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The Last Resort vs G2 Ares: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Hotspawn Showdown 2026 Finals

The Last Resort
World #172 · 41-39
VS
2026-10-24 12:00 UTC
Hotspawn Showdown 2026 Finals · Best of 3
G2 Ares
World #105 · 52-54
Hotspawn Showdown 2026 Finals · Best of 3
46%
Win probability
54%
The call

G2 Ares are favoured: our model gives them 54% against The Last Resort. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours G2 Ares.

Likely mapsAncient · Inferno · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

The Last Resort · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.03iStar gap: the best player rates 0.03 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
arTisT★1.1274.771.3%34%1.1
Girafffe0.9971.670.8%51%1.09
bevve174.471.1%55%1.08
Extinct0.8873.369.4%53%1.04
Vacancy0.8967.570.5%53%1.02

G2 Ares · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Junyme★1.1274.572.3%41%1.15
TMKj176.370.4%66%1.14
hitori0.9776.471.1%52%1.09
yksjupe0.8968.470.8%52%1.02
SHiNE0.8261.669%54%0.93

Recent form

The Last Resort

Black PhoenixPistolsPist3/41d ago0-2LFO 103d ago2-0Spirit AcademyPistolsPist3/47d ago0-2G2 Ares8d ago1-2PrivateerUpsetUpset14d ago1-2Saint Sinners15d ago1-2PrivateerPistolsPist3/415d ago2-0Famalicão26d ago0-2G2 Ares27d ago0-2NexusPistolsPist5/6OvertimeOT28d ago1-2RyvexOvertimeOT1mo ago3-2SINNERSStompStomp2-131mo ago0-2INOX DivisionUpsetUpsetComebackCB61mo ago2-0MOUZ NXT2mo ago2-0G2 AresUpsetUpset2mo ago2-0

G2 Ares

IllyriansUpsetUpset1d ago1-2mellrenComebackCB7OvertimeOT3d ago2-1ex-6666StompStomp2-135d ago0-2BAKSComebackCB6OvertimeOT6d ago1-2The Last Resort8d ago2-1SangalOvertimeOT13d ago1-2NAVI Junior13d ago1-2INFINITEUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT14d ago2-0RBLSStompStomp2-13OvertimeOT14d ago2-1OG15d ago7-13PURE15d ago3-13SINQUPistolsPist0/215d ago13-5Falcons ForcePistolsPist2/215d ago13-7Orion WanderersStompStomp13-215d ago13-2Famalicão25d ago2-1

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
8d ago The Last Resort1 : 2 G2 Ares◆ same lineup27d ago The Last Resort0 : 2 G2 Ares◆ same lineup2mo ago The Last Resort2 : 0 G2 Ares◆ same lineup
Black Phoenix#550-20-2
The Last Resort vs Black Phoenix
Oct 21LMirage9-13Cache9-13
G2 Ares vs Black Phoenix
Sep 22LDust26-13Inferno7-13
ex-Zero Tenacity#672-01-4
The Last Resort vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Apr 23WInferno13-7Overpass13-10
G2 Ares vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Sep 8LCache6-13Mirage13-5Inferno10-13Aug 19LDust25-13Mirage7-13
Phantom#681-20-4
The Last Resort vs Phantom
Apr 27LAncient13-11Mirage8-13Nuke4-13
G2 Ares vs Phantom
Sep 15LInferno9-13Ancient4-13Jul 24LMirage10-13Ancient14-16
QUAZAR#753-21-2
The Last Resort vs QUAZAR
Jul 13LAnubis10-13Nuke13-5Cache4-13Jul 12WCache13-11Nuke13-6
G2 Ares vs QUAZAR
Sep 20LInferno13-7Cache6-13Mirage6-13
Johnny Speeds#810-20-4
The Last Resort vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 31LAncient8-13Overpass9-13
G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds
Aug 4LDust28-13Inferno1-13May 2LOverpass6-13Mirage2-13
INOX Division#842-21-4
The Last Resort vs INOX Division
Sep 9WCache16-14Inferno16-13May 7LAncient1-13Inferno5-13
G2 Ares vs INOX Division
Sep 23LAncient5-13Dust26-13Jul 26LDust216-14Anubis12-16Inferno8-13
Leo#882-22-1
The Last Resort vs Leo
Sep 3LNuke5-13Ancient6-13Mar 19WNuke13-8Anubis13-3
G2 Ares vs Leo
Sep 21WMirage7-13Cache13-10Ancient13-11
EAC#1150-22-0
The Last Resort vs EAC
May 23LNuke5-13Overpass5-13
G2 Ares vs EAC
Jul 31WInferno13-6Ancient13-11

Map lab

G2 Ares50%to win the Bo3 · most likely The Last Resort 2-1
If the veto goes
The Last Resort 50%how the series ends50% G2 Ares
24%2-026%
26%2-125%
Map 1AncientThe Last Reso… pick
The Last Resort55%23-18vsG2 Ares45%21-20
56%Win51%
54%CT52%
48%T47%
44%Pistol50%
78%Conv80%
Map 2InfernoG2 Ares pick
The Last Resort44%14-13vsG2 Ares56%31-22
52%Win58%
53%CT54%
50%T51%
56%Pistol51%
73%Conv72%
Map 3Cachedecider
The Last Resort51%6-7vsG2 Ares49%9-11
46%Win45%
55%CT46%
39%T47%
58%Pistol45%
87%Conv61%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

The Last ResortAncientG2 Ares
54%CT side52%
48%T side47%
44%Pistol50%
78%After win80%
26%After loss22%
The Last ResortInfernoG2 Ares
53%CT side54%
50%T side51%
56%Pistol51%
73%After win72%
33%After loss35%
The Last ResortCacheG2 Ares
55%CT side46%
39%T side47%
58%Pistol45%
87%After win61%
18%After loss5%
Pistol rounds50% · 50% · level, no edge
After a won pistol78% · 73% · The Last Resort keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol27% · 24% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, The Last Resort vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapTHEG2
MirageTHE ban26%5-1446%23-27
The Last Resort on Mirage
LBlack Phoenix9–131d agoLSaint Sinners5–1315d agoLPsychoFace9–133mo agoLAtreides7–136mo agoLM1X KS3–136mo agoLAM1–136mo agoLPhantom8–136mo agoWJust Players13–46mo ago
G2 Ares on Mirage
LIllyrians10–131d agoWmellren13–103d agoLNAVI Junior5–1313d agoWFalcons Force13–715d agoLSTATE9–1326d agoLNAVI Junior6–1329d agoLLeo7–131mo agoLQUAZAR6–131mo ago
NukeG2 ban56%23-18n/a0g
The Last Resort on Nuke
WLFO 1013–83d agoLPrivateer8–1314d agoWPrivateer13–815d agoWRyvex13–91mo agoLLeo5–132mo agoWPrivateer16–142mo agoLOG10–132mo agoWStrael Bora19–172mo ago
G2 Ares on Nuke
no recent maps
AncientTHE pick56%23-1851%21-20
The Last Resort on Ancient
WLFO 1013–43d agoLSpirit Academy7–137d agoWG2 Ares13–108d agoWPrivateer13–814d agoLSaint Sinners6–1315d agoWPrivateer13–1115d agoLFamalicão7–1326d agoWNexus16–1428d ago
G2 Ares on Ancient
WIllyrians13–71d agoLmellren14–163d agoLThe Last Resort10–138d agoWSangal13–1013d agoWINFINITE16–1414d agoLPURE3–1315d agoWSINQU13–515d agoWFamalicão13–425d ago
InfernoG2 pick52%14-1358%31-22
The Last Resort on Inferno
LG2 Ares8–138d agoWSaint Sinners13–615d agoLFamalicão10–1326d agoLG2 Ares11–1327d agoLRyvex8–131mo agoLSINNERS6–131mo agoWINOX Division16–131mo agoWG2 Ares13–92mo ago
G2 Ares on Inferno
Wmellren16–133d agoLex-666611–135d agoWBAKS16–136d agoWThe Last Resort13–88d agoWINFINITE13–714d agoWRBLS13–414d agoLOG7–1315d agoWFamalicão13–325d ago
Dust2THE ban42%5-743%17-23
The Last Resort on Dust2
WRyvex13–31mo agoLSINNERS2–131mo agoWPrivateer13–92mo agoLOG2–132mo agoLColor2–132mo agoLHonvéd12–162mo agoLHYPERSPIRIT6–132mo agoWPrivateer13–33mo ago
G2 Ares on Dust2
Lex-66662–135d agoLBAKS10–136d agoLFamalicão7–1325d agoLINOX Division6–1329d agoLBlack Phoenix6–131mo agoWHonvéd16–121mo agoLMisa11–131mo agoLHonvéd8–131mo ago
AnubisG2 ban56%10-835%7-13
The Last Resort on Anubis
LSpirit Academy6–137d agoLNexus11–1328d agoWMOUZ NXT13–112mo agoWStrael Bora13–82mo agoWBetclic19–173mo agoLBetclic6–133mo agoLQUAZAR10–133mo agoWM1X KS13–76mo ago
G2 Ares on Anubis
LSangal13–1613d agoLNAVI Junior11–1313d agoLRBLS2–1314d agoLNAVI Junior8–1329d agoWWBT Academy13–101mo agoWBushido Wildcats16–122mo agoL9INE11–132mo agoLPermitta10–132mo ago
Cachedecider46%6-745%9-11
The Last Resort on Cache
LBlack Phoenix9–131d agoLG2 Ares9–138d agoLPrivateer8–1314d agoLG2 Ares8–1327d agoLNexus5–1328d agoWRyvex13–71mo agoWINOX Division16–141mo agoWG2 Ares19–172mo ago
G2 Ares on Cache
LIllyrians3–131d agoLBAKS3–136d agoWThe Last Resort13–98d agoLSangal4–1313d agoWNAVI Junior13–513d agoWRBLS16–1314d agoWOrion Wanderers13–215d agoWSTATE19–1526d ago
Each team's usual first ban: The Last Resort Dust2 · G2 Ares Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

The Last Resort

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i32/97 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 97 maps they won, 32 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs CTRLAncientfrom 9 downvs QUAZARNukefrom 8 downvs Saint SinnersInfernofrom 7 downvs LilmixMiragefrom 6 downvs Rune EatersAncientfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i32/95 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 95 maps they lost, 32 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SINNERSDust2led 11 · lost 2-13vs QUAZARAnubisled 10 · lost 10-13vs CTRLMirageled 9 · lost 11-13vs HonvédInfernoled 8 · lost 11-13vs HEROIC AcademyInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs CTRLAncientfrom 9 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SINNERSDust2led 11 · lost 2-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs FuzosOverpass16-13vs BUFF3D UPNuke16-13vs CTRLAncient16-14vs Rune EatersAnubis14-16vs HEROIC AcademyInferno14-16

G2 Ares

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i44/118 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 118 maps they won, 44 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs LavkedOverpassfrom 10 downvs MisaInfernofrom 9 downvs FamalicãoAncientfrom 9 downvs AzuolasInfernofrom 8 downvs NAVI JuniorCachefrom 8 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i45/125 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 125 maps they lost, 45 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Black PhoenixDust2led 10 · lost 6-13vs BAKSCacheled 10 · lost 3-13vs PhantomAncientled 9 · lost 4-13vs Rune EatersAncientled 8 · lost 5-13vs 9INEMirageled 8 · lost 23-25
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LavkedOverpassfrom 10 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Black PhoenixDust2led 10 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 43Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 43 went to overtime.vs WWDust219-16vs UNiTYOverpass19-17vs zajezdzaczeDust216-14vs LavkedOverpass16-13vs aAaOverpass19-16

The Last Resort vs G2 Ares FAQ

Who is favored to win The Last Resort vs G2 Ares?

G2 Ares are favored with a 54% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for The Last Resort vs G2 Ares?

Match odds for The Last Resort vs G2 Ares aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do The Last Resort and G2 Ares play?

The Last Resort vs G2 Ares is scheduled for 2026-10-24 12:00 UTC at Hotspawn Showdown 2026 Finals.