9z vs 5star: CS2 match prediction · FISSURE Playground 3

One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.

Bookmakers imply 89% for 9z (1.05 / 8.15); we land 25 points lower at 64%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 96% our own signal (192 maps of 9z, 100 of 5star).

Bottom line: 9z to beat 5star, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.