Matches / Upcoming / 9z vs 5star
9z vs 5star: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · FISSURE Playground 3
9z
World #11 · 56-23
VS
2026-09-08 03:00 UTC
FISSURE Playground 3 · Best of 3 · ★
5star
World #133 · 24-16
64%36%
89%
1.058.15Market · 15 books
11%The call
9z are favoured: our model gives them 64% against 5star. Bookmakers lean 9z at 89%. Strength slightly favours 9z, record slightly favours 9z, form clearly favours 5star, firepower slightly favours 5star.
Likely mapsNuke · Inferno · Cache
Recent form
9z
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
TYLOO#344-10-4
FlyQuest#481-02-1
9z vs FlyQuest
Jun 6WDust213-95star vs FlyQuest
May 13WDust27-13Ancient16-13Inferno13-9Firepower
roster ratings9z · avg 1.14 · top +0.09
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, 9z vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
5star habitually bans Dust2, 9z's strongest maps (Overpass, Dust2, Ancient, Inferno all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Dust2 31/42), not an opponent read, so expect 9z to fight the veto for Overpass.
Map9Z5ST
Anubis9Z ban50%1-160%6-4
Dust25ST ban62%24-1540%2-3
Nuke9Z pick59%23-1663%17-10
Inferno5ST pick65%22-1260%12-8
Mirage9Z ban58%11-886%6-1
Ancient5ST ban65%15-830%6-14
Cachedecider50%1-167%4-2
Each team's usual first ban: 9z Anubis · 5star Dust2.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
5star51%to win the seriesiMap edgesNuke: 5star 54% toss-up · Inferno: 9z 55% toss-up · Cache: 5star 54% toss-upWhy5star hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).Outcomes9z 49%: 2-0 25%, 2-1 23% · 5star 51%: 2-1 27%, 2-0 24%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
9z 49%It’s nearly a coin-flip. 5star only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.51% 5star
Nuke
9z46%5star54%
23-16record17-10
59%win63%
56%CT win60%
46%T win53%
51%pistol63%
78%convert94%
Inferno
9z55%5star45%
22-12record12-8
65%win60%
58%CT win56%
49%T win42%
53%pistol45%
81%convert94%
Cache
9z46%5star54%
1-1record4-2
50%win67%
67%CT win58%
46%T win44%
100%pistol58%
50%convert71%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
9Zct
9Zt
5STct
5STt
9Zpistol
9Zconv
9Zeco
5STpistol
5STconv
5STeco
Nukepool
56%206/369
46%188/411
60%173/289
53%151/285
51%40/78
78%31/40
13%5/38
63%34/54
94%32/34
10%2/20
Infernopool
58%222/381
49%157/318
56%118/211
42%88/208
53%36/68
81%29/36
16%5/32
45%18/40
94%17/18
0%0/22
Cachepool
67%6/9
46%11/24
58%32/55
44%31/70
100%4/4
50%2/4
n/a
58%7/12
71%5/7
0%0/5
Anubisban
63%15/24
38%9/24
47%47/101
57%57/100
50%2/4
100%2/2
50%1/2
45%9/20
67%6/9
9%1/11
Dust2ban
56%224/400
55%218/397
45%24/53
47%23/49
46%36/78
86%31/36
21%9/42
60%6/10
67%4/6
0%0/4
Mirageban
59%134/228
46%80/173
53%39/73
58%40/69
61%23/38
86%19/22
20%3/15
50%7/14
86%6/7
14%1/7
Ancientban
63%161/257
50%114/226
46%96/208
36%73/201
48%22/46
82%18/22
13%3/24
53%21/40
67%14/21
17%3/18
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
5star wins more pistol rounds: 56% vs 53%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → 5star usually win the next round too (92% vs 78%). Lose the pistol → 9z fight back to win the next round more often (14% vs 4%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
9z
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i44/122 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 122 maps they won, 44 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs Fake do BiruOverpassfrom 9 downvs GameHuntersInfernofrom 8 downvs SharksOverpassfrom 7 downvs SharksNukefrom 6 downvs FalconsNukefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i24/70 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 70 maps they lost, 24 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs RED CanidsNukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs SpiritMirageled 7 · lost 13-16vs VitalityNukeled 7 · lost 6-13vs MarsborneAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs AllianceDust2led 6 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Fake do BiruOverpassfrom 9 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs RED CanidsNukeled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 29Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 29 went to overtime.vs SharksNuke16-12vs Keyd StarsDust216-14vs Gaimin GladiatorsDust214-16vs RED CanidsOverpass16-14vs MIBRNuke14-16
5star
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/55 (24%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 55 maps they won, 13 (24%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 24% of their wins were comebacks, not 24% of all games.vs Alter EgoMiragefrom 6 downvs NEXVOIDNukefrom 5 downvs Rare AtomDust2from 5 downvs Chinggis WarriorsInfernofrom 4 downvs BMZAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i11/45 (24%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 45 maps they lost, 11 (24%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NEXVOIDNukeled 6 · lost 13-16vs KaleidoAncientled 6 · lost 8-13vs FlyQuestDust2led 5 · lost 7-13vs Chinggis WarriorsNukeled 4 · lost 11-13vs NEXVOIDAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Alter EgoMiragefrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NEXVOIDNukeled 6 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs BMZAncient25-22vs NEXVOIDNuke13-16vs Rare AtomInferno16-13vs FlyQuestAncient16-13vs Alter EgoAnubis16-14
9z vs 5star FAQ
Who is favored to win 9z vs 5star?
9z are favored with a 64% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for 9z vs 5star?
Bookmakers price 9z at 1.05 and 5star at 8.15 (implied 89% vs 11%).
When do 9z and 5star play?
9z vs 5star is scheduled for 2026-09-08 03:00 UTC at FISSURE Playground 3.