Matches / Upcoming / 100 Thieves vs Wildcard

100 Thieves vs Wildcard: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · FiRe Last Chance 2026

100 Thieves
World #35 · 60-30
VS
2026-11-01 20:30 UTC
FiRe Last Chance 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
Wildcard
World #47 · 43-28
FiRe Last Chance 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
69%
Win probability
31%
73%
1.283.4Market · 17 booksBookmaker100WILbetovo1.263.3scored1.263.31red1.283.3Epicbet1.283.3GGBet1.283.24Shuffle1.283.4Stake1.283.3Thunderpick Row1.283.3duelbits1.283.31xBit1.293.6ColdBet1.293.6GranaWin1.293.59Spinbet1.293.6Vivatbet1.293.6betlabel1.293.6ivibet1.293.591xbet1.313.66
27%
The call

100 Thieves are favoured: our model gives them 69% against Wildcard. Bookmakers lean 100 Thieves at 73%. Strength slightly favours 100 Thieves, firepower slightly favours 100 Thieves.

Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Nuke

Firepower

roster ratings

100 Thieves · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
poiii★1.1380.575.5%60%1.22
device1.2777.174.2%35%1.18
sirah1.0872.174.5%58%1.13
rain174.174%58%1.11
Gizmy0.9473.871.4%55%1.08

Wildcard · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
HexT★1.0972.174.2%51%1.17
nEMANHA0.9681.872%53%1.16
fr3nd1.167.774.2%33%1.09
reck169.872.6%53%1.09
Cxzi0.9371.372.4%50%1.06

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
PARIVISION#120-20-2
100 Thieves vs PARIVISION
Aug 14LAnubis5-13Dust25-13
Wildcard vs PARIVISION
Apr 8LMirage26-28Dust211-13
Liquid#232-10-2
Sangal#412-00-1
100 Thieves vs Sangal
Oct 16WNuke13-8Dust213-5
Wildcard vs Sangal
Mar 28LInferno11-13
HOTU#432-30-2
K27#441-40-2
Nemesis#461-22-0
BBL#483-20-2
FOKUS#522-16-4

Map lab

100 Thieves61%to win the Bo3 · most likely 100 Thieves 2-0
If the veto goes
100 Thieves 61%how the series ends39% Wildcard
43%2-09%
19%2-129%
Map 1Dust2100 Thieves pick
100 Thieves80%34-9vsWildcard20%15-17
79%Win47%
62%CT48%
55%T57%
49%Pistol56%
78%Conv86%
Map 2MirageWildcard pick
100 Thieves54%15-10vsWildcard46%19-15
60%Win56%
65%CT57%
46%T45%
54%Pistol47%
65%Conv84%
Map 3Nukedecider
100 Thieves39%20-14vsWildcard61%21-9
59%Win70%
60%CT62%
46%T55%
51%Pistol65%
91%Conv81%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

100 ThievesDust2Wildcard
62%CT side48%
55%T side57%
49%Pistol56%
78%After win86%
21%After loss29%
100 ThievesMirageWildcard
65%CT side57%
46%T side45%
54%Pistol47%
65%After win84%
26%After loss22%
100 ThievesNukeWildcard
60%CT side62%
46%T side55%
51%Pistol65%
91%After win81%
27%After loss24%
Pistol rounds51% · 56% · Wildcard win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol79% · 84% · Wildcard keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol24% · 25% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, 100 Thieves vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Wildcard habitually bans Ancient, 100 Thieves's strongest maps (Inferno, Dust2, Ancient, Overpass, Mirage, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 70/72), not an opponent read, so expect 100 Thieves to fight the veto for Dust2.
Map100WIL
Anubis100 ban44%7-957%4-3
AncientWIL ban62%26-16n/a0g
Dust2100 pick79%34-947%15-17
MirageWIL pick60%15-1056%19-15
Cache100 ban67%2-167%4-2
InfernoWIL ban62%18-1152%16-15
Nukedecider59%20-1470%21-9
Each team's usual first ban: 100 Thieves Mirage · Wildcard Ancient.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

100 Thieves

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i37/124 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 124 maps they won, 37 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs JiJieHaoDust2from 10 downvs Nuclear TigeRESAncientfrom 7 downvs FalconsAnubisfrom 7 downvs NemesisAncientfrom 6 downvs UrsaInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i30/71 (42%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 71 maps they lost, 30 (42%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FalconsNukeled 10 · lost 4-13vs TDKAncientled 8 · lost 13-16vs JiJieHaoCacheled 8 · lost 5-13vs FOKUSInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16vs HOTUDust2led 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs JiJieHaoDust2from 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FalconsNukeled 10 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs Ninjas in PyjamasAncient16-12vs BetBoomNuke16-12vs FlyQuestNuke16-14vs FOKUSInferno14-16vs Johnny SpeedsInferno19-15

Wildcard

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/88 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 88 maps they won, 26 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs HachaMiragefrom 10 downvs BetBoomOverpassfrom 7 downvs BESTIANukefrom 7 downvs Passion UAMiragefrom 6 downvs LAGMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/66 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 66 maps they lost, 22 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PARIVISIONDust2led 7 · lost 11-13vs K27Dust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs FOKUSDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs The MongolZDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs VocaOverpassled 5 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs HachaMiragefrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PARIVISIONDust2led 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs SharksNuke12-16vs LAGInferno16-13vs Fisher CollegeMirage22-19vs FOKUSInferno16-14vs PARIVISIONMirage26-28

100 Thieves vs Wildcard FAQ

Who is favored to win 100 Thieves vs Wildcard?

100 Thieves are favored with a 69% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for 100 Thieves vs Wildcard?

Bookmakers price 100 Thieves at 1.28 and Wildcard at 3.4 (implied 73% vs 27%).

When do 100 Thieves and Wildcard play?

100 Thieves vs Wildcard is scheduled for 2026-11-01 20:30 UTC at FiRe Last Chance 2026.