CS2OBSERVER
Matches / Upcoming / Alliance vs FaZe

Alliance vs FaZe: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · RLG Tesla Cup 2026

Alliance
World #29 · 57-31
VS
2026-10-27 11:00 UTC
RLG Tesla Cup 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
FaZe
World #17 · 30-31
RLG Tesla Cup 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
36%
Win probability
64%
36%
2.561.46Market · 8 booksBookmakerALLFAZGranaWin2.511.43ivibet2.511.431xBit2.561.461xbet2.561.46ColdBet2.561.46Spinbet2.561.46Vivatbet2.561.46betlabel2.561.46
64%
The call

FaZe are favoured: our model gives them 64% against Alliance. Bookmakers lean FaZe at 64%. Strength slightly favours FaZe, record slightly favours Alliance, form clearly favours FaZe, firepower clearly favours FaZe.

Likely mapsAnubis · Nuke · Ancient

Firepower

roster ratings

Alliance · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
eraa★1.37974.7%33%1.19
avid1.0376.174.4%54%1.13
bobeksde180.770.6%59%1.13
twist0.9371.573.3%52%1.05
upE0.9165.271.7%62%1.01

FaZe · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
frozen★1.1179.174.9%51%1.22
Twistzz1.0777.473.7%63%1.19
JBOEN1.2371.173.9%39%1.18
jcobbb0.9470.971.3%65%1.06
Neityu0.9168.273.1%53%1.02

Recent form

Alliance

PRIVATE2d ago0-2The MongolZ3d ago0-2fnatic19d ago0-2Nemiga20d ago0-2AstralisUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT21d ago2-13DMAXBlew leadBL926d ago0-2SINNERS27d ago1-2MIBR1mo ago0-2magicUpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0TYLOOPistolsPist0/4ComebackCB81mo ago2-0Legacy1mo ago0-2FaZeUpsetUpsetPistolsPist4/41mo ago2-0Wildcard3mo ago0-29zOvertimeOT3mo ago1-2Nemesis4mo ago2-1

FaZe

HEROIC1d ago2-1EnvyOvertimeOT1d ago2-1JiJieHao1d ago1-2ASTRALOvertimeOT2d ago2-1NAVI JuniorPistolsPist4/4StompStomp13-212d ago2-0NAVI JuniorPistolsPist0/6OvertimeOT12d ago2-1PUREComebackCB6OvertimeOT13d ago2-0SangalOvertimeOT14d ago2-1AstralisPistolsPist6/6Blew leadBL820d ago1-2NemigaUpsetUpsetBlew leadBL721d ago0-2magicUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT1mo ago1-2AllianceUpsetUpset1mo ago0-2Vitality2mo ago0-2LegacyPistolsPist0/42mo ago2-0BetBoom2mo ago13-11

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
1mo ago Alliance2 : 0 FaZe◆ same lineup5mo ago Alliance0 : 2 FaZe!
⚠ Different lineup
Alliance
outMaiL09
inbobeksde
FaZe
outbroky
inJBOEN
Aurora#52-11-2
Alliance vs Aurora
Apr 1WInferno2-13Anubis13-9Overpass13-11
FaZe vs Aurora
Mar 18LNuke13-11Inferno8-13Dust210-13
Legacy#70-22-0
Alliance vs Legacy
Sep 9LInferno4-13Dust26-13
FaZe vs Legacy
Aug 13WCache13-6Mirage13-8
MIBR#120-20-1
Alliance vs MIBR
Sep 11LInferno4-13Cache9-13
FaZe vs MIBR
Jul 2LAncient6-13
PARIVISION#130-12-4
Alliance vs PARIVISION
Jul 1LAncient4-13
FaZe vs PARIVISION
Jul 11LCache13-9Dust217-19Ancient17-19Feb 16LMirage13-2Ancient11-13Inferno9-13
9z#153-22-1
Alliance vs 9z
Jul 11LNuke10-13Inferno19-17Ancient7-13Jul 4WDust216-14Inferno13-7
FaZe vs 9z
May 29WMirage19-15Overpass16-19Ancient13-9
Astralis#162-12-6
Alliance vs Astralis
Oct 1WInferno16-14Cache5-13Nuke13-10
FaZe vs Astralis
Oct 2LAncient11-13Nuke13-11Cache9-13Mar 9LDust213-7Ancient3-13Inferno14-16Feb 17LAncient5-13Mirage9-13
Ninjas in Pyjamas#191-20-2
Alliance vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 2WAncient13-3Mar 15LOverpass6-13Nuke4-13
FaZe vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30LAncient11-13Nuke10-13
The MongolZ#200-22-1
Alliance vs The MongolZ
Oct 19LInferno8-13Dust211-13
FaZe vs The MongolZ
Jul 31WNuke16-12Mirage7-13Ancient13-8

Map lab

Alliance64%to win the Bo3 · most likely Alliance 2-1
If the veto goes
Alliance 64%how the series ends36% FaZe
27%2-014%
37%2-122%
Map 1AnubisAlliance pick
Alliance78%19-10vsFaZe22%4-9
66%Win31%
51%CT37%
61%T56%
53%Pistol54%
87%Conv93%
Map 2NukeFaZe pick
Alliance35%17-15vsFaZe65%16-7
53%Win70%
54%CT63%
47%T49%
55%Pistol61%
80%Conv78%
Map 3Ancientdecider
Alliance63%15-12vsFaZe37%13-18
56%Win42%
55%CT55%
46%T48%
44%Pistol44%
88%Conv89%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

AllianceAnubisFaZe
51%CT side37%
61%T side56%
53%Pistol54%
87%After win93%
11%After loss42%
AllianceNukeFaZe
54%CT side63%
47%T side49%
55%Pistol61%
80%After win78%
17%After loss11%
AllianceAncientFaZe
55%CT side55%
46%T side48%
44%Pistol44%
88%After win89%
27%After loss14%
Pistol rounds51% · 51% · level, no edge
After a won pistol84% · 85% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol19% · 18% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Alliance vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

FaZe habitually bans Inferno, Alliance's strongest maps (Inferno, Anubis all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 46/61), not an opponent read, so expect Alliance to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapALLFAZ
MirageALL ban0%0-363%17-10
Alliance on Mirage
LPRIVATE11–132d agoLENCE5–138mo agoLSINNERS10–138mo ago
FaZe on Mirage
WHEROIC13–81d agoWJiJieHao13–61d agoWASTRAL13–72d agoWPURE16–1413d agoLNemiga12–1621d agoWLegacy13–82mo agoLThe MongolZ7–133mo agoLDENDELE10–133mo ago
InfernoFAZ ban68%32-150%0-6
Alliance on Inferno
LThe MongolZ8–133d agoLfnatic11–1319d agoWAstralis16–1421d agoL3DMAX11–1326d agoWSINNERS13–927d agoLMIBR4–131mo agoWmagic13–71mo agoWTYLOO13–111mo ago
FaZe on Inferno
LAurora8–137mo agoLAstralis14–168mo agoLPARIVISION9–138mo agoLMOUZ6–139mo agoL3DMAX7–139mo agoLEYEBALLERS7–139mo ago
AnubisALL pick66%19-1031%4-9
Alliance on Anubis
LMetizport5–134mo agoWfnatic13–44mo agoLNexus9–134mo agoLSharks13–165mo agoW3DMAX13–85mo agoLFaZe8–135mo agoLNuclear TigeRES7–136mo agoWOxuji13–76mo ago
FaZe on Anubis
WEnvy16–141d agoLJiJieHao11–131d agoWNAVI Junior13–212d agoLNAVI Junior9–1312d agoLSpirit11–133mo agoW3DMAX13–14mo agoWAlliance13–85mo agoLpaiN8–135mo ago
NukeFAZ pick53%17-1570%16-7
Alliance on Nuke
LPRIVATE10–132d agoWAstralis13–1021d agoWFaZe13–111mo agoL9z10–133mo agoLNemesis8–134mo agoWMetizport19–154mo agoWBASEMENT BOYS13–44mo agoWEAC13–54mo ago
FaZe on Nuke
WHEROIC13–81d agoWNAVI Junior13–212d agoWNAVI Junior13–1012d agoWSangal13–714d agoWAstralis13–1120d agoLAlliance11–131mo agoWBetBoom13–112mo agoWThe MongolZ16–123mo ago
CacheALL ban0%0-473%8-3
Alliance on Cache
Lfnatic5–1319d agoLNemiga6–1320d agoLAstralis5–1321d agoLMIBR9–131mo ago
FaZe on Cache
WASTRAL16–142d agoWSangal13–814d agoLAstralis9–1320d agoLmagic16–191mo agoLVitality6–132mo agoWLegacy13–62mo agoWSpirit13–93mo agoWDENDELE13–73mo ago
Dust2FAZ ban57%13-1050%13-13
Alliance on Dust2
LThe MongolZ11–133d agoL3DMAX10–1326d agoLSINNERS7–1327d agoLLegacy6–131mo agoLWildcard7–133mo agoW9z16–144mo agoLfnatic17–194mo agoWNexus13–34mo ago
FaZe on Dust2
LEnvy9–131d agoLJiJieHao9–131d agoWNAVI Junior19–1512d agoLSangal13–1614d agoWmagic13–101mo agoLVitality11–132mo agoLSpirit6–133mo agoWEYEBALLERS13–83mo ago
Ancientdecider56%15-1242%13-18
Alliance on Ancient
LNemiga8–1320d agoLSINNERS5–1327d agoWmagic16–131mo agoWTYLOO13–111mo agoWFaZe13–91mo agoL9z7–133mo agoWNemesis13–74mo agoWB813–64mo ago
FaZe on Ancient
LHEROIC9–131d agoWEnvy13–51d agoLASTRAL4–132d agoWPURE13–913d agoLAstralis11–1320d agoLNemiga11–1321d agoLmagic14–161mo agoLAlliance9–131mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Alliance Mirage · FaZe Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Alliance

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i30/109 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 109 maps they won, 30 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs TYLOOAncientfrom 8 downvs UNiTYOverpassfrom 6 downvs fnaticInfernofrom 6 downvs 3DMAXInfernofrom 6 downvs 9zDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i24/79 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 79 maps they lost, 24 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 3DMAXDust2led 9 · lost 10-13vs 9INEAnubisled 8 · lost 15-19vs UNiTYAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs SharksNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs VP.ProdigyAnubisled 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs TYLOOAncientfrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 3DMAXDust2led 9 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs MetizportNuke19-17vs PhantomOverpass19-17vs WHITEBIRDInferno13-16vs VP.ProdigyAnubis14-16vs kONOAnubis16-13

FaZe

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i25/74 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 74 maps they won, 25 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs The MongolZNukefrom 9 downvs paiNDust2from 6 downvs aimclubOverpassfrom 6 downvs DramaNukefrom 6 downvs PUREMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/71 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 71 maps they lost, 27 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PARIVISIONAncientled 7 · lost 11-13vs NemigaMirageled 7 · lost 12-16vs Inner CircleMirageled 6 · lost 9-13vs NAVI JuniorAnubisled 6 · lost 9-13vs EnvyDust2led 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The MongolZNukefrom 9 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PARIVISIONAncientled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs paiNNuke13-16vs paiNDust216-13vs AstralisInferno14-16vs Passion UANuke16-12vs Passion UADust214-16

Alliance vs FaZe FAQ

Who is favored to win Alliance vs FaZe?

FaZe are favored with a 64% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Alliance vs FaZe?

Bookmakers price Alliance at 2.56 and FaZe at 1.46 (implied 36% vs 64%).

When do Alliance and FaZe play?

Alliance vs FaZe is scheduled for 2026-10-27 11:00 UTC at RLG Tesla Cup 2026.

Alliance vs FaZe Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER