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Matches / Upcoming / G2 Ares vs ex-Zero Tenacity

G2 Ares vs ex-Zero Tenacity: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 8

G2 Ares
World #97 · 38-36
VS
2026-09-08 14:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · Best of 3
ex-Zero Tenacity
World #77 · 56-57
24%
Win probability
76%
23%
41.2Market · 1 booksBookmakerG2 EX-Thunderpick Row41.2
77%
The call · high confidence

ex-Zero Tenacity are favoured: our model gives them 76% against G2 Ares. Bookmakers lean ex-Zero Tenacity at 77%. Strength clearly favours ex-Zero Tenacity, form slightly favours G2 Ares, firepower clearly favours ex-Zero Tenacity, head-to-head clearly favours ex-Zero Tenacity.

Likely mapsInferno · Cache · Dust2

Recent form

G2 Ares

WAZABIStompStomp13-21d ago2-0Bushido WildcatsPistolsPist5/6OvertimeOT2d ago2-1The Last ResortUpsetUpset4d ago0-2PsychoFaceOvertimeOT5d ago1-29INEPistolsPist3/4Blew leadBL810d ago0-2Rune EatersOvertimeOT11d ago1-2STATEPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-211d ago2-0Bushido WildcatsBlew leadBL613d ago0-2ex-RUSTEC14d ago0-2HYPERSPIRITPistolsPist5/616d ago2-1BebopComebackCB7OvertimeOT19d ago2-0ex-Zero Tenacity20d ago0-2PermittaPistolsPist3/4Blew leadBL621d ago0-2NexusOvertimeOT22d ago2-0PermittaOvertimeOT23d ago1-2

ex-Zero Tenacity

SPARTAStompStomp2-132d ago0-2INOX Division3d ago1-2Black Phoenix6d ago2-0Bushido WildcatsOvertimeOT9d ago2-1INOX Division9d ago0-2PhantomPistolsPist3/49d ago2-0INOX DivisionPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT9d ago2-0STATEPistolsPist4/410d ago2-0SINNERSPistolsPist3/410d ago2-0HAVUComebackCB6OvertimeOT11d ago2-1OGPistolsPist3/411d ago2-0FOKUSUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT12d ago2-0WBTPistolsPist3/412d ago2-0HonvédOvertimeOT13d ago2-0HYPERSPIRITUpsetUpset13d ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
20d ago G2 Ares0 : 2 ex-Zero Tenacity!
⚠ Different lineup
G2 Ares
outta9z
inTMKj
ex-Zero Tenacity
outCjoffo, Dragon, Kind0, VLDN, brutmonster
CCT 2026 Europe Series 7
HOTU#272-01-2
G2 Ares vs HOTU
Jul 31WMirage13-8Dust213-6
ex-Zero Tenacity vs HOTU
Mar 11LDust28-13Mirage13-9Overpass9-13
Acend#482-02-3
G2 Ares vs Acend
Mar 1WAncient13-11Overpass13-4
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Acend
Mar 9WDust213-10Mirage11-13Inferno13-7Feb 11LDust23-13Inferno6-13
Johnny Speeds#570-40-2
G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds
Aug 4LDust28-13Inferno1-13May 2LOverpass6-13Mirage2-13
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 5LOverpass9-13Dust25-13
Phantom#590-22-0
G2 Ares vs Phantom
Jul 24LMirage10-13Ancient14-16
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Phantom
Aug 30WDust213-8Nuke13-5
INOX Division#631-24-8
G2 Ares vs INOX Division
Jul 26LDust216-14Anubis12-16Inferno8-13
ex-Zero Tenacity vs INOX Division
Sep 5LNuke8-13Cache13-3Dust26-13Aug 30LCache7-13Nuke5-13Aug 30WInferno13-3Cache16-13
+2 earlier meetings
SAW#691-00-2
G2 Ares vs SAW
May 1WAncient13-7
ex-Zero Tenacity vs SAW
May 22LAnubis8-13Inferno17-19
Bushido Wildcats#732-54-1
G2 Ares vs Bushido Wildcats
Sep 6WInferno13-10Dust214-16Anubis16-12Aug 26LInferno6-13Dust211-13Feb 12LMirage6-13Anubis7-13
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 30WDust214-16Inferno13-7Nuke13-5Feb 18WMirage13-6Inferno13-11
ex-RUBY#780-21-6
G2 Ares vs ex-RUBY
Jun 12LOverpass11-13Dust29-13
ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUBY
May 30LDust213-16Nuke7-13Mar 15LDust210-13Mirage13-8Overpass6-13Feb 25LAnubis16-19Mirage8-13

Firepower

roster ratings

G2 Ares · avg 1.06 · top +0.1

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Junyme1671.1574.472.7%40%1.16
TMKj261.0175.471.1%65%1.13
hitori1670.9675.470.6%53%1.08
yksjupe1670.968.571.3%52%1.02
SHiNE1670.8361.669.3%56%0.93

ex-Zero Tenacity · avg 1.13 · top +0.08

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
VLDN541.1577.677.7%52%1.21
Cjoffo2711.170.672.6%64%1.15
brutmonster2621.1474.970.6%37%1.14
Kind02591.0578.672.2%49%1.13
Dragon951.0679.371.8%51%1.11
KiMaRR121.0177.666.1%55%1.02

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, G2 Ares vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapG2 EX-
NukeG2 bann/a0g52%29-27
G2 Ares on Nuke
no recent maps
ex-Zero Tenacity on Nuke
LINOX Division8–133d agoWBushido Wildcats13–59d agoLINOX Division5–139d agoWPhantom13–59d agoWSTATE13–910d agoLHAVU9–1311d agoWJust Players13–616d agoWMASONIC13–618d ago
AncientEX- ban50%13-13n/a0g
G2 Ares on Ancient
WWAZABI13–51d agoLRune Eaters5–1311d agoWSTATE13–211d agoWHYPERSPIRIT13–516d agoWPermitta13–323d agoWEAC13–111mo agoLButterfly4–131mo agoLButterfly4–132mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Ancient
no recent maps
InfernoG2 pick50%17-1763%29-17
G2 Ares on Inferno
WWAZABI13–21d agoWBushido Wildcats13–102d agoLThe Last Resort9–134d agoWPsychoFace13–85d agoLBushido Wildcats6–1313d agoLex-RUSTEC7–1314d agoWBebop19–1519d agoWNexus19–1522d ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Inferno
WBushido Wildcats13–79d agoWINOX Division13–39d agoWSTATE13–910d agoWHAVU16–1311d agoLHYPERSPIRIT11–1313d agoWGenOne13–517d agoWEnjoy13–720d agoLBIG Academy8–133mo ago
CacheEX- pick40%2-380%12-3
G2 Ares on Cache
LThe Last Resort17–194d agoWSTATE16–1411d agoLPermitta8–1323d agoWInner Circle Academy22–182mo agoLLilmix11–132mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Cache
LSPARTA6–132d agoWINOX Division13–33d agoLINOX Division7–139d agoWINOX Division16–139d agoWSINNERS13–910d agoWHAVU13–811d agoWOG13–711d agoWWBT13–312d ago
AnubisG2 ban40%6-946%11-13
G2 Ares on Anubis
WBushido Wildcats16–122d agoL9INE11–1310d agoLPermitta10–1321d agoWNexus13–1122d agoLINOX Division12–161mo agoLWalczaki6–133mo agoWMisa13–64mo agoWEntropy13–54mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Anubis
WBlack Phoenix13–86d agoWFOKUS16–1312d agoWWBT13–1012d agoWHYPERSPIRIT13–713d agoLCYBERSHOKE Prospects4–1315d agoLbenched gods1–1319d agoLInner Circle Academy7–1322d agoLJust Players14–164mo ago
MirageEX- ban47%17-1943%17-23
G2 Ares on Mirage
LPsychoFace17–195d agoL9INE23–2510d agoLRune Eaters9–1311d agoLHYPERSPIRIT11–1316d agoLex-Zero Tenacity7–1320d agoLPermitta10–1321d agoLPermitta14–1623d agoWHOTU13–81mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Mirage
WSINNERS13–710d agoWHonvéd13–713d agoLJust Players5–1316d agoWG2 Ares13–720d agoWex-RUSTEC13–821d agoLbrazylijski luz7–133mo agoWillwill13–103mo agoWUrsa13–113mo ago
Dust2decider50%16-1652%33-30
G2 Ares on Dust2
LBushido Wildcats14–162d agoLPsychoFace7–135d agoWRune Eaters16–1211d agoLBushido Wildcats11–1313d agoLex-RUSTEC6–1314d agoWHYPERSPIRIT13–716d agoWBebop13–819d agoLex-Zero Tenacity5–1320d ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Dust2
LSPARTA2–132d agoLINOX Division6–133d agoWBlack Phoenix13–76d agoLBushido Wildcats14–169d agoWPhantom13–89d agoWOG13–711d agoWFOKUS13–1112d agoWBlack Phoenix13–1114d ago
Each team's usual first ban: G2 Ares Nuke · ex-Zero Tenacity Ancient.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

ex-Zero Tenacity70%to win the seriesiMap edgesInferno: ex-Zero Tenacity 63% · Cache: ex-Zero Tenacity 76% clear · Dust2: ex-Zero Tenacity 52% toss-upWhyex-Zero Tenacity hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesG2 Ares 30%: 2-1 21%, 2-0 9%  ·  ex-Zero Tenacity 70%: 2-0 48%, 2-1 23%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
G2 Ares 30%ex-Zero Tenacity are the clearer side here: the most likely result is ex-Zero Tenacity 2-0.70% ex-Zero Tenacity
Inferno
G2 Ares38%
ex-Zero Tenacity62%
17-17record29-17
50%win63%
52%CT win54%
48%T win55%
49%pistol60%
67%convert85%
Cache
G2 Ares24%
ex-Zero Tenacity76%
2-3record12-3
40%win80%
51%CT win56%
43%T win61%
40%pistol57%
50%convert94%
Dust2
G2 Ares48%
ex-Zero Tenacity52%
16-16record33-30
50%win52%
50%CT win52%
47%T win52%
50%pistol52%
59%convert78%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
G2 ct
G2 t
EX-ct
EX-t
G2 pistol
G2 conv
G2 eco
EX-pistol
EX-conv
EX-eco
Infernopool
52%163/311
48%177/371
54%232/430
55%282/516
49%33/68
67%22/33
31%11/35
60%55/92
85%47/55
32%12/37
Cachepool
51%29/57
43%26/60
56%67/120
61%109/179
40%4/10
50%2/4
0%0/6
57%17/30
94%16/17
15%2/13
Dust2pool
50%183/369
47%154/326
52%325/631
52%336/649
50%32/64
59%19/32
19%6/32
52%65/126
78%51/65
16%10/61
Nukeban
n/a
n/a
55%299/540
48%269/565
n/a
n/a
n/a
56%63/112
79%50/63
29%14/49
Ancientban
52%145/280
48%121/254
n/a
n/a
54%28/52
82%23/28
29%7/24
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
47%73/156
50%85/171
42%106/250
52%128/245
37%11/30
73%8/11
11%2/19
42%20/48
80%16/20
11%3/28
Mirageban
54%188/347
47%192/411
50%221/443
43%170/395
56%40/72
75%30/40
28%9/32
40%32/80
78%25/32
21%10/48
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
ex-Zero Tenacity wins more pistol rounds: 55% vs 49%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → ex-Zero Tenacity usually win the next round too (83% vs 62%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (23% vs 22%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

G2 Ares

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/81 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 81 maps they won, 28 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs LavkedOverpassfrom 10 downvs DONSTUAnubisfrom 7 downvs LilmixAncientfrom 7 downvs BebopDust2from 7 downvs WWDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i24/86 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 86 maps they lost, 24 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Rune EatersAncientled 8 · lost 5-13vs 9INEMirageled 8 · lost 23-25vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs PermittaCacheled 6 · lost 8-13vs PermittaAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LavkedOverpassfrom 10 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Rune EatersAncientled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 32Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 32 went to overtime.vs WWDust219-16vs UNiTYOverpass19-17vs zajezdzaczeDust216-14vs LavkedOverpass16-13vs aAaOverpass19-16

ex-Zero Tenacity

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i40/137 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 137 maps they won, 40 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs WBTCachefrom 10 downvs STATEInfernofrom 7 downvs KOLESIEDust2from 7 downvs HEROIC AcademyMiragefrom 6 downvs LavkedDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i42/131 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 131 maps they lost, 42 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs STATEOverpassled 6 · lost 13-16vs HashirasInfernoled 6 · lost 10-13vs HAVUNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs Subtop De FranceDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs benched godsDust2led 6 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WBTCachefrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs STATEOverpassled 6 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsInferno16-14vs los kogutosNuke14-16vs ex-RUBYAnubis16-19vs ASTRALAnubis16-14vs STATEOverpass13-16

G2 Ares vs ex-Zero Tenacity FAQ

Who is favored to win G2 Ares vs ex-Zero Tenacity?

ex-Zero Tenacity are favored with a 76% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for G2 Ares vs ex-Zero Tenacity?

Bookmakers price G2 Ares at 4 and ex-Zero Tenacity at 1.2 (implied 23% vs 77%).

When do G2 Ares and ex-Zero Tenacity play?

G2 Ares vs ex-Zero Tenacity is scheduled for 2026-09-08 14:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 8.

G2 Ares vs ex-Zero Tenacity Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER