Matches / Upcoming / Vitality vs 9z

Vitality vs 9z: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · PGL Masters Bucharest 2026

Vitality
World #2 · 51-12
VS
2026-10-24 13:00 UTC
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★
9z
World #15 · 60-30
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★
87%
Win probability
13%
84%
1.15.8Market · 6 booksBookmakerVIT9Z1red1.16Epicbet1.15.8Stake1.15.8Thunderpick Row1.15.8duelbits1.16GGBet1.135.7
16%
The call · high confidence

Vitality are favoured: our model gives them 87% against 9z. Bookmakers lean Vitality at 84%. Strength clearly favours Vitality, record slightly favours Vitality, form clearly favours Vitality, firepower clearly favours Vitality, head-to-head slightly favours Vitality.

Likely mapsDust2 · Nuke · Inferno

Firepower

roster ratings

Vitality · avg 1.19 · star gap +0.25iStar gap: the best player rates 0.25 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
ZywOo★1.5587.878.1%42%1.44
flameZ1.177.276.3%55%1.23
ropz1.2474.776.6%53%1.19
mezii1.0268.176.2%56%1.09
apEX0.8971.871.6%55%1.01

9z · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
dgt★1.218175.6%54%1.21
luchov1.18272.7%63%1.21
HUASOPEEK1.0774.474.5%61%1.19
meyern1.096374%41%1.05
max0.886572.5%55%0.99

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Spirit#14-21-6
FURIA#311-22-6
MOUZ#49-34-4
Aurora#512-42-6
Falcons#65-73-3
Legacy#72-15-7
G2#86-31-2
Natus Vincere#1111-30-2

Map lab

Vitality77%to win the Bo3 · most likely Vitality 2-0
If the veto goes
Vitality 77%how the series ends23% 9z
49%2-09%
28%2-114%
Map 1Dust2Vitality pick
Vitality75%31-6vs9z25%26-17
84%Win60%
63%CT55%
62%T54%
55%Pistol47%
85%Conv83%
Map 2Nuke9z pick
Vitality65%16-6vs9z35%26-20
73%Win57%
72%CT57%
39%T45%
59%Pistol53%
73%Conv82%
Map 3Infernodecider
Vitality67%17-5vs9z33%23-15
77%Win61%
63%CT55%
50%T49%
55%Pistol54%
79%Conv78%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

VitalityDust29z
63%CT side55%
62%T side54%
55%Pistol47%
85%After win83%
36%After loss20%
VitalityNuke9z
72%CT side57%
39%T side45%
59%Pistol53%
73%After win82%
44%After loss12%
VitalityInferno9z
63%CT side55%
50%T side49%
55%Pistol54%
79%After win78%
40%After loss14%
Pistol rounds56% · 51% · Vitality win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol80% · 81% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol39% · 15% · Vitality fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Vitality vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapVIT9Z
AncientVIT ban100%2-063%15-9
Anubis9Z ban47%9-1050%1-1
Dust2VIT pick84%31-660%26-17
Nuke9Z pick73%16-657%26-20
MirageVIT ban68%19-958%14-10
Cache9Z ban88%7-140%2-3
Infernodecider77%17-561%23-15
Each team's usual first ban: Vitality Ancient · 9z Anubis.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Vitality

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i36/116 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 116 maps they won, 36 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs Lynn VisionDust2from 12 downvs Natus VincereNukefrom 11 downvs AuroraAnubisfrom 9 downvs AuroraMiragefrom 9 downvs FalconsDust2from 9 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/38 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 38 maps they lost, 17 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FURIAMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs FalconsMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs B8Infernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs Inner CircleCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs AuroraAnubisled 6 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Lynn VisionDust2from 12 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FURIAMirageled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs EYEBALLERSAnubis19-16vs AuroraAncient25-22vs The MongolZMirage16-13vs PARIVISIONInferno16-13vs The MongolZOverpass16-13

9z

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i48/132 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 132 maps they won, 48 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs Fake do BiruOverpassfrom 9 downvs GameHuntersInfernofrom 8 downvs SharksOverpassfrom 7 downvs SharksNukefrom 6 downvs FalconsNukefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i29/84 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 84 maps they lost, 29 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Natus VincereNukeled 8 · lost 6-13vs RED CanidsNukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs SpiritMirageled 7 · lost 13-16vs VitalityNukeled 7 · lost 6-13vs MarsborneAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Fake do BiruOverpassfrom 9 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Natus VincereNukeled 8 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 29Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 29 went to overtime.vs SharksNuke16-12vs Keyd StarsDust216-14vs Gaimin GladiatorsDust214-16vs RED CanidsOverpass16-14vs MIBRNuke14-16

Vitality vs 9z FAQ

Who is favored to win Vitality vs 9z?

Vitality are favored with a 87% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Vitality vs 9z?

Bookmakers price Vitality at 1.1 and 9z at 5.8 (implied 84% vs 16%).

When do Vitality and 9z play?

Vitality vs 9z is scheduled for 2026-10-24 13:00 UTC at PGL Masters Bucharest 2026.