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Predictions / PARIVISION vs G2 · match preview
PARIVISION vs G2: CS2 match prediction · IEM Beijing 2026
PARIVISION
World #13 · 36-32
VS
2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
IEM Beijing 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★
G2
World #8 · 47-32
IEM Beijing 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★
51%49%
47%
1.981.78Market · 23 books
53%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 51–49. Bookmakers lean G2 at 53%. Form slightly favours PARIVISION.
Likely mapsDust2 · Ancient · Mirage
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
PARIVISIONpullG2
Team strength1637
165554/46 G2
Track record36–32
47–3255/45 G2
Recent formWWWLL
LWLLL70/30 PAR
Roster rating1.05
1.1154/46 G2
Head-to-head5 maps
4 maps55/45 PAR
Bookmakers imply 47% for PARIVISION (1.98 / 1.78); we land 4 points higher at 51%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 97% our own signal (161 maps of PARIVISION, 187 of G2). Head-to-head they've met 3 times: PARIVISION leads 2–1.
Bottom line: PARIVISION to beat G2, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsPARIVISION · avg 1.05 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
G2 · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents16d ago
PARIVISION2 : 1
G2◆ same lineup5mo ago PARIVISION1 : 2 G2!8mo ago PARIVISION2 : 1 G2!
PARIVISION2 : 1 G2◆ same lineup5mo ago PARIVISION1 : 2 G2!⚠ Different lineup
PARIVISION
outBELCHONOKK, nota
inFL1T, HObbit
G2
outSunPayus
inr1nkle
PARIVISION2 : 1 G2!⚠ Different lineup
PARIVISION
outBELCHONOKK, nota
inFL1T, HObbit
G2
outSunPayus, malbsMd
inNertZ, r1nkle
Spirit#15-32-12
PARIVISION vs Spirit
Oct 4LAncient13-11Dust26-13Anubis5-13Mar 21WAnubis13-3Ancient13-8Jan 23WOverpass5-13Mirage13-9Ancient13-8G2 vs Spirit
Aug 28LDust26-13Cache9-13Jun 19LOverpass13-9Dust214-16Mirage22-25May 15LDust26-13Ancient11-13+3 earlier meetings
Vitality#20-73-6
FURIA#34-63-2
PARIVISION vs FURIA
Oct 5LAncient13-7Mirage5-13Inferno10-13Sep 9LAncient2-13Inferno11-13Feb 17LDust214-16Inferno16-14Mirage8-13+1 earlier meeting
MOUZ#43-41-4
Aurora#52-34-5
G2 vs Aurora
Aug 31WAnubis7-13Inferno19-16Mirage13-1Aug 26WInferno13-5Anubis16-12Jun 13LOverpass8-13Anubis7-13+1 earlier meeting
Falcons#67-11-4
Legacy#74-82-5
PARIVISION vs Legacy
Oct 14LDust211-13Mirage14-16Oct 3WDust25-13Inferno13-2Ancient16-12Jun 13LInferno12-16Dust213-16+2 earlier meetings
BETBOOM#91-22-1
PARIVISION vs BETBOOM
Oct 15LAncient13-10Anubis4-13Mirage7-13G2 vs BETBOOM
Sep 12WMirage7-13Anubis16-13Ancient13-7Map lab
PARIVISION51%to win the Bo3 · most likely PARIVISION 2-0
If the veto goes
PARIVISION 51%how the series ends49% G2
34%2-017%
17%2-132%
PARIVISION60%25-17vsG240%21-22
60%Win49%
49%CT51%
53%T52%
44%Pistol53%
73%Conv87%
PARIVISION56%23-9vsG244%25-13
72%Win66%
54%CT61%
55%T49%
58%Pistol63%
81%Conv75%
PARIVISION35%14-20vsG265%22-16
41%Win58%
56%CT57%
39%T53%
35%Pistol55%
83%Conv90%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
PARIVISIONDust2G2
49%CT side51%
53%T side52%
44%Pistol53%
73%After win87%
11%After loss25%
PARIVISIONAncientG2
54%CT side61%
55%T side49%
58%Pistol63%
81%After win75%
7%After loss39%
PARIVISIONMirageG2
56%CT side57%
39%T side53%
35%Pistol55%
83%After win90%
9%After loss24%
Pistol rounds45% · 57% · G2 win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol79% · 84% · G2 keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol9% · 28% · G2 fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, PARIVISION vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPARG2
NukePAR bann/a0gn/a0g
PARIVISION on Nuke
no recent maps
G2 on Nuke
no recent maps
AnubisG2 ban44%4-539%7-11
Dust2PAR pick60%25-1749%21-22
AncientG2 pick72%23-966%25-13
InfernoPAR ban44%14-1859%17-12
CacheG2 ban33%2-425%1-3
Miragedecider41%14-2058%22-16
Each team's usual first ban: PARIVISION Nuke · G2 Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
PARIVISION
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/83 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 83 maps they won, 29 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs FaZeAncientfrom 7 downvs WildcardDust2from 7 downvs AstralisDust2from 6 downvs MonteDust2from 6 downvs FURIAAncientfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/78 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 78 maps they lost, 22 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs The MongolZMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs Natus VincereInfernoled 7 · lost 8-13vs The MongolZAncientled 6 · lost 9-13vs magicInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16vs fnaticCacheled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FaZeAncientfrom 7 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs The MongolZMirageled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 24Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 24 went to overtime.vs ENCEAnubis22-20vs Natus VincereAnubis19-16vs AstralisDust216-13vs FURIADust214-16vs FURIAInferno16-14
G2
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i27/104 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 104 maps they won, 27 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs FURIAAnubisfrom 10 downvs BIGCachefrom 8 downvs ShindeNDust2from 7 downvs AcendDust2from 6 downvs Gaimin GladiatorsInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i33/82 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 82 maps they lost, 33 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FURIAAncientled 10 · lost 3-13vs Natus VincereAncientled 8 · lost 9-13vs BetBoomMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs AstralisAncientled 6 · lost 9-13vs Passion UAOverpassled 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FURIAAnubisfrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FURIAAncientled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 26Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 26 went to overtime.vs LiquidAnubis16-14vs SpiritDust213-16vs MOUZOverpass13-16vs LegacyInferno14-16vs paiNInferno14-16