Matches / Upcoming / RUSH vs QUINTESSÊNCIA

RUSH vs QUINTESSÊNCIA: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3

RUSH
World # · 1-3
VS
2026-09-20 21:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3 · Best of 3
QUINTESSÊNCIA
World #159 · 6-5
CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3 · Best of 3
42%
Win probability
58%
43%
2.131.59Market · 4 booksBookmakerRUSQUIGGBet2.111.6Sweatbet 2.111.6betovo2.151.58scored2.151.58
57%
The call

QUINTESSÊNCIA are favoured: our model gives them 58% against RUSH. Bookmakers lean QUINTESSÊNCIA at 57%. Strength slightly favours QUINTESSÊNCIA, record clearly favours QUINTESSÊNCIA, form slightly favours QUINTESSÊNCIA, firepower clearly favours QUINTESSÊNCIA.

Likely mapsMirage · Cache · Ancient

Firepower

roster ratings

RUSH · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.27iStar gap: the best player rates 0.27 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
clon71.3483.981.7%59%1.38
cLd1.0377.680%63%1.24
perez1.0674.276.3%45%1.09
nolkz0.9971.865.6%44%1.05
bks0.7855.562%35%0.77

QUINTESSÊNCIA · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.42iStar gap: the best player rates 0.42 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
fl4sh1.3594.874%46%1.54
edv1.2474.672.9%32%1.12
prozinszsz0.8972.171.1%48%1.03
cz1k40.9564.270.1%55%1.02
n0page0.7364.770.2%46%0.9

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Sementes do Mal2-02-0
RUSH vs Sementes do Mal
Sep 18WCache13-7Mirage13-8
QUINTESSÊNCIA vs Sementes do Mal
Sep 19WCache13-5Mirage13-3

Map lab

QUINTESSÊNCIA54%to win the Bo3 · most likely QUINTESSÊNCIA 2-1
If the veto goes
RUSH 46%how the series ends54% QUINTESSÊNCIA
25%2-025%
21%2-129%
Map 1MirageRUSH pick
RUSH52%1-1vsQUINTESSÊNCIA48%2-3
50%Win40%
69%CT34%
33%T51%
100%Pistol40%
50%Conv75%
Map 2CacheQUINTESSÊNCIA pick
RUSH48%1-0vsQUINTESSÊNCIA52%5-1
100%Win83%
67%CT48%
63%T59%
50%Pistol58%
100%Conv71%
Map 3Ancientdecider
RUSH42%0-2vsQUINTESSÊNCIA58%2-2
0%Win50%
60%CT57%
14%T44%
25%Pistol25%
100%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

RUSHMirageQUINTESSÊNCIA
69%CT side34%
33%T side51%
100%Pistol40%
50%After win75%
After loss17%
RUSHCacheQUINTESSÊNCIA
67%CT side48%
63%T side59%
50%Pistol58%
100%After win71%
0%After loss0%
RUSHAncientQUINTESSÊNCIA
60%CT side57%
14%T side44%
25%Pistol25%
100%After win100%
0%After loss0%
Pistol rounds60% · 43% · RUSH win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol67% · 77% · QUINTESSÊNCIA keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol0% · 6% · QUINTESSÊNCIA fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, RUSH vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
Each team's usual first ban: RUSH Anubis · QUINTESSÊNCIA Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

RUSH

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/3 (67%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 3 maps they won, 2 (67%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 67% of their wins were comebacks, not 67% of all games.vs your endDust2from 4 downvs Sementes do MalMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i3/6 (50%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 6 maps they lost, 3 (50%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs your endInfernoled 9 · lost 9-13vs your endAncientled 5 · lost 8-13vs ShindeNNukeled 3 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs your endDust2from 4 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs your endInfernoled 9 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi0% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT0% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample

QUINTESSÊNCIA

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i6/14 (43%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 14 maps they won, 6 (43%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 43% of their wins were comebacks, not 43% of all games.vs MEIA NOITEAncientfrom 8 downvs PugdesonestoInfernofrom 6 downvs METANOIA WolvesMiragefrom 4 downvs MEIA NOITECachefrom 4 downvs PugdesonestoCachefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/10 (10%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 10 maps they lost, 1 (10%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs UNO MILLEDust2led 4 · lost 17-19
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MEIA NOITEAncientfrom 8 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs UNO MILLEDust2led 4 · lost 17-19
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi42% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT42% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs UNO MILLEDust217-19vs MEIA NOITECache16-13

RUSH vs QUINTESSÊNCIA FAQ

Who is favored to win RUSH vs QUINTESSÊNCIA?

QUINTESSÊNCIA are favored with a 58% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for RUSH vs QUINTESSÊNCIA?

Bookmakers price RUSH at 2.13 and QUINTESSÊNCIA at 1.59 (implied 43% vs 57%).

When do RUSH and QUINTESSÊNCIA play?

RUSH vs QUINTESSÊNCIA is scheduled for 2026-09-20 21:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3.

RUSH vs QUINTESSÊNCIA Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER