Matches / Upcoming / Marsborne vs Iowa Stormboar

Marsborne vs Iowa Stormboar: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CROSSFIRE Season 6

Marsborne
World #91 · 46-30
VS
2026-09-20 00:00 UTC
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
Iowa Stormboar
World #170 · 12-10
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
71%
Win probability
29%
The call · high confidence

Marsborne are favoured: our model gives them 71% against Iowa Stormboar. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Marsborne, record slightly favours Marsborne, firepower clearly favours Marsborne, head-to-head slightly favours Marsborne.

Likely mapsAnubis · Mirage · Nuke

Firepower

roster ratings

Marsborne · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Grizz1.118472.5%58%1.21
nicx1.0774.973%65%1.15
WUMBO1.0474.474.9%61%1.14
ogwizard1.267.773.5%35%1.12
freshie0.9172.372%50%1.05

Iowa Stormboar · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.34iStar gap: the best player rates 0.34 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
H0NeST1.29100.475.1%65%1.43
Scorchyy1.056870.5%37%1.09
aelor0.9671.971.2%52%1.03
TyRa0.8674.263.6%59%0.96
Valter0k0.8165.269.3%56%0.94

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Map lab

Marsborne66%to win the Bo3 · most likely Marsborne 2-0
If the veto goes
Marsborne 66%how the series ends34% Iowa Stormboar
40%2-013%
26%2-121%
Map 1AnubisMarsborne pick
Marsborne67%16-4vsIowa Stormboar33%1-2
80%Win33%
57%CT33%
60%T52%
40%Pistol67%
100%Conv100%
Map 2MirageIowa Stormboar pick
Marsborne60%18-9vsIowa Stormboar40%8-6
67%Win57%
62%CT64%
47%T43%
54%Pistol46%
79%Conv85%
Map 3Nukedecider
Marsborne56%8-9vsIowa Stormboar44%4-6
47%Win40%
52%CT55%
41%T46%
44%Pistol60%
73%Conv92%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

MarsborneAnubisIowa Stormboar
57%CT side33%
60%T side52%
40%Pistol67%
100%After win100%
42%After loss0%
MarsborneMirageIowa Stormboar
62%CT side64%
47%T side43%
54%Pistol46%
79%After win85%
24%After loss7%
MarsborneNukeIowa Stormboar
52%CT side55%
41%T side46%
44%Pistol60%
73%After win92%
21%After loss13%
Pistol rounds47% · 54% · Iowa Stormboar win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol83% · 90% · Iowa Stormboar keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol29% · 8% · Marsborne fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Marsborne vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Iowa Stormboar habitually bans Inferno, Marsborne's strongest maps (Inferno, Mirage, Anubis all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 12/22), not an opponent read, so expect Marsborne to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapMARIOW
Dust2MAR ban57%8-663%5-3
InfernoIOW ban69%29-1317%1-5
AnubisMAR pick80%16-433%1-2
MirageIOW pick67%18-957%8-6
CacheMAR ban0%0-133%1-2
AncientIOW ban57%20-1583%5-1
Nukedecider47%8-940%4-6
Each team's usual first ban: Marsborne Dust2 · Iowa Stormboar Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Marsborne

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i40/106 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 106 maps they won, 40 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs Overtake SectorInfernofrom 10 downvs Chicken CoopAncientfrom 10 downvs 9zAncientfrom 6 downvs LAGMiragefrom 6 downvs Chicken CoopDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/69 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 69 maps they lost, 26 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NRGDust2led 11 · lost 2-13vs SportsBetExpertAnubisled 9 · lost 4-13vs NRGMirageled 6 · lost 17-19vs ZomblersAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs GalorysOverpassled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Overtake SectorInfernofrom 10 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NRGDust2led 11 · lost 2-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs NRGMirage19-22vs NRGMirage17-19vs BESTIAAncient16-19vs VocaOverpass14-16vs Fake do BiruInferno19-17

Iowa Stormboar

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i8/25 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 25 maps they won, 8 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs Beyond LimitsDust2from 7 downvs Beyond LimitsMiragefrom 5 downvs ShimmerDust2from 4 downvs VillainousAncientfrom 4 downvs Overtake SectorAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/25 (20%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 25 maps they lost, 5 (20%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs M80Mirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs DETONATEMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs MarsborneAnubisled 5 · lost 9-13vs NRGNukeled 3 · lost 13-16vs SportsBetExpertMirageled 3 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Beyond LimitsDust2from 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs M80Mirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs DETONATEMirage14-16vs NRGNuke13-16vs VillainousAncient16-13vs Beyond LimitsDust216-14vs Overtake SectorAncient16-14

Marsborne vs Iowa Stormboar FAQ

Who is favored to win Marsborne vs Iowa Stormboar?

Marsborne are favored with a 71% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Marsborne vs Iowa Stormboar?

Match odds for Marsborne vs Iowa Stormboar aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Marsborne and Iowa Stormboar play?

Marsborne vs Iowa Stormboar is scheduled for 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC at CROSSFIRE Season 6.