Matches / Upcoming / Grêmio vs Underworld
Grêmio vs Underworld: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 South America Series 8
Grêmio
World #199 · 10-19
VS
2026-11-05 22:00 UTC
CCT 2026 South America Series 8 · Best of 3
Underworld
World #– · 0-2
CCT 2026 South America Series 8 · Best of 3
56%44%
57%
1.62.11Market · 1 books
43%The call
Grêmio are favoured: our model gives them 56% against Underworld. Bookmakers lean Grêmio at 57%. Strength slightly favours Underworld, form clearly favours Grêmio, firepower clearly favours Grêmio.
Likely mapsInferno · Dust2 · Mirage
Firepower
roster ratingsGrêmio · avg 1.05 · star gap +0.12iStar gap: the best player rates 0.12 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balencyy★ | 1.01 | 82.2 | 70.6% | 56% | 1.17 |
| spinnie | 0.97 | 75.4 | 75% | 60% | 1.08 |
| MITHPUTTINI | 1.06 | 65.9 | 69.1% | 35% | 1.02 |
| s1lent | 0.92 | 67.7 | 69% | 51% | 1.01 |
| yeda | 0.83 | 63 | 66.7% | 59% | 0.95 |
Underworld · avg 0.94 · star gap +0.27iStar gap: the best player rates 0.27 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Grêmio
Underworld
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Isurus#1772-31-2
Underworld vs Isurus
Nov 5LMirage1-13Inferno13-10Dust24-13YOUyour end#2243-21-2
Underworld vs your end
Sep 18LInferno7-13Dust213-11Ancient11-13Map lab
Grêmio50%to win the Bo3 · most likely Grêmio 2-0
If the veto goes
Grêmio 50%how the series ends50% Underworld
26%2-024%
25%2-125%
Grêmio52%10-8vsUnderworld48%1-1
56%Win50%
48%CT50%
55%T42%
61%Pistol50%
77%Conv100%
Grêmio50%6-6vsUnderworld50%1-1
50%Win50%
49%CT53%
48%T33%
63%Pistol50%
80%Conv50%
Grêmio49%3-9vsUnderworld51%0-1
25%Win0%
50%CT0%
37%T8%
54%Pistol0%
85%Conv–
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
GrêmioInfernoUnderworld
48%CT side50%
55%T side42%
61%Pistol50%
77%After win100%
7%After loss0%
GrêmioDust2Underworld
49%CT side53%
48%T side33%
63%Pistol50%
80%After win50%
11%After loss50%
GrêmioMirageUnderworld
50%CT side0%
37%T side8%
54%Pistol0%
85%After win–
9%After loss0%
Pistol rounds60% · 40% · Grêmio win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol80% · 75% · Grêmio keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol9% · 17% · Underworld fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Grêmio vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapGRÊUND
AnubisGRÊ bann/a0gn/a0g
Grêmio on Anubis
no recent maps
Underworld on Anubis
no recent maps
NukeUND ban33%3-6n/a0g
Grêmio on Nuke
WLow Cortisol BR13–1113d agoL
Yawara16–1928d agoL
Procyon3–131mo agoLYawara9–131mo agoW
ALKA13–111mo agoLMEIA NOITE9–132mo agoLProcyon5–133mo agoL
paiN Academy13–164mo agoUnderworld on Nuke
no recent maps
InfernoGRÊ pick56%10-850%1-1
Dust2UND pick50%6-650%1-1
CacheGRÊ ban20%2-8n/a0g
Grêmio on Cache
Lyour end5–131d agoLYawara6–1312d agoLLow Cortisol BR10–1313d agoLQUINTESSÊNCIA17–191mo agoWyour end13–71mo agoLIsurus7–131mo agoL
ODDIK3–132mo agoWpaiN Academy13–103mo agoUnderworld on Cache
no recent maps
AncientUND ban40%4-60%0-1
Miragedecider25%3-90%0-1
Each team's usual first ban: Grêmio Anubis · Underworld Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Grêmio
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/28 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 28 maps they won, 14 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs ALKANukefrom 10 downvs Low Cortisol BRMiragefrom 10 downvs paiN AcademyInfernofrom 6 downvs your endCachefrom 6 downvs Low Cortisol BRNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/43 (44%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 43 maps they lost, 19 (44%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs IsurusCacheled 6 · lost 7-13vs YawaraAncientled 6 · lost 9-13vs Patins da FerrariMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs ALKAAncientled 5 · lost 11-13vs Keyd StarsMirageled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ALKANukefrom 10 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs IsurusCacheled 6 · lost 7-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi44% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT44% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs Patins da FerrariCache14-16vs paiN AcademyNuke13-16vs paiN AcademyInferno22-18vs MEIA NOITEDust214-16vs IsurusDust216-14
Underworld
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/2 (100%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 2 (100%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 100% of their wins were comebacks, not 100% of all games.vs your endDust2from 4 downvs IsurusInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/4 (50%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 4 maps they lost, 2 (50%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs your endAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs your endInfernoled 3 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs your endDust2from 4 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs your endAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi50% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT50% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample
Grêmio vs Underworld FAQ
Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Underworld?
Grêmio are favored with a 56% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Grêmio vs Underworld?
Bookmakers price Grêmio at 1.6 and Underworld at 2.11 (implied 57% vs 43%).
When do Grêmio and Underworld play?
Grêmio vs Underworld is scheduled for 2026-11-05 22:00 UTC at CCT 2026 South America Series 8.