Matches / Upcoming / Leo vs UNiTY
Leo vs UNiTY: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Exort Fiesta Series 2
Exort Fiesta Series 2 · Best of 3
53%47%
42%
2.181.59Market · 2 books
58%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 53–47. Bookmakers lean UNiTY at 58%. Strength slightly favours UNiTY, firepower clearly favours UNiTY, head-to-head clearly favours Leo.
Likely mapsDust2 · Ancient · Cache
Firepower
roster ratingsLeo · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
UNiTY · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Leo
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
1win#380-21-2
Leo vs 1win
Jan 31LInferno9-13Ancient8-13UNiTY vs 1win
Jan 29LInferno13-4Ancient11-13Overpass4-13
Nuclear TigeRES#472-00-4
Leo vs Nuclear TigeRES
Feb 18WDust219-16Ancient13-5
GenOne#562-51-6
ex-RUSTEC#671-21-2
Leo vs ex-RUSTEC
Aug 18LNuke13-6Dust27-13Anubis2-13UNiTY vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 28LDust26-13Inferno13-8Mirage8-13
Metizport#680-21-4
Leo vs Metizport
Mar 3LDust210-13Nuke11-13
Bushido Wildcats#767-42-1
Leo vs Bushido Wildcats
Sep 15WDust214-16Nuke13-9Cache13-11Aug 20WNuke13-9Mirage3-13Dust213-2Aug 4LNuke6-13Dust213-7Anubis1-13+1 earlier meeting
UNiTY vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 29WInferno13-3Dust26-13Mirage13-10
BET-M#770-20-2
Leo vs BET-M
Sep 15Lseries0-2UNiTY vs BET-M
Mar 2LAncient11-13Mirage8-13
ASTRAL#795-50-4
Leo vs ASTRAL
Jun 29LMirage10-13Dust25-13May 31LAncient13-3Dust26-13Anubis11-13Mar 23WDust213-8Anubis5-13Ancient13-9+1 earlier meeting
Map lab
Leo55%to win the Bo3 · most likely Leo 2-0
If the veto goes
Leo 55%how the series ends45% UNiTY
30%2-019%
25%2-126%
Leo64%36-28vsUNiTY36%14-20
56%Win41%
51%CT52%
53%T46%
51%Pistol49%
80%Conv91%
Leo46%18-21vsUNiTY54%27-27
46%Win50%
50%CT54%
47%T50%
32%Pistol56%
88%Conv84%
Leo49%3-4vsUNiTY51%4-5
43%Win44%
48%CT49%
52%T49%
64%Pistol17%
100%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
LeoDust2UNiTY
51%CT side52%
53%T side46%
51%Pistol49%
80%After win91%
17%After loss11%
LeoAncientUNiTY
50%CT side54%
47%T side50%
32%Pistol56%
88%After win84%
8%After loss13%
LeoCacheUNiTY
48%CT side49%
52%T side49%
64%Pistol17%
100%After win100%
20%After loss13%
Pistol rounds45% · 50% · UNiTY win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol84% · 87% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol13% · 12% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Leo vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
UNiTY habitually bans Nuke, Leo's strongest maps (Nuke, Overpass all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Nuke 80/95), not an opponent read, so expect Leo to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapLEOUNI
MirageLEO ban46%6-755%23-19
NukeUNI ban63%25-150%0-4
Dust2LEO pick56%36-2841%14-20
AncientUNI pick46%18-2150%27-27
InfernoLEO ban46%6-761%22-14
AnubisUNI ban32%12-2655%12-10
Cachedecider43%3-444%4-5
Each team's usual first ban: Leo Mirage · UNiTY Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Leo
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/109 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 109 maps they won, 29 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs PhantomNukefrom 7 downvs Lazer CatsInfernofrom 6 downvs QWENTRYDust2from 6 downvs ASTRALDust2from 5 downvs AimhausDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i33/110 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 110 maps they lost, 33 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Lazer CatsInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs WWAnubisled 6 · lost 14-16vs UrsaAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13vs PhantomAnubisled 6 · lost 11-13vs MisaDust2led 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PhantomNukefrom 7 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Lazer CatsInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsAnubis14-16vs WWNuke17-19vs WWAnubis14-16vs BIGAnubis14-16vs Bushido WildcatsNuke19-16
UNiTY
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i31/105 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 105 maps they won, 31 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs LavkedMiragefrom 8 downvs ENCE AcademyMiragefrom 6 downvs AllianceAncientfrom 6 downvs PsychoFaceDust2from 6 downvs PermittaAnubisfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i39/106 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 106 maps they lost, 39 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 1winAncientled 9 · lost 11-13vs KOLESIEAncientled 7 · lost 8-13vs LavkedMirageled 7 · lost 10-13vs Fingers CrossedMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs AllianceOverpassled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LavkedMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 1winAncientled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 30Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 30 went to overtime.vs illwillInferno19-16vs illwillMirage19-17vs BetclicMirage16-14vs G2 AresOverpass17-19vs KOLESIEAncient19-17
Leo vs UNiTY FAQ
Who is favored to win Leo vs UNiTY?
Leo are favored with a 53% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Leo vs UNiTY?
Bookmakers price Leo at 2.18 and UNiTY at 1.59 (implied 42% vs 58%).
When do Leo and UNiTY play?
Leo vs UNiTY is scheduled for 2026-09-21 08:00 UTC at Exort Fiesta Series 2.