Matches / Upcoming / Acend vs ex-6666

Acend vs ex-6666: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 11

Acend
World #131 · 55-47
VS
2026-10-22 14:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · Best of 3
ex-6666
World #72 · 7-4
CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · Best of 3
44%
Win probability
56%
56%
1.622.1Market · 3 booksBookmakerACEEX-GGBet1.62.11betovo1.622.1scored1.622.1
44%
The call

ex-6666 are favoured: our model gives them 56% against Acend. Bookmakers lean Acend at 56%. Form slightly favours ex-6666, firepower clearly favours ex-6666, head-to-head clearly favours Acend.

Likely mapsInferno · Ancient · Anubis

Firepower

roster ratings

Acend · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
h4rn★1.277875.1%35%1.21
REDSTAR1.1175.374.3%57%1.12
Skrimo0.9471.471.9%55%1.08
SHiPZ0.8774.867%60%0.99
SPELLAN0.8369.869.6%45%0.97

ex-6666 · avg 1.18 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
rendysky★1.4284.177.3%47%1.35
amster1.2482.977%50%1.31
kL1o0.9979.675%58%1.15
skcH0.996975.7%52%1.08
stefienson0.836774.6%55%1.02

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
G2 Ares#1050-22-0
BRUTE#1092-30-2
Bushido Wildcats#1132-14-0
Lavked#1352-11-2

Map lab

Acend53%to win the Bo3 · most likely Acend 2-1
If the veto goes
Acend 53%how the series ends47% ex-6666
16%2-032%
37%2-115%
Map 1InfernoAcend pick
Acend55%28-12vsex-666645%2-1
70%Win67%
56%CT61%
54%T42%
55%Pistol83%
66%Conv40%
Map 2Ancientex-6666 pick
Acend29%22-20vsex-666671%4-0
52%Win100%
57%CT68%
45%T55%
61%Pistol75%
84%Conv83%
Map 3Anubisdecider
Acend71%9-4vsex-666629%3-4
69%Win43%
54%CT51%
50%T49%
50%Pistol57%
77%Conv63%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

AcendInfernoex-6666
56%CT side61%
54%T side42%
55%Pistol83%
66%After win40%
33%After loss0%
AcendAncientex-6666
57%CT side68%
45%T side55%
61%Pistol75%
84%After win83%
9%After loss0%
AcendAnubisex-6666
54%CT side51%
50%T side49%
50%Pistol57%
77%After win63%
23%After loss50%
Pistol rounds57% · 68% · ex-6666 win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol76% · 63% · Acend keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol22% · 33% · ex-6666 fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Acend vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

ex-6666 habitually bans Inferno, Acend's strongest maps (Inferno, Anubis all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 6/11), not an opponent read, so expect Acend to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapACEEX-
NukeACE ban25%1-375%3-1
CacheEX- ban13%1-7n/a0g
InfernoACE pick70%28-1267%2-1
AncientEX- pick52%22-20100%4-0
Dust2ACE ban40%19-2967%4-2
MirageEX- ban53%26-230%0-2
Anubisdecider69%9-443%3-4
Each team's usual first ban: Acend Nuke · ex-6666 Cache.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Acend

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i34/117 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 117 maps they won, 34 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs MOUZ NXTAnubisfrom 8 downvs 777Overpassfrom 6 downvs STATEAncientfrom 6 downvs HEROICInfernofrom 6 downvs Inner CircleMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i38/117 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 117 maps they lost, 38 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BASEMENT BOYSAncientled 8 · lost 14-16vs SharksMirageled 8 · lost 5-13vs QWENTRYDust2led 6 · lost 16-19vs Rune EatersDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs G2Dust2led 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MOUZ NXTAnubisfrom 8 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BASEMENT BOYSAncientled 8 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs Eternal FireOverpass14-16vs MASONICMirage19-15vs 777Overpass16-13vs BebopOverpass16-12vs BebopMirage14-16

ex-6666

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i10/16 (63%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 16 maps they won, 10 (63%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 63% of their wins were comebacks, not 63% of all games.vs LavkedNukefrom 10 downvs Saint SinnersDust2from 8 downvs mellrenAncientfrom 7 downvs Bushido WildcatsDust2from 6 downvs G2 AresInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/10 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 10 maps they lost, 4 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BRUTEAnubisled 5 · lost 8-13vs LavkedDust2led 4 · lost 10-13vs Fire FluxInfernoled 3 · lost 10-13vs EnjoyAnubisled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LavkedNukefrom 10 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BRUTEAnubisled 5 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample

Acend vs ex-6666 FAQ

Who is favored to win Acend vs ex-6666?

ex-6666 are favored with a 56% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Acend vs ex-6666?

Bookmakers price Acend at 1.62 and ex-6666 at 2.1 (implied 56% vs 44%).

When do Acend and ex-6666 play?

Acend vs ex-6666 is scheduled for 2026-10-22 14:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 11.