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FOKUS vs ex-Zero Tenacity: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Exort Fiesta Series 1

FOKUS
2026-08-27 14:00 UTC
Exort Fiesta Series 1
ex-Zero Tenacity
Our model gives ex-Zero Tenacity a 55% chance to beat FOKUS at Exort Fiesta Series 1.
FOKUS
ex-Zero Tenacity
Our read45%
55%
FormatBO3Form32-22 · 46-54PistolsEX- 55%Likely mapsCache · Inferno · Dust2
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

FOKUS

AcendUpsetUpset18d ago1-2Sashi19d ago2-0PartizanPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-120d ago2-0MOUZ1mo ago0-2HEROIC1mo ago0-2AuroraUpsetUpset1mo ago2-1AstralisStompStomp1-131mo ago1-2INFINITEUpsetUpset2mo ago0-2EchoBlew leadBL62mo ago0-2OG2mo ago2-1PhantomOvertimeOT2mo ago1-2CYBERSHOKE2mo ago2-1Noir Verse2mo ago2-0Nemesis3mo ago1-2NemigaOvertimeOT3mo ago2-1

ex-Zero Tenacity

HonvédOvertimeOT1d ago2-0HYPERSPIRITUpsetUpset1d ago1-2Black PhoenixPistolsPist4/42d ago2-0CYBERSHOKE Prospects3d ago1-2Just Players4d ago2-1GenOneUpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/45d ago2-0MASONICPistolsPist3/46d ago2-0benched godsBlew leadBL6StompStomp1-137d ago0-2EnjoyPistolsPist4/48d ago2-0G2 AresPistolsPist3/48d ago2-0VexarOvertimeOT9d ago2-0ex-RUSTECPistolsPist3/49d ago2-0Inner Circle AcademyUpsetUpset10d ago0-2brazylijski luz3mo ago1-2BIG Academy3mo ago2-1

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Nemesis#371-21-2
FOKUS vs Nemesis
May 31LAncient13-10Mirage5-13Dust29-13
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Nemesis
Mar 17LInferno13-9Nuke9-13Mirage8-13
fnatic#392-11-2
FOKUS vs fnatic
May 30WAncient13-9Inferno7-13Dust213-8
ex-Zero Tenacity vs fnatic
May 18LInferno12-16Anubis13-7Dust214-16
Acend#451-22-3
FOKUS vs Acend
Aug 9LInferno4-13Cache13-7Dust27-13
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Acend
Mar 9WDust213-10Mirage11-13Inferno13-7Feb 11LDust23-13Inferno6-13
CYBERSHOKE#852-12-0
FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 20WDust213-5Overpass7-13Ancient13-8
ex-Zero Tenacity vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 28WMirage13-10Dust213-4
OlyBet#2072-02-1
FOKUS vs OlyBet
Mar 24WAncient13-6Dust213-7
ex-Zero Tenacity vs OlyBet
Feb 20WInferno13-3Dust211-13Nuke13-4
Ursa2-02-4
FOKUS vs Ursa
May 28WOverpass16-13Dust213-11
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Ursa
Jun 1LMirage13-11Nuke3-13Dust26-13Mar 30LInferno4-13Mirage13-11Dust28-13
KOLESIE2-22-1
FOKUS vs KOLESIE
Apr 25LDust27-13Ancient13-8Nuke9-13Mar 8WAncient13-8
ex-Zero Tenacity vs KOLESIE
May 28WDust213-11Overpass8-13Nuke13-11
Oxuji2-12-2
FOKUS vs Oxuji
May 19WInferno13-2Nuke11-13Ancient13-8
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Oxuji
Mar 7WNuke13-3Inferno13-11Feb 21LNuke8-13Inferno4-13

Firepower

roster ratings

FOKUS · avg 1.07 · top +0.09

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Banjo1261.0675.374.4%52%1.16
Matheos1261.0377.471.5%61%1.12
podi171.0365.469.3%33%1.04
ztr1260.9372.471.5%49%1.04
jocab170.9568.272.5%48%1.01

ex-Zero Tenacity · avg 1.13 · top +0.01

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Cjoffo2421.0870.572%64%1.14
Kind02301.077972.1%48%1.14
brutmonster2331.1375.670.2%37%1.14
Dragon681.0781.571.7%53%1.13
VLDN251.0572.474.3%52%1.11

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, FOKUS vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

ex-Zero Tenacity habitually bans Ancient, FOKUS's strongest maps (Ancient, Overpass, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 98/101), not an opponent read, so expect FOKUS to fight the veto for Ancient.
MapFOKEX-
AnubisFOK ban n/a0g 38%8-13
FOKUS on Anubis
no recent maps
ex-Zero Tenacity on Anubis
WHYPERSPIRIT13–71d agoLCYBERSHOKE Prospects4–133d agoLbenched gods1–137d agoLInner Circle Academy7–1310d agoLJust Players14–163mo agoWLeo13–73mo agoWALGO13–53mo agoLSAW8–133mo ago
AncientEX- ban 74%20-7 n/a0g
FOKUS on Ancient
WPartizan13–120d agoLHEROIC6–131mo agoLAstralis11–131mo agoLEcho11–132mo agoLPhantom7–132mo agoWCYBERSHOKE13–82mo agoWNemesis13–103mo agoWfnatic13–93mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Ancient
no recent maps
CacheFOK pick 100%3-0 86%6-1
FOKUS on Cache
WAcend13–718d agoWSashi13–1119d agoWAurora13–111mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Cache
WHonvéd16–131d agoLHYPERSPIRIT9–131d agoWBlack Phoenix13–32d agoWCYBERSHOKE Prospects13–33d agoWMASONIC13–96d agoWEnjoy13–108d agoWex-RUSTEC13–59d ago
InfernoEX- pick 55%11-9 60%25-17
FOKUS on Inferno
LAcend4–1318d agoWPartizan16–1220d agoLHEROIC10–131mo agoWNoir Verse13–42mo agoLfnatic7–133mo agoLWildcard7–133mo agoLWildcard3–133mo agoWOxuji13–23mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Inferno
LHYPERSPIRIT11–131d agoWGenOne13–55d agoWEnjoy13–78d agoLBIG Academy8–133mo agoWaAa13–33mo agoLaAa10–133mo agoLASTRAL8–133mo agoLCYBERSHOKE Prospects2–133mo ago
NukeFOK ban 41%9-13 52%26-24
FOKUS on Nuke
LAurora7–131mo agoLAstralis1–131mo agoLINFINITE4–132mo agoLEcho9–132mo agoWOG13–62mo agoLPhantom16–192mo agoWNoir Verse13–72mo agoLWildcard6–133mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Nuke
WJust Players13–64d agoWMASONIC13–66d agoLInner Circle Academy8–1310d agoLbrazylijski luz6–133mo agoWaAa13–83mo agoWillwill13–93mo agoWRebels13–53mo agoLUrsa3–133mo ago
MirageEX- ban 47%9-10 41%16-23
FOKUS on Mirage
WSashi13–1119d agoLMOUZ8–131mo agoLINFINITE5–132mo agoLNemesis5–133mo agoLNemiga14–163mo agoWInner Circle16–143mo agoL1win2–133mo agoWPassion UA13–94mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Mirage
WHonvéd13–71d agoLJust Players5–134d agoWG2 Ares13–78d agoWex-RUSTEC13–89d agoLbrazylijski luz7–133mo agoWillwill13–103mo agoWUrsa13–113mo agoLTNC11–133mo ago
Dust2decider 46%12-14 52%29-27
FOKUS on Dust2
LAcend7–1318d agoLMOUZ10–131mo agoWAurora13–41mo agoWAstralis13–101mo agoLOG10–132mo agoWPhantom13–102mo agoWCYBERSHOKE13–52mo agoLNemesis9–133mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Dust2
WBlack Phoenix13–112d agoLCYBERSHOKE Prospects10–133d agoWJust Players13–94d agoWGenOne13–75d agoLbenched gods8–137d agoWG2 Ares13–58d agoWbrazylijski luz13–73mo agoWBIG Academy13–73mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: FOKUS Anubis · ex-Zero Tenacity Ancient.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

ex-Zero Tenacity54%to win the seriesiMap edgesCache: FOKUS 52% toss-up · Inferno: ex-Zero Tenacity 55% toss-up · Dust2: ex-Zero Tenacity 55% toss-upWhyex-Zero Tenacity hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesFOKUS 46%: 2-0 23%, 2-1 22%  ·  ex-Zero Tenacity 54%: 2-1 28%, 2-0 26%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
FOKUS 46%It’s nearly a coin-flip. ex-Zero Tenacity only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.54% ex-Zero Tenacity
Cache
FOKUS52%
ex-Zero Tenacity48%
3-0record6-1
100%win86%
53%CT win59%
63%T win63%
17%pistol64%
0%convert89%
Inferno
FOKUS45%
ex-Zero Tenacity55%
11-9record25-17
55%win60%
48%CT win53%
57%T win54%
55%pistol57%
86%convert85%
Dust2
FOKUS45%
ex-Zero Tenacity55%
12-14record29-27
46%win52%
48%CT win52%
51%T win51%
52%pistol52%
78%convert79%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
FOKct
FOKt
EX-ct
EX-t
FOKpistol
FOKconv
FOKeco
EX-pistol
EX-conv
EX-eco
Cachepool
53%19/36
63%20/32
59%34/58
63%52/83
17%1/6
0%0/1
40%2/5
64%9/14
89%8/9
0%0/5
Infernopool
48%94/196
57%125/221
53%205/386
54%258/478
55%22/40
86%19/22
11%2/18
57%48/84
85%41/48
33%12/36
Dust2pool
48%142/294
51%132/257
52%290/555
51%299/582
52%27/52
78%21/27
16%4/25
52%58/112
79%46/58
15%8/54
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
40%85/215
52%111/212
n/a
n/a
n/a
45%19/42
79%15/19
9%2/23
Ancientban
58%156/271
56%166/295
n/a
n/a
69%37/54
84%31/37
35%6/17
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
55%127/233
42%85/201
55%260/470
48%247/516
45%20/44
80%16/20
29%7/24
56%56/100
79%44/56
30%13/44
Mirageban
47%94/201
46%87/188
49%213/431
43%165/387
39%15/38
87%13/15
13%3/23
38%30/78
77%23/30
21%10/48
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
ex-Zero Tenacity wins more pistol rounds: 55% vs 51%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (80% vs 83%). Lose the pistol → ex-Zero Tenacity fight back to win the next round more often (21% vs 17%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

FOKUS

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i27/71 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 71 maps they won, 27 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs JiJieHaoAncientfrom 6 downvs 100 ThievesInfernofrom 6 downvs Inner CircleDust2from 5 downvs Friendly CampersNukefrom 5 downvs WildcardDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/55 (27%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 55 maps they lost, 15 (27%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs INFINITEMirageled 8 · lost 5-13vs EYEBALLERSInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs Gentle MatesNukeled 6 · lost 8-13vs EchoAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs WildcardNukeled 5 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs JiJieHaoAncientfrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs INFINITEMirageled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs Inner CircleDust216-14vs Inner CircleMirage16-13vs Friendly CampersNuke16-13vs 100 ThievesInferno16-14vs VocaAncient16-12

ex-Zero Tenacity

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i36/116 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 116 maps they won, 36 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs STATEInfernofrom 7 downvs KOLESIEDust2from 7 downvs HEROIC AcademyMiragefrom 6 downvs LavkedDust2from 6 downvs ASTRALAnubisfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i41/123 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 123 maps they lost, 41 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs STATEOverpassled 6 · lost 13-16vs HashirasInfernoled 6 · lost 10-13vs HAVUNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs Subtop De FranceDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs benched godsDust2led 6 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs STATEInfernofrom 7 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs STATEOverpassled 6 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsInferno16-14vs los kogutosNuke14-16vs ex-RUBYAnubis16-19vs ASTRALAnubis16-14vs STATEOverpass13-16

FOKUS vs ex-Zero Tenacity FAQ

Who is favored to win FOKUS vs ex-Zero Tenacity?

ex-Zero Tenacity are favored with a 55% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for FOKUS vs ex-Zero Tenacity?

Match odds for FOKUS vs ex-Zero Tenacity aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do FOKUS and ex-Zero Tenacity play?

FOKUS vs ex-Zero Tenacity is scheduled for 2026-08-27 14:00 UTC at Exort Fiesta Series 1.