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FlyQuest RED vs Marsborne: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2

FlyQuest RED
World #– · 1-12
VS
2026-09-23 01:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2 · Best of 3
Marsborne
World #91 · 46-30
ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2 · Best of 3
17%
Win probability
83%
The call · high confidence

Marsborne are favoured: our model gives them 83% against FlyQuest RED. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours Marsborne, record clearly favours Marsborne, form clearly favours Marsborne, firepower clearly favours Marsborne, head-to-head clearly favours Marsborne.

Likely mapsNuke · Anubis · Ancient

Firepower

roster ratings

FlyQuest RED · avg 0.87 · star gap +0.18iStar gap: the best player rates 0.18 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
BiBiAhn★0.9577.265.3%46%1.05
Fawx0.8763.457.4%33%0.93
vanessa0.7761.963.8%52%0.89
Emy0.7161.462.8%56%0.83
marie0.5755.357.4%58%0.67

Marsborne · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Grizz★1.118472.5%58%1.21
nicx1.0774.973%65%1.15
WUMBO1.0474.474.9%61%1.14
ogwizard1.267.773.5%35%1.12
freshie0.9172.372%50%1.05

Recent form

FlyQuest RED

BOSS6mo ago0-2regain6mo ago0-2Wanted Goons6mo ago1-2SakuraBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT6mo ago1-2Fisher CollegePistolsPist3/47mo ago0-2LAG7mo ago0-2Outfit 497mo ago0-2Money CrewComebackCB6Blew leadBL77mo ago2-1MarsborneStompStomp1-137mo ago0-2F5OvertimeOT7mo ago1-2SportsBetExpertStompStomp1-137mo ago0-2Reign Above7mo ago0-2WildcardStompStomp0-138mo ago0-2

Marsborne

Kodex3d ago2-0For FunOvertimeOT6d ago2-1Iowa StormboarUpsetUpset7d ago0-2Without a RoofOvertimeOT7d ago0-2LiquidOvertimeOT8d ago1-2OlympusPistolsPist3/48d ago2-0Without a RoofUpsetUpset9d ago0-2LAG13d ago2-0IncognitoPistolsPist3/414d ago2-0The HomiesPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-214d ago2-0Without a RoofPistolsPist2/214d ago13-4FarmVille15d ago13-6VocaOvertimeOT17d ago1-2Overtake SectorPistolsPist3/418d ago2-0Voca19d ago0-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
7mo ago FlyQuest RED0 : 2 Marsborne!
⚠ Different lineup
Marsborne
outCxzi, WolfY, chop, motm
inWUMBO, freshie, nicx, ogwizard
SportsBetExpert#690-24-4
FlyQuest RED vs SportsBetExpert
Feb 9LDust29-13Mirage1-13
Marsborne vs SportsBetExpert
Aug 2LNuke6-13Anubis4-13May 31WInferno13-9Mirage13-8May 24LInferno10-13Anubis2-13
+1 earlier meeting
LAG#940-26-0
FlyQuest RED vs LAG
Feb 27LAncient5-13Nuke4-13
Marsborne vs LAG
Sep 6WDust213-11Inferno13-9Jul 28WMirage13-11Ancient13-5May 30WInferno13-6Mirage13-10
regain#1680-25-2
FlyQuest RED vs regain
Apr 3LDust28-13Ancient6-13
Marsborne vs regain
Aug 1WMirage13-6Ancient13-4Jul 9LAncient13-1Cache5-13Mirage14-16Jan 10WInferno13-5Mirage13-11
BOSS0-23-2
FlyQuest RED vs BOSS
Apr 4LMirage5-13Ancient3-13
Marsborne vs BOSS
Jan 11WNuke13-6Inferno13-9Jan 10LNuke2-13Inferno13-10Overpass9-13
Reign Above0-24-0
FlyQuest RED vs Reign Above
Feb 7LDust29-13Ancient7-13
Marsborne vs Reign Above
May 30WAnubis13-10Ancient13-2Jan 3WDust213-3Inferno13-5
F51-22-0
FlyQuest RED vs F5
Feb 11LNuke7-13Ancient22-20Mirage10-13
Marsborne vs F5
Jun 12WOverpass13-3Inferno13-4
Fisher College0-20-2
FlyQuest RED vs Fisher College
Feb 28LMirage5-13Ancient9-13
Marsborne vs Fisher College
Apr 26LInferno16-19Ancient10-13

Map lab

Marsborne71%to win the Bo3 · most likely Marsborne 2-1
If the veto goes
FlyQuest RED 29%how the series ends71% Marsborne
18%2-033%
11%2-138%
Map 1NukeFlyQuest RED pick
FlyQuest RED40%1-3vsMarsborne60%8-9
25%Win47%
36%CT52%
31%T41%
38%Pistol44%
67%Conv73%
Map 2AnubisMarsborne pick
FlyQuest RED44%0-1vsMarsborne56%16-4
0%Win80%
0%CT57%
8%T60%
0%Pistol40%
–Conv100%
Map 3Ancientdecider
FlyQuest RED22%2-7vsMarsborne78%20-15
22%Win57%
43%CT59%
38%T47%
44%Pistol60%
63%Conv79%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

FlyQuest REDNukeMarsborne
36%CT side52%
31%T side41%
38%Pistol44%
67%After win73%
0%After loss21%
FlyQuest REDAnubisMarsborne
0%CT side57%
8%T side60%
0%Pistol40%
–After win100%
0%After loss42%
FlyQuest REDAncientMarsborne
43%CT side59%
38%T side47%
44%Pistol60%
63%After win79%
0%After loss7%
Pistol rounds39% · 51% · Marsborne win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol64% · 82% · Marsborne keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol0% · 23% · Marsborne fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, FlyQuest RED vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapFLYMAR
InfernoFLY bann/a0g69%29-13
FlyQuest RED on Inferno
no recent maps
Marsborne on Inferno
WFor Fun13–66d agoLWithout a Roof11–137d agoLLiquid13–168d agoLWithout a Roof6–139d agoWLAG13–913d agoWIncognito13–1014d agoWWithout a Roof13–414d agoWOvertake Sector13–918d ago
CacheMAR bann/a0g0%0-1
FlyQuest RED on Cache
no recent maps
Marsborne on Cache
Lregain5–132mo ago
NukeFLY pick25%1-347%8-9
FlyQuest RED on Nuke
WWanted Goons13–106mo agoLLAG4–137mo agoLF57–137mo agoLWildcard0–138mo ago
Marsborne on Nuke
LFor Fun11–136d agoLLiquid5–138d agoWThe Homies13–614d agoWVoca22–2017d agoWIowa Stormboar13–923d agoLSportsBetExpert6–132mo agoLVoca3–135mo agoWALKA13–116mo ago
AnubisMAR pick0%0-180%16-4
FlyQuest RED on Anubis
LMarsborne1–137mo ago
Marsborne on Anubis
WKodex13–63d agoWLiquid13–108d agoWOlympus13–98d agoLSportsBetExpert4–132mo agoWIowa Stormboar13–93mo agoWFestina Lente13–93mo agoWReign Above13–104mo agoLSportsBetExpert2–134mo ago
MirageFLY ban0%0-967%18-9
FlyQuest RED on Mirage
LBOSS5–136mo agoLWanted Goons6–136mo agoLSakura20–226mo agoLFisher College5–137mo agoLOutfit 494–137mo agoLMarsborne2–137mo agoLF510–137mo agoLSportsBetExpert1–137mo ago
Marsborne on Mirage
LIowa Stormboar11–137d agoWIncognito13–714d agoWThe Homies13–214d agoWregain13–62mo agoWLAG13–112mo agoLregain14–162mo agoWOvertake Sector13–73mo agoLChicken Coop3–134mo ago
Dust2MAR ban17%1-557%8-6
FlyQuest RED on Dust2
Lregain8–136mo agoWSakura13–106mo agoLOutfit 497–137mo agoLMoney Crew18–227mo agoLSportsBetExpert9–137mo agoLReign Above9–137mo ago
Marsborne on Dust2
WFor Fun25–226d agoWLAG13–1113d agoLVoca5–1317d agoWOvertake Sector13–818d agoLVoca11–1319d agoWChicken Coop13–921d agoLNRG2–132mo agoWIowa Stormboar13–93mo ago
Ancientdecider22%2-757%20-15
FlyQuest RED on Ancient
LBOSS3–136mo agoLregain6–136mo agoLWanted Goons10–136mo agoLSakura13–166mo agoLFisher College9–137mo agoLLAG5–137mo agoWMoney Crew13–117mo agoWF522–207mo ago
Marsborne on Ancient
WKodex13–83d agoLIowa Stormboar10–137d agoLWithout a Roof14–167d agoWOlympus13–98d agoLWithout a Roof9–139d agoLVoca5–1317d agoLVoca6–1319d agoWChicken Coop13–321d ago
Each team's usual first ban: FlyQuest RED Inferno · Marsborne Dust2.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

FlyQuest RED

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/4 (75%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 4 maps they won, 3 (75%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 75% of their wins were comebacks, not 75% of all games.vs Money CrewAncientfrom 6 downvs Wanted GoonsNukefrom 4 downvs F5Ancientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/25 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 25 maps they lost, 7 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Money CrewDust2led 7 · lost 18-22vs SakuraMirageled 6 · lost 20-22vs Fisher CollegeAncientled 4 · lost 9-13vs regainAncientled 4 · lost 6-13vs WildcardMirageled 3 · lost 4-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Money CrewAncientfrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Money CrewDust2led 7 · lost 18-22
Avg map margini6.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs F5Ancient22-20vs Money CrewDust218-22vs SakuraMirage20-22vs SakuraAncient13-16

Marsborne

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i40/106 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 106 maps they won, 40 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs Overtake SectorInfernofrom 10 downvs Chicken CoopAncientfrom 10 downvs 9zAncientfrom 6 downvs LAGMiragefrom 6 downvs Chicken CoopDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/69 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 69 maps they lost, 26 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NRGDust2led 11 · lost 2-13vs SportsBetExpertAnubisled 9 · lost 4-13vs NRGMirageled 6 · lost 17-19vs ZomblersAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs GalorysOverpassled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Overtake SectorInfernofrom 10 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NRGDust2led 11 · lost 2-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs NRGMirage19-22vs NRGMirage17-19vs BESTIAAncient16-19vs VocaOverpass14-16vs Fake do BiruInferno19-17

FlyQuest RED vs Marsborne FAQ

Who is favored to win FlyQuest RED vs Marsborne?

Marsborne are favored with a 83% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for FlyQuest RED vs Marsborne?

Match odds for FlyQuest RED vs Marsborne aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do FlyQuest RED and Marsborne play?

FlyQuest RED vs Marsborne is scheduled for 2026-09-23 01:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2.