Matches / Upcoming / Marsborne vs Elusive
Marsborne vs Elusive: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Challengers North America Series 1
Marsborne
World #105 · 57-34
VS
2026-11-08 20:30 UTC
CCT 2026 Challengers North America Series 1 · Best of 3
Elusive
World #– · 3-3
CCT 2026 Challengers North America Series 1 · Best of 3
86%14%
87%
1.067.19Market · 12 books
13%The call · high confidence
Marsborne are favoured: our model gives them 86% against Elusive. Bookmakers lean Marsborne at 87%. Strength clearly favours Marsborne, record slightly favours Marsborne, firepower clearly favours Marsborne, head-to-head clearly favours Marsborne.
Likely mapsInferno · Nuke · Mirage
Firepower
roster ratingsMarsborne · avg 1.16 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Elusive · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.16iStar gap: the best player rates 0.16 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin★ | 1.11 | 80.9 | 69.1% | 55% | 1.25 |
| LittleBEER | 1.04 | 69.9 | 76.2% | 46% | 1.11 |
| FRIZZY | 1.02 | 68.4 | 70.5% | 55% | 1.09 |
| Jonji | 0.96 | 78.4 | 75.7% | 50% | 1.09 |
| Treehen | 0.83 | 66.4 | 72.3% | 38% | 0.9 |
Recent form
Marsborne
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents29d ago
Marsborne2 : 0ELU Elusive◆ same lineup2mo ago Marsborne2 : 0ELU Elusive!
Marsborne2 : 0ELU Elusive◆ same lineup2mo ago Marsborne2 : 0ELU Elusive!⚠ Different lineup
Elusive
outMsaia, sayN
inLittleBEER, Treehen
SportsBetExpert4-60-2
Marsborne vs SportsBetExpert
Oct 10LInferno10-13Nuke10-13Aug 2LNuke6-13Anubis4-13May 31WInferno13-9Mirage13-8+2 earlier meetings
Elusive vs SportsBetExpert
Aug 30LNuke3-13Anubis4-13Map lab
Marsborne52%to win the Bo3 · most likely Elusive 2-1
If the veto goes
Marsborne 52%how the series ends48% Elusive
27%2-021%
25%2-127%
Marsborne64%36-15vsElusive36%1-2
71%Win33%
63%CT29%
53%T36%
63%Pistol50%
80%Conv67%
Marsborne43%9-11vsElusive57%2-1
45%Win67%
55%CT57%
40%T47%
43%Pistol67%
65%Conv100%
Marsborne47%23-10vsElusive53%2-0
70%Win100%
64%CT83%
48%T55%
52%Pistol100%
82%Conv75%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
MarsborneInfernoElusive
63%CT side29%
53%T side36%
63%Pistol50%
80%After win67%
24%After loss33%
MarsborneNukeElusive
55%CT side57%
40%T side47%
43%Pistol67%
65%After win100%
22%After loss0%
MarsborneMirageElusive
64%CT side83%
48%T side55%
52%Pistol100%
82%After win75%
25%After loss–
Pistol rounds55% · 69% · Elusive win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol78% · 82% · Elusive keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol24% · 20% · Marsborne fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Marsborne vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Elusive habitually bans Anubis, Marsborne's strongest maps (Inferno, Mirage, Anubis all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Anubis 4/5), not an opponent read, so expect Marsborne to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapMARELU
CacheMAR ban0%0-1n/a0g
Marsborne on Cache
L
regain5–134mo agoElusive on Cache
no recent maps
AnubisELU ban79%19-50%0-1
InfernoMAR pick71%36-1533%1-2
NukeELU pick45%9-1167%2-1
Dust2MAR ban59%10-7n/a0g
Marsborne on Dust2
L
Without a Roof12–161mo agoW
LAG13–101mo agoWFarmVille13–81mo agoWFor Fun25–222mo agoWLAG13–112mo agoL
Voca5–132mo agoW
Overtake Sector13–82mo agoLVoca11–132mo agoElusive on Dust2
no recent maps
AncientELU ban60%25-1725%1-3
Miragedecider70%23-10100%2-0
Each team's usual first ban: Marsborne Cache · Elusive Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Marsborne
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i44/129 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 129 maps they won, 44 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs Overtake SectorInfernofrom 10 downvs Chicken CoopAncientfrom 10 downvs feet67Ancientfrom 10 downvs 9zAncientfrom 6 downvs LAGMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i31/78 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 78 maps they lost, 31 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NRGDust2led 11 · lost 2-13vs SportsBetExpertAnubisled 9 · lost 4-13vs NRGMirageled 6 · lost 17-19vs ZomblersAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs GalorysOverpassled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Overtake SectorInfernofrom 10 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NRGDust2led 11 · lost 2-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 20Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 20 went to overtime.vs NRGMirage19-22vs NRGMirage17-19vs BESTIAAncient16-19vs VocaOverpass14-16vs Fake do BiruInferno19-17
Elusive
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/6 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 6 maps they won, 2 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs NuToriousAncientfrom 4 downvs Crimson VortexNukefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/7 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 7 maps they lost, 2 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MarsborneAncientled 3 · lost 10-13vs SportsBetExpertNukeled 3 · lost 3-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NuToriousAncientfrom 4 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni3 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MarsborneAncientled 3 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini7.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi15% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT15% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample
Marsborne vs Elusive FAQ
Who is favored to win Marsborne vs Elusive?
Marsborne are favored with a 86% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Marsborne vs Elusive?
Bookmakers price Marsborne at 1.06 and Elusive at 7.19 (implied 87% vs 13%).
When do Marsborne and Elusive play?
Marsborne vs Elusive is scheduled for 2026-11-08 20:30 UTC at CCT 2026 Challengers North America Series 1.