Matches / Upcoming / K27 vs LP
K27 vs LP: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · 1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier
K27
World #37 · 59-37
VS
2026-09-08 15:00 UTC
1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
LP
World #95 · 46-28
61%39%
74%
1.253.5Market · 1 books
26%The call
K27 are favoured: our model gives them 61% against LP. Bookmakers lean K27 at 74%. Form clearly favours K27, firepower slightly favours K27.
Likely mapsMirage · Ancient · Cache
Recent form
K27
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
MIBR#252-21-2
Eternal Fire#702-31-2
LP vs Eternal Fire
Sep 1LInferno6-13Cache13-10Mirage7-13Firepower
roster ratingsK27 · avg 1.13 · top +0.06
LP · avg 1.11 · top +0.06
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| zmb | 174 | 1.03 | 79 | 74% | 54% | 1.17 |
| Alisson | 172 | 1.15 | 74.3 | 74.9% | 50% | 1.14 |
| divine | 161 | 1.23 | 66.1 | 75.7% | 33% | 1.09 |
| happ | 174 | 1.05 | 67.6 | 73.1% | 51% | 1.08 |
| Leomonster | 171 | 0.96 | 75.5 | 72% | 57% | 1.05 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, K27 vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapK27LP
InfernoK27 bann/a0g68%23-11
AnubisLP ban57%12-9n/a0g
MirageK27 pick69%29-1333%9-18
AncientLP pick59%23-1669%20-9
NukeK27 ban51%22-2163%19-11
Dust2LP ban58%28-2056%20-16
Each team's usual first ban: K27 Inferno · LP Anubis.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
LP56%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: K27 80% clear · Ancient: LP 60% · Cache: LP 79% clearWhyLP hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesK27 44%: 2-0 32%, 2-1 12% · LP 56%: 2-1 44%, 2-0 12%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
K27 44%It’s nearly a coin-flip. LP only lead because their Cache & Ancient is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.56% LP
Mirage
K2780%LP20%
29-13record9-18
69%win33%
60%CT win45%
49%T win49%
62%pistol44%
80%convert96%
Ancient
K2740%LP60%
23-16record20-9
59%win69%
53%CT win61%
52%T win52%
60%pistol53%
81%convert87%
Cache
K2721%LP79%
8-7record5-0
53%win100%
53%CT win55%
50%T win75%
60%pistol50%
89%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
K27ct
K27t
LPct
LPt
K27pistol
K27conv
K27eco
LPpistol
LPconv
LPeco
Miragepool
60%256/424
49%204/414
45%136/301
49%121/249
62%52/84
80%41/51
34%11/32
44%24/54
96%23/24
7%2/30
Ancientpool
53%196/373
52%219/420
61%164/270
52%168/326
60%47/78
81%38/47
26%8/31
53%31/58
87%27/31
37%10/27
Cachepool
53%79/149
50%83/166
55%26/47
75%39/52
60%18/30
89%16/18
33%4/12
50%5/10
100%5/5
60%3/5
Infernoban
n/a
n/a
58%169/293
52%194/376
n/a
n/a
n/a
46%31/68
71%22/31
22%8/37
Anubisban
53%101/189
44%100/225
n/a
n/a
52%22/42
100%21/21
10%2/20
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
57%258/456
43%189/440
57%158/276
48%143/295
53%46/86
78%36/46
20%8/40
50%30/60
83%25/30
23%7/30
Dust2ban
53%258/484
54%276/513
55%218/396
52%179/342
55%53/96
85%44/52
19%8/43
53%38/72
79%30/38
21%7/34
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
K27 wins more pistol rounds: 61% vs 49%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → LP usually win the next round too (92% vs 82%). Lose the pistol → K27 fight back to win the next round more often (31% vs 24%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
K27
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i45/130 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 130 maps they won, 45 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs ARCREDDust2from 9 downvs WildcardDust2from 7 downvs WHITEBIRDNukefrom 6 downvs Inner CircleAnubisfrom 6 downvs AcendAncientfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i36/100 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 100 maps they lost, 36 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-RUBYDust2led 8 · lost 10-13vs WWMirageled 8 · lost 11-13vs Eternal FireAncientled 8 · lost 10-13vs 1winOverpassled 7 · lost 11-13vs INFINITENukeled 7 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ARCREDDust2from 9 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-RUBYDust2led 8 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 25Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 25 went to overtime.vs 9INEAncient16-12vs WATERMELONAncient22-20vs ARCREDDust216-13vs NemigaAnubis16-12vs MOUZ NXTAnubis31-29
LP
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i32/103 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 103 maps they won, 32 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs GalorysNukefrom 9 downvs Fake do BiruNukefrom 8 downvs FluxoInfernofrom 7 downvs Bounty HuntersCachefrom 7 downvs FOLHA AMARELAOverpassfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/70 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 70 maps they lost, 23 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BESTIAAncientled 10 · lost 5-13vs Fake do BiruMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs ShindeNInfernoled 6 · lost 7-13vs Fake do BiruDust2led 5 · lost 12-16vs GalorysOverpassled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GalorysNukefrom 9 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BESTIAAncientled 10 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 10Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 10 went to overtime.vs GalorysOverpass19-15vs RED CanidsAncient12-16vs ODDIKAncient16-13vs Fake do BiruDust212-16vs YawaraAncient16-14
K27 vs LP FAQ
Who is favored to win K27 vs LP?
K27 are favored with a 61% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for K27 vs LP?
Bookmakers price K27 at 1.25 and LP at 3.5 (implied 74% vs 26%).
When do K27 and LP play?
K27 vs LP is scheduled for 2026-09-08 15:00 UTC at 1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier.