Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / Lynn Vision vs UR · match preview
Lynn Vision vs UR: CS2 match prediction · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2
Lynn Vision
World #34 · 29-19
VS
2026-09-22 13:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2 · Best of 3
UR
World #– · 2-6
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2 · Best of 3
68%32%
The call · high confidence
Lynn Vision are favoured: our model gives them 68% against UR. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours Lynn Vision, record clearly favours Lynn Vision, form slightly favours Lynn Vision, firepower slightly favours Lynn Vision.
Likely mapsDust2 · Nuke · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Lynn VisionpullUR
Team strength1602
147775/25 LYN
Track record29–19
2–671/29 LYN
Recent formLWLLL
LLLLW67/33 LYN
Roster rating1.15
0.9469/31 LYN
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 80% our own signal (99 maps of Lynn Vision, 16 of UR).
Bottom line: Lynn Vision to beat UR, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsLynn Vision · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
UR · avg 0.94 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Lynn Vision
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
JiJieHao#304-30-1
Lynn Vision vs JiJieHao
May 17WDust228-24Ancient13-6Inferno9-13Anubis13-10Jan 24LDust213-7Inferno9-13Anubis8-13UR vs JiJieHao
Apr 30LDust21-13
TYLOO#314-51-2
Lynn Vision vs TYLOO
Aug 14WNuke13-8Inferno13-4Jul 12WAncient6-13Inferno13-10Jun 5LAncient5-13Inferno7-13+1 earlier meeting
UR vs TYLOO
Apr 2LAncient2-13Nuke13-11Mirage13-16
Rare Atom#984-41-2
Lynn Vision vs Rare Atom
Sep 2LCache11-13Dust210-13Mar 22WAncient19-16Dust213-10Inferno13-7Feb 26LInferno13-9Dust210-13Ancient17-19UR vs Rare Atom
Jan 18LAncient17-19Dust213-11Inferno8-13
Chinggis Warriors#1634-00-1
UR vs Chinggis Warriors
Mar 28LOverpass4-13
Walk The Talk2-01-0
Lynn Vision vs Walk The Talk
Jan 19WOverpass13-1Inferno13-4UR vs Walk The Talk
Mar 28WAncient13-10Map lab
Lynn Vision55%to win the Bo3 · most likely Lynn Vision 2-0
If the veto goes
Lynn Vision 55%how the series ends45% UR
30%2-020%
25%2-125%
Lynn Vision61%24-10vsUR39%3-2
71%Win60%
58%CT41%
56%T50%
57%Pistol20%
85%Conv100%
Lynn Vision50%7-3vsUR50%1-0
70%Win100%
62%CT58%
46%T50%
50%Pistol100%
80%Conv50%
Lynn Vision50%0-2thinUR50%0-0
0%Win–
35%CT–
38%T–
50%Pistol–
100%Conv–
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
Lynn VisionDust2UR
58%CT side41%
56%T side50%
57%Pistol20%
85%After win100%
31%After loss0%
Lynn VisionNukeUR
62%CT side58%
46%T side50%
50%Pistol100%
80%After win50%
20%After loss–
Lynn VisionCacheUR
35%CT side–
38%T side–
50%Pistol–
100%After win–
0%After loss–
Pistol rounds55% · 33% · Lynn Vision win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol84% · 75% · Lynn Vision keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol27% · 0% · Lynn Vision fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Lynn Vision vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
UR habitually bans Overpass & Inferno, two of Lynn Vision's strongest maps (Overpass, Inferno, Dust2, Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Overpass 5/8, Inferno 5/8), not an opponent read, so expect Lynn Vision to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapLYNUR
MirageLYN bann/a0g0%0-1
Lynn Vision on Mirage
no recent maps
UR on Mirage
LTYLOO13–166mo agoInfernoUR ban63%12-70%0-1
Dust2LYN pick71%24-1060%3-2
NukeUR pick70%7-3100%1-0
AnubisLYN ban43%3-433%1-2
AncientUR ban55%12-1025%1-3
Cachedecider0%0-2n/a0g
UR on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: Lynn Vision Mirage · UR Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Lynn Vision
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/61 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 61 maps they won, 19 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs Change The GameAncientfrom 7 downvs TYLOOInfernofrom 7 downvs Alter EgoNukefrom 6 downvs Alter EgoDust2from 5 downvs Rare AtomAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/38 (39%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 38 maps they lost, 15 (39%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs VitalityDust2led 12 · lost 2-13vs FalconsDust2led 7 · lost 9-13vs The HunsDust2led 6 · lost 17-19vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs TYLOONukeled 4 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Change The GameAncientfrom 7 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni12 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs VitalityDust2led 12 · lost 2-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs TYLOONuke12-16vs Chinggis WarriorsNuke22-20vs Rare AtomAncient17-19vs The HunsDust217-19vs Alter EgoNuke14-16
UR
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/6 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 6 maps they won, 3 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs Rare AtomDust2from 6 downvs SHPLAnubisfrom 3 downvs BORING PLAYERSDust2from 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/10 (20%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 10 maps they lost, 2 (20%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Rare AtomAncientled 6 · lost 17-19vs TYLOOMirageled 4 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Rare AtomDust2from 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Rare AtomAncientled 6 · lost 17-19
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi44% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT44% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs Rare AtomAncient17-19vs SHPLAnubis16-13vs TYLOOMirage13-16