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G2 Ares vs PRIVATE: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 11

G2 Ares
World #98 · 55-58
VS
2026-11-08 14:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 11 · Best of 3
PRIVATE
World #48 · 14-6
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 11 · Best of 3
33%
Win probability
67%
23%
41.2Market · 7 booksBookmakerG2 PRIGGBet3.961.2Thunderpick Row3.961.21red41.2Epicbet41.2Stake41.2duelbits41.17Shuffle4.21.2
77%
The call

PRIVATE are favoured: our model gives them 67% against G2 Ares. Bookmakers lean PRIVATE at 77%. Strength clearly favours PRIVATE, record slightly favours PRIVATE.

Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Ancient

Firepower

roster ratings

G2 Ares · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Junyme★1.1374.972.5%41%1.16
TMKj0.9976.370.2%65%1.13
hitori0.9876.471.3%52%1.1
yksjupe0.8968.470.8%53%1.02
SHiNE0.8261.769%54%0.93

PRIVATE · avg 1.16 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
H4SAN4TOR★1.1291.374.2%50%1.27
sowalio1.1476.474.1%59%1.18
z1k41.2576.573.8%31%1.18
1eeR1.0376.572.4%45%1.13
sh1nejezzz0.986777.1%63%1.03

Recent form

G2 Ares

Optibet1d ago2-0OGPistolsPist4/41d ago0-2The Last ResortPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-22d ago2-0FORZE ReloadOvertimeOT3d ago0-2STATEOvertimeOT14d ago0-2overTIMEComebackCB615d ago2-0The Last ResortUpsetUpset15d ago1-2IllyriansUpsetUpset18d ago1-2mellrenComebackCB7OvertimeOT20d ago2-1ex-6666StompStomp2-1322d ago0-2BAKSComebackCB6OvertimeOT23d ago1-2The Last Resort25d ago2-1SangalOvertimeOT1mo ago1-2NAVI Junior1mo ago1-2INFINITEUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT1mo ago2-0

PRIVATE

OGPistolsPist5/6Blew leadBL61d ago1-2Optibet1d ago2-0Omega8d ago2-0Nuclear TigeRESOvertimeOT9d ago2-0Fire FluxPistolsPist3/410d ago2-0The MongolZ18d ago0-2fnaticUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT18d ago2-0Alliance19d ago2-0BIGPistolsPist3/420d ago0-2UPGRADEPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT23d ago2-0HonvédComebackCB8Blew leadBL624d ago2-1Johnny SpeedsUpsetUpsetComebackCB727d ago1-2BET-M28d ago13-8GamerLegionUpsetUpsetBlew leadBL629d ago2-1Nuclear TigeRESPistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
K27#451-21-2
G2 Ares vs K27
Mar 19LAncient5-13Dust213-8Mirage8-13
PRIVATE vs K27
Oct 1LAncient13-10Nuke11-13Cache5-13
Johnny Speeds#780-41-2
G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds
Aug 4LDust28-13Inferno1-13May 2LOverpass6-13Mirage2-13
PRIVATE vs Johnny Speeds
Oct 12LCache9-13Mirage13-7Nuke7-13
BET-M#940-21-0
G2 Ares vs BET-M
Mar 4LAnubis9-13Ancient10-13
PRIVATE vs BET-M
Oct 11WDust213-8
OG#1040-31-2
G2 Ares vs OG
Nov 7LDust24-13Ancient6-13Oct 7LInferno7-13
PRIVATE vs OG
Nov 7LAncient10-13Cache13-3Dust24-13
Omega#1262-12-0
G2 Ares vs Omega
Mar 30WOverpass13-3Mirage11-13Ancient13-8
PRIVATE vs Omega
Oct 31WAncient13-9Dust213-5
Optibet#1552-02-0
G2 Ares vs Optibet
Nov 7WAncient13-8Cache13-10
PRIVATE vs Optibet
Nov 7WAncient13-8Mirage13-11
Honvéd#2183-22-1
G2 Ares vs Honvéd
Sep 20WInferno13-7Dust216-12Sep 13LInferno13-7Dust28-13Mirage11-13
PRIVATE vs Honvéd
Oct 15WCache11-13Ancient16-12Dust213-6

Map lab

PRIVATE86%to win the Bo3 · most likely PRIVATE 2-0
If the veto goes
G2 Ares 14%how the series ends86% PRIVATE
5%2-062%
9%2-124%
Map 1MirageG2 Ares pick
G2 Ares22%23-27vsPRIVATE78%8-2
46%Win80%
54%CT58%
46%T52%
53%Pistol50%
81%Conv80%
Map 2Dust2PRIVATE pick
G2 Ares21%17-25vsPRIVATE79%7-2
40%Win78%
46%CT58%
46%T52%
51%Pistol67%
58%Conv92%
Map 3Ancientdecider
G2 Ares28%23-22vsPRIVATE72%7-2
51%Win78%
52%CT48%
47%T62%
51%Pistol39%
80%Conv86%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

G2 AresMiragePRIVATE
54%CT side58%
46%T side52%
53%Pistol50%
81%After win80%
23%After loss0%
G2 AresDust2PRIVATE
46%CT side58%
46%T side52%
51%Pistol67%
58%After win92%
15%After loss0%
G2 AresAncientPRIVATE
52%CT side48%
47%T side62%
51%Pistol39%
80%After win86%
20%After loss36%
Pistol rounds52% · 52% · level, no edge
After a won pistol74% · 86% · PRIVATE keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol20% · 15% · G2 Ares fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, G2 Ares vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapG2 PRI
NukeG2 bann/a0g50%2-2
G2 Ares on Nuke
no recent maps
PRIVATE on Nuke
WAlliance13–1019d agoLJohnny Speeds7–1327d agoWBetclic13–81mo agoLK2711–131mo ago
InfernoPRI ban56%31-24n/a0g
G2 Ares on Inferno
LSTATE10–1314d agoLThe Last Resort4–1315d agoWmellren16–1320d agoLex-666611–1322d agoWBAKS16–1323d agoWThe Last Resort13–825d agoWINFINITE13–71mo agoWRBLS13–41mo ago
PRIVATE on Inferno
no recent maps
MirageG2 pick46%23-2780%8-2
G2 Ares on Mirage
LIllyrians10–1318d agoWmellren13–1020d agoLNAVI Junior5–131mo agoWFalcons Force13–71mo agoLSTATE9–131mo agoLNAVI Junior6–132mo agoLLeo7–132mo agoLQUAZAR6–132mo ago
PRIVATE on Mirage
WOptibet13–111d agoWFire Flux13–1010d agoLThe MongolZ6–1318d agoWAlliance13–1119d agoLBIG10–1320d agoWJohnny Speeds13–727d agoWGamerLegion13–1029d agoWBetclic13–111mo ago
Dust2PRI pick40%17-2578%7-2
G2 Ares on Dust2
LOG4–131d agoLFORZE Reload13–163d agoLex-66662–1322d agoLBAKS10–1323d agoLFamalicão7–131mo agoLINOX Division6–132mo agoLBlack Phoenix6–132mo agoWHonvéd16–122mo ago
PRIVATE on Dust2
LOG4–131d agoWOmega13–58d agoWNuclear TigeRES16–149d agoWfnatic19–1718d agoWUPGRADE16–1423d agoWHonvéd13–624d agoWBET-M13–828d agoWNuclear TigeRES13–31mo ago
AnubisG2 ban38%9-1575%3-1
G2 Ares on Anubis
LFORZE Reload8–133d agoLSTATE14–1614d agoWoverTIME13–915d agoWThe Last Resort13–615d agoLSangal13–161mo agoLNAVI Junior11–131mo agoLRBLS2–131mo agoLNAVI Junior8–132mo ago
PRIVATE on Anubis
WNuclear TigeRES13–119d agoWUPGRADE13–623d agoWNuclear TigeRES13–61mo agoLNuclear TigeRES7–131mo ago
CachePRI ban52%12-1138%3-5
G2 Ares on Cache
WOptibet13–101d agoWThe Last Resort13–22d agoWoverTIME13–615d agoLIllyrians3–1318d agoLBAKS3–1323d agoWThe Last Resort13–925d agoLSangal4–131mo agoWNAVI Junior13–51mo ago
PRIVATE on Cache
WOG13–31d agoWFire Flux13–410d agoWfnatic13–1118d agoLBIG5–1320d agoLHonvéd11–1324d agoLJohnny Speeds9–1327d agoLGamerLegion12–1629d agoLK275–131mo ago
Ancientdecider51%23-2278%7-2
G2 Ares on Ancient
WOptibet13–81d agoLOG6–131d agoWThe Last Resort13–92d agoLThe Last Resort6–1315d agoWIllyrians13–718d agoLmellren14–1620d agoLThe Last Resort10–1325d agoWSangal13–101mo ago
PRIVATE on Ancient
LOG10–131d agoWOptibet13–81d agoWOmega13–98d agoLThe MongolZ7–1318d agoWHonvéd16–1224d agoWGamerLegion16–1429d agoWK2713–101mo agoWMagnum13–61mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: G2 Ares Nuke · PRIVATE Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

G2 Ares

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i49/125 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 125 maps they won, 49 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs The Last ResortCachefrom 11 downvs LavkedOverpassfrom 10 downvs MisaInfernofrom 9 downvs FamalicãoAncientfrom 9 downvs AzuolasInfernofrom 8 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i47/133 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 133 maps they lost, 47 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Black PhoenixDust2led 10 · lost 6-13vs BAKSCacheled 10 · lost 3-13vs PhantomAncientled 9 · lost 4-13vs OGDust2led 9 · lost 4-13vs Rune EatersAncientled 8 · lost 5-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The Last ResortCachefrom 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Black PhoenixDust2led 10 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 45Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 45 went to overtime.vs WWDust219-16vs UNiTYOverpass19-17vs zajezdzaczeDust216-14vs LavkedOverpass16-13vs aAaOverpass19-16

PRIVATE

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/30 (43%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 30 maps they won, 13 (43%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 43% of their wins were comebacks, not 43% of all games.vs Johnny SpeedsMiragefrom 6 downvs UPGRADEDust2from 5 downvs Fire FluxMiragefrom 5 downvs Nuclear TigeRESAnubisfrom 5 downvs K27Ancientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/14 (50%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 14 maps they lost, 7 (50%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs The MongolZMirageled 7 · lost 6-13vs HonvédCacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs OGAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs K27Nukeled 5 · lost 11-13vs GamerLegionCacheled 4 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Johnny SpeedsMiragefrom 6 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs The MongolZMirageled 7 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi41% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT41% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs Nuclear TigeRESDust214-16vs GamerLegionCache12-16vs GamerLegionAncient16-14vs fnaticDust219-17vs HonvédAncient16-12

G2 Ares vs PRIVATE FAQ

Who is favored to win G2 Ares vs PRIVATE?

PRIVATE are favored with a 67% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for G2 Ares vs PRIVATE?

Bookmakers price G2 Ares at 4 and PRIVATE at 1.2 (implied 23% vs 77%).

When do G2 Ares and PRIVATE play?

G2 Ares vs PRIVATE is scheduled for 2026-11-08 14:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 11.

G2 Ares vs PRIVATE Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER