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Predictions / Honvéd vs Bebop · match preview
Honvéd vs Bebop: CS2 match prediction · European Pro League Series 9
Honvéd
World #129 · 29-28
VS
2026-09-17 10:30 UTC
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
Bebop
World #165 · 49-50
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
70%30%
The call · high confidence
Honvéd are favoured: our model gives them 70% against Bebop. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Honvéd, form slightly favours Honvéd, firepower clearly favours Honvéd, head-to-head slightly favours Honvéd.
Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
HonvédpullBebop
Team strength1490
142664/36 HON
Track record29–28
49–5051/49 BEB
Recent formWLWWW
LWWLL59/41 HON
Roster rating1.11
1.0384/16 HON
Head-to-head5 maps
3 maps60/40 HON
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 97% our own signal (135 maps of Honvéd, 247 of Bebop). Head-to-head they've met 3 times: Honvéd leads 2–1.
Bottom line: Honvéd to beat Bebop, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsHonvéd · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.22iStar gap: the best player rates 0.22 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Bebop · avg 1.03 · star gap +0.02iStar gap: the best player rates 0.02 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| faydett★ | 0.93 | 75.2 | 71.2% | 54% | 1.05 |
| iDISBALANCE | 1.1 | 69.4 | 71.1% | 34% | 1.05 |
| KENSI | 1.04 | 74.1 | 67.2% | 56% | 1.03 |
| redzed | 0.92 | 67.4 | 71.4% | 62% | 1.02 |
| Pipw | 0.9 | 66.9 | 71.8% | 58% | 0.99 |
Recent form
Honvéd
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents5d ago
Honvéd2 : 0BEB Bebop!1mo ago Honvéd2 : 1BEB Bebop!1mo ago Honvéd1 : 2BEB Bebop!
Honvéd2 : 0BEB Bebop!⚠ Different lineup
Honvéd
out1NSERT2, noleN
infleav, zs0lt1
Honvéd2 : 1BEB Bebop!⚠ Different lineup
Honvéd
out1NSERT2, noleN
inmarTineZ, zs0lt1
Bebop
outlov1kus, wh1teout
inKENSI, Pipw
Honvéd1 : 2BEB Bebop!⚠ Different lineup
Honvéd
out1NSERT2, noleN
inmarTineZ, zs0lt1
Bebop
outlov1kus, wh1teout
inKENSI, Pipw
INOX Division#590-20-2
Honvéd vs INOX Division
Aug 22LAncient4-13Inferno9-13Bebop vs INOX Division
Apr 27LNuke3-13Inferno6-13
Bushido Wildcats#762-52-1
Honvéd vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 24LDust26-13Cache10-13Aug 21LDust25-13Cache4-13Aug 19WCache13-6Dust23-13Mirage13-10Bebop vs Bushido Wildcats
Jan 12WMirage19-15Dust28-13Nuke13-4
ex-Zero Tenacity#820-22-1
Honvéd vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Aug 26LMirage7-13Cache13-16Bebop vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Mar 28WMirage13-7Dust27-13Nuke13-4
G2 Ares#1032-10-2
Honvéd vs G2 Ares
Sep 13WInferno7-13Dust213-8Mirage13-11Bebop vs G2 Ares
Aug 20LInferno15-19Dust28-13
PCIFIC#1070-20-2
Honvéd vs PCIFIC
Sep 13LMirage7-13Inferno5-13Bebop vs PCIFIC
Aug 22LNuke10-13Dust26-13
Misa#1102-18-0
Honvéd vs Misa
Jul 21WDust213-11Mirage8-13Anubis16-13Bebop vs Misa
Sep 13WInferno13-9Nuke13-10Jul 29WNuke16-13Dust213-9May 23WDust213-11Mirage13-11+1 earlier meeting
Falcons Force#1311-21-2
Honvéd vs Falcons Force
Aug 20LMirage10-13Ancient13-11Cache8-13Bebop vs Falcons Force
Jul 27LDust213-3Cache6-13Inferno5-13
The Last Resort#1342-01-2
Honvéd vs The Last Resort
Aug 14WDust216-12Inferno13-11Bebop vs The Last Resort
Mar 12LAncient11-13Mirage13-9Nuke10-13Map lab
Bebop52%to win the Bo3 · most likely Bebop 2-1
If the veto goes
Honvéd 48%how the series ends52% Bebop
25%2-024%
23%2-127%
Honvéd44%18-18vsBebop56%40-31
50%Win56%
56%CT51%
41%T50%
58%Pistol57%
79%Conv79%
Honvéd57%21-18vsBebop43%23-26
54%Win47%
51%CT52%
46%T48%
53%Pistol57%
90%Conv84%
Honvéd46%4-7vsBebop54%2-3
36%Win40%
54%CT65%
43%T33%
59%Pistol50%
92%Conv80%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
HonvédMirageBebop
56%CT side51%
41%T side50%
58%Pistol57%
79%After win79%
10%After loss10%
HonvédDust2Bebop
51%CT side52%
46%T side48%
53%Pistol57%
90%After win84%
14%After loss7%
HonvédCacheBebop
54%CT side65%
43%T side33%
59%Pistol50%
92%After win80%
0%After loss20%
Pistol rounds56% · 57% · level, no edge
After a won pistol85% · 81% · Honvéd keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol11% · 9% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Honvéd vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapHONBEB
NukeHON ban60%3-250%26-26
AncientBEB ban53%9-839%9-14
MirageHON pick50%18-1856%40-31
Dust2BEB pick54%21-1847%23-26
AnubisHON ban57%4-343%6-8
InfernoBEB ban31%4-946%11-13
Each team's usual first ban: Honvéd Nuke · Bebop Overpass.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Honvéd
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i20/63 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 63 maps they won, 20 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs RUSTECDust2from 10 downvs The Last ResortInfernofrom 8 downvs brazylijski luzMiragefrom 6 downvs PrivateerNukefrom 6 downvs Noir VerseDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/68 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 68 maps they lost, 23 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EntropyMirageled 10 · lost 3-13vs BebopCacheled 7 · lost 11-13vs ex-MANADust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs MisaMirageled 6 · lost 8-13vs TeletubisieDust2led 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs RUSTECDust2from 10 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EntropyMirageled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs PUREDust216-14vs brazylijski luzAncient19-17vs TNCAncient15-19vs ex-MANAMirage13-16vs GenOneDust213-16
Bebop
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i36/121 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 121 maps they won, 36 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs Rune EatersMiragefrom 8 downvs HEROIC AcademyMiragefrom 7 downvs HonvédCachefrom 7 downvs HashirasAncientfrom 6 downvs AcendMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i40/126 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 126 maps they lost, 40 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HashirasAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13vs G2 AresDust2led 7 · lost 8-13vs ex-RUBYDust2led 6 · lost 12-16vs UrsaDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs UrsaInfernoled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Rune EatersMiragefrom 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HashirasAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 34Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 34 went to overtime.vs ALLINNERSMirage16-14vs MetizportMirage22-20vs Bushido WildcatsMirage19-15vs AcendOverpass12-16vs AcendMirage16-14