CS2OBSERVER
Matches / Upcoming / magic vs BIG

magic vs BIG: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Stake Ranked Episode 5

magic
World #26 · 48-29
VS
2026-10-27 11:00 UTC
Stake Ranked Episode 5 · Best of 3 · ★
BIG
World #37 · 53-28
Stake Ranked Episode 5 · Best of 3 · ★
44%
Win probability
56%
47%
1.951.75Market · 5 booksBookmakerMAGBIG1red1.951.75Epicbet1.951.75Stake1.951.75Thunderpick Row1.951.75duelbits1.951.78
53%
The call

BIG are favoured: our model gives them 56% against magic. Bookmakers lean BIG at 53%. Form slightly favours BIG, firepower clearly favours BIG.

Likely mapsAncient · Inferno · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

magic · avg 1.05 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
tenzy★1.097871.6%61%1.19
MaSvAl1.0574.773.4%57%1.18
AW0.9974.172.2%56%1.08
sFade80.8673.968.3%56%0.99
lattykk0.8157.750.1%50%0.8

BIG · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
blameF★1.3486.478.7%44%1.28
gr1ks1.2774.675.3%31%1.17
JDC1.0577.574.2%53%1.14
faveN1.0469.674.3%59%1.09
tabseN0.896873.4%50%1.02

Recent form

magic

The MongolZBlew leadBL61d ago0-2LiquidComebackCB72d ago2-0PARIVISIONStompStomp2-133d ago0-2GamerLegion24d ago0-2Ninjas in Pyjamas25d ago1-2GamerLegionOvertimeOT26d ago2-1EYEBALLERS27d ago2-1MIBR1mo ago1-2Vitality1mo ago0-2AllianceUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT1mo ago0-2PARIVISIONComebackCB6OvertimeOT1mo ago2-0FaZeUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT1mo ago2-1LegacyPistolsPist6/6OvertimeOT1mo ago1-2HEROIC2mo ago0-2BIGOvertimeOT2mo ago2-0

BIG

PARIVISION1d ago0-2The MongolZ2d ago2-0PRIVATE3d ago2-0AstralisStompStomp1-1319d ago1-2LuminosityOvertimeOT20d ago1-2fnaticComebackCB621d ago2-1G21mo ago1-2BETBOOM1mo ago0-2magicOvertimeOT2mo ago0-2paiN2mo ago2-0NemigaUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT2mo ago1-2Spirit2mo ago1-2G2StompStomp1-13OvertimeOT2mo ago1-2AuroraUpsetUpsetPistolsPist0/22mo ago13-9Sashi2mo ago2-1

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
2mo ago magic2 : 0 BIG!
⚠ Different lineup
magic
outmo0N
inlattykk
7mo ago magic0 : 2 BIG!
⚠ Different lineup
magic
outmo0N
inlattykk
MIBR#121-21-1
magic vs MIBR
Sep 18LAncient8-13Mirage13-11Inferno8-13
BIG vs MIBR
Jul 3LMirage2-13Jun 7WInferno13-8
PARIVISION#132-21-4
magic vs PARIVISION
Oct 19LMirage4-13Ancient2-13Sep 10WAncient13-11Inferno16-14
BIG vs PARIVISION
Oct 21LCache9-13Dust27-13Jul 10LCache19-15Mirage5-13Ancient9-13
FaZe#174-22-1
magic vs FaZe
Sep 9WAncient16-14Dust210-13Cache19-16May 28WMirage4-13Dust213-11Overpass13-10
BIG vs FaZe
Apr 5WDust23-13Overpass13-11Anubis13-3
Ninjas in Pyjamas#196-43-3
magic vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Sep 27LAncient3-13Inferno13-10Mirage10-13Jul 26WAncient13-9Anubis13-11May 30LAnubis11-13Ancient13-6Mirage11-13
+1 earlier meeting
BIG vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4WAnubis13-11Inferno9-13Ancient13-6Apr 25LAncient5-13Mirage13-11Anubis5-13
The MongolZ#200-52-0
magic vs The MongolZ
Oct 21LInferno9-13Ancient10-13Aug 12LMirage7-13May 9LMirage23-25Inferno4-13
BIG vs The MongolZ
Oct 20WCache13-8Mirage13-4
GamerLegion#232-30-2
magic vs GamerLegion
Sep 28LCache10-13Ancient5-13Sep 26WDust213-6Cache8-13Ancient19-17
BIG vs GamerLegion
Jun 4LOverpass14-16Ancient11-13
HEROIC#252-30-2
magic vs HEROIC
Sep 3LDust27-13Ancient3-13May 12WMirage13-8Dust24-13Inferno13-6
BIG vs HEROIC
Apr 24LDust29-13Overpass7-13
Liquid#272-00-1
magic vs Liquid
Oct 20WAnubis13-10Dust213-10
BIG vs Liquid
Jun 2LNuke10-13

Map lab

BIG56%to win the Bo3 · most likely BIG 2-0
If the veto goes
magic 44%how the series ends56% BIG
16%2-035%
28%2-121%
Map 1Ancientmagic pick
magic47%29-19vsBIG53%24-14
60%Win63%
48%CT56%
55%T51%
45%Pistol54%
84%Conv80%
Map 2InfernoBIG pick
magic34%12-8vsBIG66%16-5
60%Win76%
55%CT55%
44%T57%
48%Pistol48%
95%Conv80%
Map 3Cachedecider
magic58%6-3vsBIG42%8-6
67%Win57%
51%CT46%
51%T56%
44%Pistol39%
88%Conv73%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

magicAncientBIG
48%CT side56%
55%T side51%
45%Pistol54%
84%After win80%
25%After loss11%
magicInfernoBIG
55%CT side55%
44%T side57%
48%Pistol48%
95%After win80%
24%After loss27%
magicCacheBIG
51%CT side46%
51%T side56%
44%Pistol39%
88%After win73%
40%After loss18%
Pistol rounds45% · 49% · BIG win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol87% · 79% · magic keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol26% · 18% · magic fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, magic vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMAGBIG
NukeMAG bann/a0g63%10-6
magic on Nuke
no recent maps
BIG on Nuke
LBETBOOM9–131mo agoWNemiga13–112mo agoWz to forward13–13mo agoLNRG12–165mo agoWGaimin Gladiators13–15mo agoLLiquid10–135mo agoWQWENTRY13–57mo agoLBebop9–137mo ago
AnubisBIG ban65%11-667%6-3
magic on Anubis
WLiquid13–102d agoLEYEBALLERS3–1327d agoLNuclear TigeRES11–132mo agoLFUT7–132mo agoWNinjas in Pyjamas13–113mo agoWWalczaki13–33mo agoLNinjas in Pyjamas11–135mo agoLNuclear TigeRES9–136mo ago
BIG on Anubis
WNinjas in Pyjamas13–114mo agoLNinjas in Pyjamas5–136mo agoWUrsa13–97mo agoWFaZe13–37mo agoLBetclic6–137mo agoLK278–137mo agoWCYBERSHOKE13–37mo agoWLeo16–148mo ago
AncientMAG pick60%29-1963%24-14
magic on Ancient
LThe MongolZ10–131d agoLPARIVISION2–133d agoLGamerLegion5–1324d agoLNinjas in Pyjamas3–1325d agoWGamerLegion19–1726d agoWEYEBALLERS13–927d agoLMIBR8–131mo agoLAlliance13–161mo ago
BIG on Ancient
Lfnatic11–1321d agoLG210–131mo agoLmagic5–132mo agoLNemiga13–162mo agoWG216–132mo agoWSashi13–82mo agoWz to forward13–13mo agoLPARIVISION9–133mo ago
InfernoBIG pick60%12-876%16-5
magic on Inferno
LThe MongolZ9–131d agoWNinjas in Pyjamas13–1025d agoLMIBR8–131mo agoLAlliance7–131mo agoWPARIVISION16–141mo agoW9z13–102mo agoW3DMAX19–155mo agoLMOUZ7–135mo ago
BIG on Inferno
WAstralis13–1119d agoWLuminosity13–920d agoWfnatic13–1121d agoLG21–132mo agoLSashi9–132mo agoWGenOne13–42mo agoWEternal Fire13–82mo agoWFluxo13–63mo ago
Dust2MAG ban59%20-1463%12-7
magic on Dust2
WLiquid13–102d agoWGamerLegion13–626d agoWEYEBALLERS13–827d agoLVitality9–131mo agoLFaZe10–131mo agoWLegacy13–71mo agoLHEROIC7–132mo agoL9z10–132mo ago
BIG on Dust2
LPARIVISION7–131d agoWpaiN13–62mo agoLSpirit10–132mo agoWGenOne13–112mo agoLB88–135mo agoWNRG13–55mo agoLHEROIC9–136mo agoW100 Thieves16–136mo ago
MirageBIG ban51%21-2053%16-14
magic on Mirage
LPARIVISION4–133d agoLNinjas in Pyjamas10–1325d agoWMIBR13–111mo agoLVitality6–131mo agoLLegacy14–161mo agoLFUT8–132mo agoLThe MongolZ7–132mo agoWGentle Mates13–73mo ago
BIG on Mirage
WThe MongolZ13–42d agoWPRIVATE13–103d agoLAstralis1–1319d agoLLuminosity13–1620d agoWfnatic13–921d agoLG27–131mo agoLNemiga11–132mo agoLSpirit7–132mo ago
Cachedecider67%6-357%8-6
magic on Cache
LGamerLegion10–1324d agoLGamerLegion8–1326d agoWFaZe19–161mo agoWBIG19–172mo agoWK2713–92mo agoWGentle Mates13–113mo agoW3DMAX13–73mo agoWGentle Mates19–173mo ago
BIG on Cache
LPARIVISION9–131d agoWThe MongolZ13–82d agoWPRIVATE13–53d agoLAstralis5–1319d agoLLuminosity5–1320d agoWG213–81mo agoLBETBOOM8–131mo agoLmagic17–192mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: magic Nuke · BIG Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

magic

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i42/108 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 108 maps they won, 42 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs Gentle MatesMiragefrom 9 downvs EACAncientfrom 8 downvs Gentle MatesMiragefrom 8 downvs ECSTATICMiragefrom 7 downvs Nuclear TigeRESMiragefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/74 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 74 maps they lost, 21 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BetBoomMirageled 7 · lost 12-16vs The MongolZMirageled 7 · lost 23-25vs MIBRAncientled 7 · lost 8-13vs BIGOverpassled 6 · lost 11-13vs The MongolZInfernoled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Gentle MatesMiragefrom 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BetBoomMirageled 7 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 27Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 27 went to overtime.vs Fingers CrossedDust220-22vs BetBoomMirage12-16vs WHITEBIRDAncient16-14vs ECSTATICMirage16-13vs ECSTATICAncient14-16

BIG

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i34/110 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 110 maps they won, 34 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs NRGMiragefrom 12 downvs Gentle MatesAncientfrom 6 downvs magicOverpassfrom 6 downvs AMMiragefrom 5 downvs AMNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/64 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 64 maps they lost, 19 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AstralisCacheled 11 · lost 5-13vs HEROICDust2led 9 · lost 9-13vs G2Cacheled 8 · lost 5-13vs B8Dust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs SpiritDust2led 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NRGMiragefrom 12 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AstralisCacheled 11 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs HYPERSPIRITOverpass17-19vs HAVUOverpass16-14vs LeoAnubis16-14vs AMNuke16-12vs NemesisMirage14-16

magic vs BIG FAQ

Who is favored to win magic vs BIG?

BIG are favored with a 56% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for magic vs BIG?

Bookmakers price magic at 1.95 and BIG at 1.75 (implied 47% vs 53%).

When do magic and BIG play?

magic vs BIG is scheduled for 2026-10-27 11:00 UTC at Stake Ranked Episode 5.