 maps they won, 8 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs Beyond LimitsDust2from 7 downvs Beyond LimitsMiragefrom 5 downvs ShimmerDust2from 4 downvs VillainousAncientfrom 4 downvs Overtake SectorAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/25 (20%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 25 maps they lost, 5 (20%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs M80Mirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs DETONATEMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs MarsborneAnubisled 5 · lost 9-13vs NRGNukeled 3 · lost 13-16vs SportsBetExpertMirageled 3 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Beyond LimitsDust2from 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs M80Mirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs DETONATEMirage14-16vs NRGNuke13-16vs VillainousAncient16-13vs Beyond LimitsDust216-14vs Overtake SectorAncient16-14

Wanted Goons

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i9/27 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 27 maps they won, 9 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs EMPIREDust2from 5 downvs NuToriousAncientfrom 5 downvs ZomblersNukefrom 4 downvs Overtake SectorAncientfrom 4 downvs VillainousAnubisfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/44 (43%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 44 maps they lost, 19 (43%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs DETONATEAncientled 9 · lost 14-16vs Desi BoyzNukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs EMPIREInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs LAGDust2led 6 · lost 9-13vs Overtake SectorMirageled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EMPIREDust2from 5 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs DETONATEAncientled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs ZomblersNuke22-18vs Reign AboveNuke17-19vs BrahmasOverpass16-13vs BrahmasNuke13-16vs DETONATEAncient14-16

Iowa Stormboar vs Wanted Goons FAQ

Who is favored to win Iowa Stormboar vs Wanted Goons?

Iowa Stormboar are favored with a 77% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Iowa Stormboar vs Wanted Goons?

Match odds for Iowa Stormboar vs Wanted Goons aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Iowa Stormboar and Wanted Goons play?

Iowa Stormboar vs Wanted Goons is scheduled for 2026-09-23 01:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2.